Polkadot Validators / P2P.ORG/29

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
162aMTRcXF...ef2ry81r
Stake Amount:
612,707.42 DOT
% of Total Stake:
16.8%
Current Slot:
#645 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #645 → #695

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
56
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
18 nominators (287,267.68 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
32 nominators (183,283.93 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
6 nominators (33,932.23 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
898,456.52 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
24.7%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #645 → #685

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 56 unstable nominator(s) representing 24.7% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (56)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
1pcanEkCnTNPx4kMP94Wfrt8doU7xptZBJ3MMV3DDJeko28 233,006.36 DOT 2026-09-18 28
14MZ8dYWfaLuWhourNaUCuoshRE27goJbsteFemirzmCotAB 72,925.90 DOT 2026-08-19 58
13pcVi7A3QkA8x8ETkqbKQCV7bBxx2yPqfntu3rfYFDdvPFK 37,503.93 DOT 2026-10-05 11
13GLTiu4kFFfje87dELSfePyz7pkFx72oudp85PLCV3wTeBJ 24,558.39 DOT 2026-08-04 73
14V2DrPCSCfKekCPbYV1qksGVmAPPrRsX5XcACHoLd5DYFav 22,438.29 DOT 2026-08-24 53
14yptaX7TC5DXYvGAFYygiVvEkqfPDevNsL7kWqJ6cqvGYzg 11,787.31 DOT 2026-08-19 58
13VkVcGjQ1G1e4FdyaDsVoTTos38TmWa4MX4rAwwThtvCDPP 10,551.26 DOT 2026-09-02 44
12hEMiLvpiVNpGTVWXvXjaQWKpEH7n8KA8T5QLgyawNZRQrT 10,154.60 DOT 2026-09-02 44
12FXCQUNN9D2dm7gq1nS8jjtzFUoMTdEto4kPr6iCcUcKNb1 7,441.00 DOT 2026-08-19 58
14Ap8h49gDUXYVEWqbpnFVsFoErZXqJdYnAPbHb6NwQdh1R7 5,649.26 DOT 2026-07-31 77
16i9AFybbYPRfkdWeMK85Zadis82cHMNDHBVwZMWnzYrAy6k 5,036.66 DOT 2026-08-19 58
16gaRSKssPPKdWCXbWYeqSs7ResgroDjLejS8f34okxfiex9 4,000.00 DOT 2026-09-02 44
12ZGEZUZBGm8KDvZM4zuBodMQrZEu52xHQtehRQ3NCessWhf 3,681.46 DOT 2026-08-19 58
13jbg2NqqdcC5xYEUomjN7somfr3zqFVbHzBxt1NaZ2QUkkD 3,580.70 DOT 2026-09-22 24
15yKdzATut2WUfS9ApV8d3hiu8jGqjikSKnp6aEHxiSi36at 3,513.00 DOT 2026-09-02 44
14K5uUbKWFWhEjVVATBuozK2bdTbnsL4s7JcyLxSNucGYCFb 3,236.08 DOT 2026-08-31 46
12sbm9DxAUeZSzrz5oTuA3k4jXFDVbu8XYiNo1GKZCyjf5Qo 2,968.14 DOT 2026-09-15 31
14VeS9Y1PzcNTH34ypcazRSmnHvUdxZH5WDKwjSvTNWePRtr 2,778.17 DOT 2026-09-02 44
1WWSQC3pfa9qZyM16LATDWhJTGGk8LcjttrmqDfETiX3TFt 2,762.84 DOT 2026-09-02 44
15jCn6LTYbWJQDPPni4fU7fuKFMRyC7PZZowy5HgyiYEhSfi 2,501.46 DOT 2026-08-19 58
13kNDQ8HKZh6LQPtGuvaGJyju8kTsjiV2TabExmBC8uvtVFN 2,395.30 DOT 2026-07-31 77
13fTa1udd8yWdX8zjiYeCZKqPAMFka4z3dbVxiasRCxn2JwJ 2,347.84 DOT 2026-08-19 58
131iduTsxkMitKXRQWbXMLmz8EtCZL79SPQNTDtvK5J8SNP5 2,273.26 DOT 2026-09-08 38
16e6EXFbpTpsDHoKMq3QAEhpranME2FzkxxA525pAuMzhfqj 2,167.72 DOT 2026-10-05 11
15fbGFmCmTfVvTUcN1tx8w4qFqU1oApTHKgnFegYFZjHHQcc 1,844.93 DOT 2026-10-05 11
12zxv44S2839tWN7Sq5jabBLucxhG5SmCkd4m5dAh6YvvDJc 1,675.94 DOT 2026-09-02 44
14ShHQvuACEEP6LBV49VfLjuhq1uroWEMTFG8gvKBE789pzR 1,371.36 DOT 2026-09-08 38
16P9nxH9HYtPPkwpV2RF4j2gg9NhNEVdD8mk4M5GcnT92SJd 1,341.92 DOT 2026-09-02 44
1GvHPaCq28beqsF6u9Ln8S9y7VgmpD261iHoDNNqvaUonS6 1,304.43 DOT 2026-09-02 44
15E6DyC9LuxacRYaGehHY5FE24a1RNErfMr9QHY6XRAmGD6E 1,270.21 DOT 2026-09-22 24
124WyTPgcAdC2JHcWz5C3ybSYsvPenJyV61F2yvPWnXszNRA 1,242.43 DOT 2026-09-02 44
1MDAi2WXfQKym8rcUdzpuV97piNZ8CnWR9R6p2H5SPqGHzn 1,140.82 DOT 2026-09-23 23
13N9jjLgje4ER1HuBebRh9RcmzueoQSGFgqKKFuxbcYsyPmg 1,133.90 DOT 2026-10-05 11
13F3pxZPFU2rpmkAKuqHP6ZjF5i3C2BPW5D1M3rtxQ1yZgrM 1,115.00 DOT 2026-08-31 46
1x97FAWqB1rmSDedycvpdy5pkJfux93Y6opiNoAaME3iMJU 1,087.78 DOT 2026-09-22 24
1gSwH8siXtrNGBUuYTQmzkWYjmpQ7ArJcUKcg5e7bSf2Bry 1,028.67 DOT 2026-09-23 23
166jVJTeoaPtsrgQhNvSp5dZF2nnxJJxhb2vb5mC5qMXgMZe 1,000.00 DOT 2026-09-21 25
12zWsh4CVY75mjbEZ5cEUWEkdPRcnyQQtHLb6nEYpB2hE8fF 890.40 DOT 2026-09-05 41
15DYae92SQr6UhXC55bsWjP7eUzvKWCrQ5MpsozNW6RZphHT 871.23 DOT 2026-07-31 77
15PQDukUmKzrCzage77dALPYkVJbXVnAri6B7KNUdRGsGL9M 856.40 DOT 2026-09-02 44
12qP3KDAgXHtbD6XJchnEaLEfEdCuPZtZsy8nknWnVDKRdC8 691.34 DOT 2026-09-02 44
1y1pT8kxWGZuM7yu9T1nB9cdpMmWSpxXz69jYjS5MupR7An 583.54 DOT 2026-09-23 23
13ihn3Az2BmM6ihgZHoiPiZQewqnG2S6jfvtKmnchJV7JDvd 538.97 DOT 2026-09-19 27
1H7iMMc4zsYa3ZGykMMqkZXG3cBmEeioRvBs9JRSFvNFSaq 520.00 DOT 2026-09-02 44
1TtPq3KZ4pEM4hVF5wwomSNWb2GGDqTgLPtMGmx6wd1yqN7 485.00 DOT 2026-08-19 58
12e6ZchxRhRf9PEZByfMnyok3Qj7EhH1MCQvyM8gCsjDiaDS 447.63 DOT 2026-08-19 58
1gRMBCbc3YdXqQhKsmKSA9HWohpQ8KctWK5UhDAf2kPcYhS 364.81 DOT 2026-09-15 31
13RSqfyGhAeJDrnrBRiJBEo4rxsZWdgPwWLsvbBgMJh6xrfH 329.98 DOT 2026-09-02 44
16AUjoE885P3KVZPPLBjtXuneiDPoxNFA9ekfjEYUveBy47f 311.54 DOT 2026-10-13 3
1pTJayJjcjvT9Pt9SyrTQwhdNwkH7siEzJmEnZNoE4Cw2gT 304.63 DOT 2026-09-22 24
16YBt62194HeJpTwtYS7pYuAfGBMj6CZkRc71r9H1D8Lj7Qe 275.67 DOT 2026-07-31 77
16YvYMeH77PgFubT8V4WhCbLJQHkRqB5hUQwUSo43rXAPwjr 264.00 DOT 2026-09-26 20
12ov4mn4SNjFh3D7TeQSMU6F3QGFByd4sfvnzVGv9jtrPEyG 250.00 DOT 2026-10-05 11
157mHBW1pEkahZnGnFCAR8uyaxBConMVvWnd9rJ9ExhA22Je 250.00 DOT 2026-10-14 2
13HqfgE8QW22tEUG8J2Gim1MYySgYGW6KUorCxdKgnuJnuPa 250.00 DOT 2026-09-02 44
12CNJbR27sU2jy2cpurqemoBhqz8QydFRJn4DUoWFAY7vM5n 182.38 DOT 2026-07-31 77