Polkadot Validators / Amforc/3

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
144CGH3QZa...CyTCfBXU
Stake Amount:
275,223.54 DOT
% of Total Stake:
24.2%
Current Slot:
#667 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #667 → #717

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
23
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
4 nominators (125,330.87 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
12 nominators (804,357.51 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
7 nominators (92,234.78 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
636,474.68 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
56.1%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #667 → #817

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 23 unstable nominator(s) representing 56.1% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (23)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
144CGH3QZaF3g2hkZkMqpRfeAs62MXy3ycuvVSZiCyTCfBXU 275,223.54 DOT 2026-08-26 53
14StqEgbThMD2hXVBmc1kkSPEhPtQ7txcxkQsL2Ctfu1ueQf 245,589.54 DOT 2026-09-09 39
14uz3cRzoxwHnuXngumnFWxuVrSSpepNmuCCNkSKpZn4tAw1 105,414.02 DOT 2026-09-26 22
16A3QwyxNKBkjmXqL5dZCbj11oEcM2qNzjhn8vQjUwdHfogm 86,128.71 DOT 2026-07-31 79
13fWHkc4sBCVyxxeB82JuUCi4FAHJN8eiecRE9SQnwybFWZ7 76,794.00 DOT 2026-09-03 45
13eBaC1tgAKDgZcsPBxE7r4yzWi13jQpwXKCqQG1t4i42cg6 76,215.89 DOT 2026-08-26 53
13UVJyLnbVp8c4FQeiGCzcoXTLG6tYo2kczsHK4vjWa1jU3h 71,154.08 DOT 2026-08-26 53
1ssJbCvgUB66V1KsMX12JpVwyzUZvK2FU6QmJCYWB7vQa5H 30,018.83 DOT 2026-08-26 53
16LUjPL3Vw8qCjtWf2Hsy9dYsshLKR9RvXUuesc1GmA3syeP 20,896.75 DOT 2026-08-26 53
16FuPWBjsnpZrvYk5HBcZBxcbDb6J6pA4iiZePoCYAm32xmc 15,362.39 DOT 2026-10-05 13
12rkzm4qavcQsFRaqxPicAECm5CkcPe4AUvMrd5hWqv1R9xA 3,346.02 DOT 2026-08-26 53
15ZzV8qXo1WhXdTCSC2z9gRKNvdL9EWH5bSw5p9CeRr17cAg 2,804.43 DOT 2026-09-22 26
13zBVxo1MhBLyJmjd55bxmHwepug9uvxsi6mLxTAMDprq28Y 2,303.18 DOT 2026-08-31 48
12Ka4vsVy7LY3J2DwGZpJYz6nDWndZbewJn39FJMqw6XUXmA 1,750.03 DOT 2026-09-23 25
155PktKgD67kQxNwNykBQ5KehZvf2jchFjvWddkC1qVD8zcP 1,420.90 DOT 2026-09-09 39
15qxwRs9buW8GXDfLQoF37JZMmBvZ4nYG3j29MyFFjqDpJ2u 1,327.48 DOT 2026-07-31 79
14SddAYJQ9j3Nh2Tt4GgL6CpPRPq4bx1DwGmcSPJhBeDh2tG 1,291.37 DOT 2026-07-31 79
14pQNWHok6bMtbkbsyfd7fznC6tDAWwXFvat2zUNpT76fLH9 1,117.24 DOT 2026-07-31 79
15oSTmRma2VdVSZpW8wurZRKNSrxmKavgGpeQhTbFiX2tNUT 951.06 DOT 2026-08-19 60
13XiTHuJLvNtjzcJXiZ3F7vKWqYz55VLvwbp22v64us1ys3h 918.92 DOT 2026-07-31 79
128yzgdZEb8KNdxSMaKhUNyyxvFqwCdixbdpY3Mbshd32JKX 785.23 DOT 2026-08-26 53
14W1yEE62bX9k3ffVi2AoFR9txsNoBZS2K6bMfYMXNh4quHM 609.54 DOT 2026-09-15 33
13UVJyLnbVp8c4FQeiGH41QQPZzqGM8frBhCgVzhQ9P5NzWH 500.00 DOT 2026-08-19 60