Polkadot Validators / Amforc/3

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
144CGH3QZa...CyTCfBXU
Stake Amount:
272,216.21 DOT
% of Total Stake:
29.8%
Current Slot:
#700 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #700 → #750

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
26
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
4 nominators (65,413.71 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
18 nominators (780,783.95 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
4 nominators (4,409.10 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
535,735.15 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
58.7%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #700 → #850

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 26 unstable nominator(s) representing 58.7% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (26)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
144CGH3QZaF3g2hkZkMqpRfeAs62MXy3ycuvVSZiCyTCfBXU 272,216.21 DOT 2026-05-01 34
13Jx7gfkex7Tofm5SWoigKLp4A5HzTkg9oGhVThD3uf5buYU 100,000.00 DOT 2026-05-01 34
13UVJyLnbVp8c4FQeiGCzcoXTLG6tYo2kczsHK4vjWa1jU3h 77,620.07 DOT 2026-05-01 34
14ti8pn7r4JBQm1csWD153AvjXvoqXcWob479eRNL7EenzJm 77,060.86 DOT 2026-05-01 34
13eBaC1tgAKDgZcsPBxE7r4yzWi13jQpwXKCqQG1t4i42cg6 75,383.08 DOT 2026-05-01 34
14uz3cRzoxwHnuXngumnFWxuVrSSpepNmuCCNkSKpZn4tAw1 50,403.84 DOT 2026-06-04 0
1CJ6mZV4sXUVfwyVbe3RV8t7iB1SUPNVek3Dp7ca2mPJwZa 32,468.79 DOT 2026-05-01 34
1ssJbCvgUB66V1KsMX12JpVwyzUZvK2FU6QmJCYWB7vQa5H 29,690.82 DOT 2026-05-01 34
14x3D7PCPoSyQNxnE7XvZHU6LWkcN1HfTkZMLPSmF7SZBhLM 25,811.44 DOT 2026-05-01 34
16LUjPL3Vw8qCjtWf2Hsy9dYsshLKR9RvXUuesc1GmA3syeP 20,668.42 DOT 2026-05-01 34
15GnMnrsPf4QA3VE1PYQddgWP8pfr4q5Z9Y15c82Vuw1LwoC 17,997.85 DOT 2026-05-01 34
12zu8SjWpnCT8KfoFVDD12L65TmrTYfboT5nXxn9xWn4Qu79 17,881.35 DOT 2026-05-01 34
16FuPWBjsnpZrvYk5HBcZBxcbDb6J6pA4iiZePoCYAm32xmc 15,190.05 DOT 2026-04-18 47
13M1uocAezWHcZg49dT4fxVD3UWLrkiuaj2ayuuwZ3Bp6a9e 11,064.69 DOT 2026-05-30 5
15pGJ5bCozvizpAsvEQv6X1BH8WeztHfJKZX5tinDQhq3UZn 10,000.00 DOT 2026-05-01 34
12rkzm4qavcQsFRaqxPicAECm5CkcPe4AUvMrd5hWqv1R9xA 3,309.45 DOT 2026-05-01 34
15ZzV8qXo1WhXdTCSC2z9gRKNvdL9EWH5bSw5p9CeRr17cAg 2,773.31 DOT 2026-05-26 9
153Fz22gxQP8HM8RbnvEt9XWsXu9nR8jxZC2MbQFmuKhN62f 2,758.08 DOT 2026-05-01 34
12Ka4vsVy7LY3J2DwGZpJYz6nDWndZbewJn39FJMqw6XUXmA 1,750.03 DOT 2026-03-14 82
13bTkAZqHyrwVRU2kyey8EJQeHT4vBtw5m5me9B1ecnfDADC 1,171.88 DOT 2026-05-30 5
1Quzpq5HopxBUtcy2hPeiLuWCxtjKTEpvBCgsh24Nja6QtB 1,137.67 DOT 2026-03-16 80
14pQNWHok6bMtbkbsyfd7fznC6tDAWwXFvat2zUNpT76fLH9 1,108.72 DOT 2026-05-01 34
13XiTHuJLvNtjzcJXiZ3F7vKWqYz55VLvwbp22v64us1ys3h 918.92 DOT 2026-03-17 79
1341ofxgfW5dmfRuoZo4puMK8wuRfDdzgEVLfQsV7SYxECv 842.11 DOT 2026-05-01 34
128yzgdZEb8KNdxSMaKhUNyyxvFqwCdixbdpY3Mbshd32JKX 776.65 DOT 2026-05-01 34
14W1yEE62bX9k3ffVi2AoFR9txsNoBZS2K6bMfYMXNh4quHM 602.48 DOT 2026-03-27 69