Polkadot Validators / Zug Capital/21

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
1PC21BY9JS...SCe6b8yK
Stake Amount:
65,430.35 DOT
% of Total Stake:
37.1%
Current Slot:
#690 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #690 → #790

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
15
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
10 nominators (128,288.38 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
5 nominators (20,010.42 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
140,294.63 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
79.6%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #690 → #840

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 15 unstable nominator(s) representing 79.6% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (15)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
1PC21BY9JSFzgoWTJAA2XWYGn33t7ZJQ1ann3dSSCe6b8yK 65,430.35 DOT 2026-07-03 28
16FpiRmQCLDWizDE9WNFMZwDdVWWDuMyf5jBF6oLeKKVqS3X 27,845.00 DOT 2026-07-03 28
14zf9gBgHTHbdP8Xq11Af3uvJBcHVWjhVvHCr21o7wtZNngL 15,522.25 DOT 2026-06-20 41
14TMLqvLv8jJkJ6KdBYcW257QFJ2dqcxraTnZjrEhjzehkeL 13,201.77 DOT 2026-07-31 0
14DReLmh4VU4rZE35BephVZwgUzSomsSD7toA7YedKNFZUcf 7,689.00 DOT 2026-07-31 0
1HH3hJXcCktPVgnNXdJMTCYxTc7EvhAd5M9gqezAxSsJ3cE 6,000.00 DOT 2026-07-06 25
121EqYSNN8azLUyun6YExQMGnKwZyzuayGTxbwo1KcjpWatx 3,849.44 DOT 2026-07-31 0
158kh9udfWsMCZ1RctzDd8YWB7Q6gDHJVdk8NQB7SYMRVsyk 2,847.69 DOT 2026-07-31 0
1xhgZRTMppEskzS1dDJjVMvdnMnKgDSWtfzunJ8BBbNgmJi 2,057.30 DOT 2026-06-29 32
12BZdqUrHbbMqfuyV8i1oip9GscVMzTWJWaCjGYdBRAAPZG4 1,202.04 DOT 2026-06-29 32
1kJd99xYUuHMnA4nzZVhdWEetvKXSE2thd6N5ca1SG9twzM 978.92 DOT 2026-06-29 32
1fRcG47pySt9cGSDBHqCmdhvJWEqUrAFZxsFRtESkYg7u5v 883.18 DOT 2026-07-11 20
16AfawWvHsonTJ1s7wHec3uSs4TLDCJwNX2m3nRdE5kNndB4 272.82 DOT 2026-07-31 0
14KAMtV9SwcH4nEyVPAR34BFHi1jjNwG8fWFKYK3q5FL5GZE 269.13 DOT 2026-07-31 0
15aqSpyGZNU1P4sXCefzDpoEjF1PvoR8ZcEzVqLLtxA9pELv 249.90 DOT 2026-06-29 32