Polkadot Validators / Zug Capital/31

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
1zugcamBsg...REF9xVZm
Stake Amount:
21,000.00 DOT
% of Total Stake:
57.6%
Current Slot:
#699 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #699 → #899

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
9
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
5 nominators (4,358.31 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
4 nominators (32,102.50 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
12,245.74 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
33.6%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #699 → #779

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 9 unstable nominator(s) representing 33.6% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (9)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
1zugcamBsgV1LNFko4B8ACy41pDWWXfjjuo3ssrREF9xVZm 21,000.00 DOT 2026-06-20 79
13E589EJkf2Mp46buuzsDdbSD3t55fvAmkRy8xfEKaY4Wysh 9,999.75 DOT 2026-07-03 66
15VCA9wNjtC1fGf1F7L2SdZxKGwdAoYoLQHLZs5Sc7zpDV7L 2,835.11 DOT 2026-07-31 38
1o5JKCqvjeQy8Tp8dMfHx33v8LxF2aH1W1scWUw8syMCJsh 783.95 DOT 2026-07-06 63
15PhyKYz7JsxZJfCdVepLENk9pN58WSWn8qYUrigo4W36hqN 585.90 DOT 2026-07-31 38
15GLeTs9V64m2H19e4asbpv76YqXKbVfoDbtDjhU8bDCC1XA 337.61 DOT 2026-07-28 41
14DqBhpDToP5EibUFa7p12pyapzvdicpr8aCuBkB7jc3bnsj 318.80 DOT 2026-06-20 79
15FnvBf17QbytzaX4cqrFXKPY92REbhLgZAvARrk475HLvrV 316.78 DOT 2026-07-31 38
15145wTFe5hyWoMEP92mRQ8uymfYwDAfHuySJJDuFdpiPBBb 282.90 DOT 2026-07-28 41