Polkadot Validators / Zug Capital/17

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
13jDVn4SmP...i87rv1qd
Stake Amount:
46,998.73 DOT
% of Total Stake:
30.7%
Current Slot:
#691 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #691 → #791

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
15
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
10 nominators (42,326.03 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
5 nominators (36,384.42 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
64,156.68 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
41.9%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #691 → #771

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 15 unstable nominator(s) representing 41.9% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (15)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
16FpiRmQCLDWizDE9WNFMZwDdVWWDuMyf5jBF6oLeKKVqS3X 27,845.00 DOT 2026-07-03 28
14zf9gBgHTHbdP8Xq11Af3uvJBcHVWjhVvHCr21o7wtZNngL 15,522.25 DOT 2026-06-20 41
12hEMiLvpiVNpGTVWXvXjaQWKpEH7n8KA8T5QLgyawNZRQrT 10,097.53 DOT 2026-06-20 41
16hoyc9fT7x2XLuwDeuVD4yDtGh7UNv6Bhz8iag5FSKqkCRU 5,544.53 DOT 2026-07-31 0
13aW8AVJ6DBDNff7xcwEJM1rHbPRyVqqTf2G3VNFcnggRtHa 4,689.49 DOT 2026-06-29 32
13Kc6mAgSbNpkAbhy6jRGLwykHTiC8VP4WGVLNNBpvSzhmZC 4,017.85 DOT 2026-06-20 41
12WmJX3DvRuYEDK4GMtqzBQUbwYKevHqTU2yohqnn6UcUccK 2,116.29 DOT 2026-07-28 3
1xhgZRTMppEskzS1dDJjVMvdnMnKgDSWtfzunJ8BBbNgmJi 2,057.30 DOT 2026-06-29 32
12gbpsofvVxASJBoHBmabofBdFFEEE5rrmGyVCHPJpRG1SSd 1,962.28 DOT 2026-07-15 16
12dfFk7fnSN5SbKnCdtEBvgWeLna5J45raJwGLKqiRW8361m 1,946.70 DOT 2026-07-03 28
12x5G8rLvNyUVP5jd13a4aRctS3SRVTXizNLXdTU3PQhnLEK 1,078.70 DOT 2026-07-29 2
15oeRRjjSGpKj5ti5WQoH6zeLPnCwLaLvDLpYmCyN9oURkuT 706.15 DOT 2026-07-31 0
15tkG1JCvTSG9EKXnyNe4skXaR369wcvCV9jXmUQDmQE3ZVE 545.49 DOT 2026-07-03 28
15FnvBf17QbytzaX4cqrFXKPY92REbhLgZAvARrk475HLvrV 315.89 DOT 2026-07-31 0
15dPwMuoVBxqgQbZmGdm714GXToRAQEJSBewZWJ9Dxj2JVRY 265.00 DOT 2026-07-11 20