Polkadot Validators / Zug Capital/34

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
147tCusQ4K...JSfFsWBq
Stake Amount:
28,354.56 DOT
% of Total Stake:
42.5%
Current Slot:
#696 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #696 → #796

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
16
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
6 nominators (40,012.79 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
10 nominators (26,650.45 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
56,003.06 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
84.0%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #696 → #846

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 16 unstable nominator(s) representing 84.0% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (16)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
147tCusQ4KgnGeCPYvKRd1h6Mb2dfq3w3vRcaPNDJSfFsWBq 28,354.56 DOT 2026-07-31 0
1zugcazy9vaQJkMX79DYwFdvTYGmAbjPQrYuyUNHoFnXKtA 21,000.00 DOT 2026-06-20 41
14DReLmh4VU4rZE35BephVZwgUzSomsSD7toA7YedKNFZUcf 7,689.00 DOT 2026-07-31 0
16P6hAWTk7Bdzs9RnE47pokCnP6Pj2CPZP7yWzCBiYLSGEqa 2,453.69 DOT 2026-06-20 41
126pWkFZE4LEz9hE6za4mTwVtq1naCWDtXsvoPt2EVjvEfnk 2,076.88 DOT 2026-07-04 27
12K6nWu3JPXysrrFPjdvJzQ89Du4Rov4XKab8EkGKY3f2yZu 1,404.89 DOT 2026-06-20 41
14pL7CBr28AQYSiAmruFu1TBtc4MtQfjUEK11TfdL65QrC7p 1,334.44 DOT 2026-07-07 24
15LwWi7xVF2xJpx9wusqVup2Yd2u5aXE6v7fucncoc6obHFm 521.00 DOT 2026-06-20 41
19dDaPDzyPZtsD6JD7mSNgNkNSxP7mFRuML2bmLyWfKULjQ 357.07 DOT 2026-06-30 31
15fEQfN6yBujtL1SVWHSnDux4qbpgzGn4aqFJqpJSw8FAQTt 356.57 DOT 2026-07-09 22
1228TpZssdoTwNaXNsHZYiWnawRHFtEsUYq5fXbrRJTAsxjf 318.52 DOT 2026-06-20 41
15B2bL3LqGzfSHFGSByQYtjtN3zAitf8Ncyk5XYhKnry1kPt 251.90 DOT 2026-06-20 41
14BczHKmj5tCcJv5aWfbnbih3PpMmBAxd6yMrKhXh6N1q7jp 201.34 DOT 2026-07-31 0
1N5pM9zFnDc3YDstrgjWntAvyjPbnf9HZJM1KEe8PbQDJRZ 137.00 DOT 2026-06-29 32
16ew5NTkAjVBQgrNS1XbV2JKo141AKBbm3Gu7dNDd8nsqmkq 127.00 DOT 2026-06-20 41
1W699JdmctPPvxXTbWBBTCAir4GeRDbiFqobMZ4zZwkTTJm 79.38 DOT 2026-06-20 41