Polkadot Validators / Zug Capital/14

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
15HTJrqpfV...RA8NZU3y
Stake Amount:
64,702.38 DOT
% of Total Stake:
33.4%
Current Slot:
#696 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #696 → #796

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
14
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
3 nominators (6,741.16 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
11 nominators (123,097.99 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
40,974.09 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
21.1%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #696 → #736

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 14 unstable nominator(s) representing 21.1% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (14)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
15HTJrqpfVRrHWi9bGcqmAdFG99fSAK6NyAaMC66RA8NZU3y 64,702.38 DOT 2026-06-29 77
15VtbpwYUuXPBJZrk3cHiLNABkQKR3DLq56vjMXzFgKX29JJ 27,394.96 DOT 2026-07-12 64
14zf9gBgHTHbdP8Xq11Af3uvJBcHVWjhVvHCr21o7wtZNngL 15,578.18 DOT 2026-06-20 86
16hoyc9fT7x2XLuwDeuVD4yDtGh7UNv6Bhz8iag5FSKqkCRU 5,544.53 DOT 2026-07-31 45
13aW8AVJ6DBDNff7xcwEJM1rHbPRyVqqTf2G3VNFcnggRtHa 4,704.69 DOT 2026-06-29 77
13Kc6mAgSbNpkAbhy6jRGLwykHTiC8VP4WGVLNNBpvSzhmZC 4,032.04 DOT 2026-06-20 86
12dfFk7fnSN5SbKnCdtEBvgWeLna5J45raJwGLKqiRW8361m 1,952.64 DOT 2026-07-03 73
13UVJyLnbVp8c4FQeiGP1xbEtK2zpPKxadmzmadYMAknmieW 1,391.60 DOT 2026-07-06 70
12BZdqUrHbbMqfuyV8i1oip9GscVMzTWJWaCjGYdBRAAPZG4 1,205.85 DOT 2026-06-29 77
1WwntV5ewbZaMc5QWosUh9tAtEyH69mUDmKAWNvXR9mkRHG 1,101.46 DOT 2026-06-29 77
1vvswSE1EQXdWhTHUtzoGpJu4xvqtGP4Aipx1z7rmErUv1E 913.61 DOT 2026-08-06 39
1o5JKCqvjeQy8Tp8dMfHx33v8LxF2aH1W1scWUw8syMCJsh 784.28 DOT 2026-07-06 70
15145wTFe5hyWoMEP92mRQ8uymfYwDAfHuySJJDuFdpiPBBb 283.02 DOT 2026-07-28 48
15aqSpyGZNU1P4sXCefzDpoEjF1PvoR8ZcEzVqLLtxA9pELv 249.90 DOT 2026-06-29 77