Polkadot Validators / Zug Capital/15

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
124bwAygQp...UiRptqLh
Stake Amount:
49,227.00 DOT
% of Total Stake:
26.9%
Current Slot:
#686 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #686 → #736

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
23
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
5 nominators (7,268.87 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
17 nominators (79,742.15 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
1 nominators (2,763.62 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
55,943.24 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
30.6%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #686 → #766

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 23 unstable nominator(s) representing 30.6% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (23)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
124bwAygQpbgoUPQQDQZUrp283YcSnVXpkmTfHSBUiRptqLh 49,227.00 DOT 2026-06-29 46
14zMTePJuYLjCcfZk9xaYk4KBLNM6jUAMLkQd8SX6VxsGQJ2 12,000.96 DOT 2026-06-20 55
12togV2cvb36gufVpZhCUc1Uv2wGtswJMENqaHanwuTWq4ch 5,745.33 DOT 2026-08-05 9
135fJh3ds6ya9fEs5M38Lcm2y9DHTPbWEYVZhDMg9uKcZuNP 3,492.30 DOT 2026-06-20 55
15Xp9dxrzdNyMhSU5NewswBEhLXBstenwKSwS35z1msAjd9u 2,763.62 DOT 2026-05-30 76
16P6hAWTk7Bdzs9RnE47pokCnP6Pj2CPZP7yWzCBiYLSGEqa 2,453.69 DOT 2026-06-20 55
15pGf1AMWDTY6szLaPyTBw6rstddDgcLW1f8sGYz2eJ6rFcx 2,073.58 DOT 2026-07-03 42
12gbpsofvVxASJBoHBmabofBdFFEEE5rrmGyVCHPJpRG1SSd 1,964.60 DOT 2026-07-15 30
14atqsXqyYCs7bJ6kBaEPTa6HpZT17wRYeQyP6xPs3cHNzVe 1,695.10 DOT 2026-06-20 55
13UVJyLnbVp8c4FQeiGN6Tj8aiH1jRygEv5CBJxxUCwBfmu4 1,622.57 DOT 2026-06-29 46
152ogxdUr3K5Npw6EziJAFqXzk84SSM9NQ2RFNTqPXMwG3Lu 1,541.10 DOT 2026-06-20 55
12ToqZ6xEFGuiYBqEdau3SEpippbaxgHaWenNkmxCdSy9tJS 846.70 DOT 2026-06-29 46
1o5JKCqvjeQy8Tp8dMfHx33v8LxF2aH1W1scWUw8syMCJsh 782.54 DOT 2026-07-06 39
12Dy9VExJfRcR8fFAf1K1Kant4jGfwrccSgPN5i7TWXEq8TT 730.01 DOT 2026-06-20 55
155epdoZUwE4VvRmR77gZsnYswsk4F1LwXoJw6QJzbubaduL 563.07 DOT 2026-07-31 14
15Me6UnbYf2tMfSPP6Fzwujw5fHeRkxs6fJBhWHnEzdAACuX 500.19 DOT 2026-07-31 14
1Tdr8fxjViQ63e74VzdUP6kYQ47JkRLfhLgHdx7d42pYrVX 410.55 DOT 2026-07-06 39
15145wTFe5hyWoMEP92mRQ8uymfYwDAfHuySJJDuFdpiPBBb 282.39 DOT 2026-07-28 17
14SV9zG6sQ7bsmmMiM7ddxgSjJD2T5SM9AxNd23HZiBg4crR 274.66 DOT 2026-06-29 46
12Kh2g4NvdwpcscKoxWjgbtGqcu9J5dCak2DKvPVtcSk3cpw 270.74 DOT 2026-06-29 46
15DyXBcM2Gmp9joMMFvt2HCiA7utEHCCvTzbWnBxYY4FdFwc 219.04 DOT 2026-06-29 46
14YRx3GQes1kb6Tt5ErnzVoTDMPpeBFmKZS16oZ59WfZQ3P6 177.89 DOT 2026-07-31 14
1N5pM9zFnDc3YDstrgjWntAvyjPbnf9HZJM1KEe8PbQDJRZ 137.00 DOT 2026-06-29 46