Polkadot Validators / Zug Capital/24

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
1zugcapmWW...YHaUAWnh
Stake Amount:
21,000.00 DOT
% of Total Stake:
33.8%
Current Slot:
#700 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #700 → #800

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
13
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
8 nominators (8,370.75 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
5 nominators (25,358.64 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
23,585.94 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
38.0%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #700 → #780

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 13 unstable nominator(s) representing 38.0% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (13)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
14zf9gBgHTHbdP8Xq11Af3uvJBcHVWjhVvHCr21o7wtZNngL 15,522.25 DOT 2026-06-20 41
13BunNM64k4WcbuAUVmiR7mRUaZCBdJYaP6kjCrMGgHMXeYR 6,000.90 DOT 2026-06-29 32
16TZc7GgEALoVRvDyXpmYoYwH16TVxL5DnF8t84rQYJEGuVa 3,359.10 DOT 2026-07-31 0
15YMsH3KwMBzkdTSv8HvCSgsdWQgG1nuUYUXKidsAyp7Tdbk 2,895.62 DOT 2026-06-29 32
14K5nJL3VuyYWoEfpNBYeCHdRHKK32EGhRnM1iPnXxKxz4f5 1,658.48 DOT 2026-07-23 8
16fcS8Nz3ksRC6u6mZAnzBCx9XjmGki18kkurPebJnDfUFFV 1,495.16 DOT 2026-07-31 0
12Dy9VExJfRcR8fFAf1K1Kant4jGfwrccSgPN5i7TWXEq8TT 729.28 DOT 2026-06-20 41
14W1GJT8rYe3UEnKmjUownMWpcHMcGeQ8pnrE8fss4aNLWea 655.26 DOT 2026-07-31 0
16KVBTwfHibjA6ESNGZBjnj3mYyrSuZfm6WB4QJhhWcWeqy4 400.41 DOT 2026-07-31 0
14L7pCatVUc23ydxJ31QX3oz5oXSUh4u9nem5gd7FMS7wi9F 302.03 DOT 2026-07-31 0
12byFPVqGy3LvvNBhssonoKezw4Q9ue6etbBnmny6Eb88sVy 250.29 DOT 2026-07-15 16
13JGM8wiximG2bAiG7fixrXCXhQR4svpgGURmzKFVdLqHHDc 250.00 DOT 2026-07-03 28
1ppktnbjxXxKam4Azi4wtbtgKRu4EM47KaxWsYFNx4XYJWW 210.58 DOT 2026-06-20 41