Polkadot Validators / pos.dog/36

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
6/10
⚠ Moderate Risk - Monitor nominator changes

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
13e9cUkCHD...uzPxVkd4
Stake Amount:
10,000,000.08 DOT
% of Total Stake:
49.0%
Current Slot:
#454 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #454 → #554

⚠ WARNING: Close to active set threshold (46 slots buffer)

Risk Level:
HIGH

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
24
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
23 nominators (378,952.46 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
1 nominators (1,647.73 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
379,446.77 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
1.9%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #454 → #464
Risk Level:
LOW

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (24)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
145iDNqUupfieD2hMJEZ42GDcjVaLF3jhMhLqqikTStwZWo5 250,000.78 DOT 2026-07-11 7
13UVJyLnbVp8c4FQeiGRitKpqoXV4vDieLuZ33FPTbJAYG14 47,608.26 DOT 2026-07-11 7
14y4bmDYbe8uFgEa73EYJskRtuU1cn9VVS9D799QYWvWLeiK 25,000.00 DOT 2026-06-29 19
13Ype8iSxMoDkReghC3x5H2iroBrJgFuQHXU1ys5XxjFUrML 11,449.45 DOT 2026-06-30 18
168guxrZ779UBhv7kcvFarJvhfg24rTgkZZ6RemhGrELenFZ 8,760.35 DOT 2026-07-02 16
1heYup9x3BpLZHBvPVoH3FkzN7TaXXxTwQcxTyipYRVATy7 7,226.34 DOT 2026-07-11 7
155S8WTFb47HnLvrUn2wtn1oRuWQhw7SPPRjg8rxNCBAhGqH 6,714.03 DOT 2026-07-05 13
15m245sFe2csoGMsHpjS9B5mf6vKioPc2DPZ1N1Rrszbb5wi 6,387.48 DOT 2026-07-12 6
1BSDAegBPxpZNJLc1L6WT5XJaVbRQqYvj22s85RHr9mDy6T 3,295.45 DOT 2026-07-08 10
1q5xM2SmLe2u6NfAJfFQFwNAn6KyUYz3jTbuEVH82BnM3Xw 2,552.79 DOT 2026-06-30 18
15osRcTMgXhTAJGg95kMn7zQw8snEuGfyczRKTd21JadvjGC 1,647.73 DOT 2026-04-22 87
16WVZELeXpLaRtd3SQquJFahV2qgrmtCM9kp1oxoTh9uYaLY 1,544.94 DOT 2026-07-09 9
15njLY1N31a9v6tzViM4MYR7Z9VHwhDHMDs4GmaBon4mmhWv 1,429.04 DOT 2026-07-11 7
152GeFRvJSYUBdp3yPFNkVEhy7tm8GfLSBjtVwcWY3yE6fCE 1,183.35 DOT 2026-07-09 9
15kzzoi25D5TNA972xiD5GyVVJt1wJf7nqWrxj3uirPTGXfr 1,051.21 DOT 2026-06-29 19
14rqe4XjdW5km6reP4FpwRJwsXUXnkihyMGD9JZCCvGdgihr 954.15 DOT 2026-07-06 12
13SaMnqhg1BVe8w1DpzLHk4B1Vyhr1XKRxa9PopUgsbJMbea 817.07 DOT 2026-06-29 19
14anK37B6h8qRumArXGTgRbhg2cB9W9Dy72HoULuQVPeTyuP 547.70 DOT 2026-06-29 19
14FtZzkRpgEJrjJrroc7vjsqCNfHusJqN7hsu5SyfqHPEXUz 520.00 DOT 2026-06-29 19
16J6yLGxhioTNWTbeMbRFffaYSBFHuji6ESVUtCLUHorgeUw 505.00 DOT 2026-07-15 3
13UVJyLnbVp8c4FQeiGJXco3Wjn9SKEU5vBsScnf8Ccefya3 500.00 DOT 2026-07-15 3
15suEGBKw8ZULuQm61d7CeErTQS4S8wor9ctp5ZsYpf5MdEr 340.32 DOT 2026-07-11 7
16AUjoE885P3KVZPPLBjtXuneiDPoxNFA9ekfjEYUveBy47f 309.50 DOT 2026-06-29 19
14i9YrKjQ2uxUwUmdUsC4PoqcQXWnX2W9cDU2up9ZZL9PESt 255.26 DOT 2026-06-29 19