Polkadot Validators / Zug Capital/20

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
12AE2WA5EJ...iF1tzqGg
Stake Amount:
365,895.30 DOT
% of Total Stake:
26.3%
Current Slot:
#696 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #696 → #746

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
59
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
35 nominators (337,456.38 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
23 nominators (28,720.19 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
1 nominators (602.93 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
358,101.35 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
25.8%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #696 → #736

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 59 unstable nominator(s) representing 25.8% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (59)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
13txjgGhEeMdgx4kSgmfiF8WT2E3iu1jF1BZJk4yrPsY7PC4 219,970.03 DOT 2026-06-04 6
14B5ZRPGNWGGqR3gFqj3HGUCDdPQegynxRVRhqEp5qMALFyg 98,848.50 DOT 2026-06-09 1
1uTceMfhKTWjpTnkbHWR7t9T6K3NpVSfxzGrAb5CzgTt2Qj 11,694.26 DOT 2026-05-05 36
14m3VwDPkCTKMbQzvR5Q4uLYHg2SgSWSFqaAbYynQ7Qb1jgb 7,000.00 DOT 2026-05-08 33
1E9HuB5p6VGjofv6ZAog9YxQYAQLpS6j7nkSP4dBnyS1eEh 3,658.19 DOT 2026-05-30 11
15XFUo6Uhvo2fEp9xtvqVhPHhncysutRrGZt2YA9LwG5xucR 3,165.00 DOT 2026-05-05 36
1DcDfaGHcEVcA8Wwiq89kLeJ8dB327f2sX53t4nQuvFN7Kr 2,490.12 DOT 2026-06-09 1
15d6jsJdkBvTfTYi5uiNArECJAMaf6YaspxfpQFcW8jKSwz8 1,606.27 DOT 2026-05-08 33
124Y5zpvW9MsTJjhYXaeBmQmB8PcydvRfCG3er2ya9aow87y 1,370.00 DOT 2026-06-09 1
15gGTQNwfKuuuMNZ1xQ4MF5xv2KvEVsdaGkCbgsp9Jnyhh1v 1,368.72 DOT 2026-06-08 2
14oQpDEsRDsUDVtKhT8Eec3sR9KnYi49m4SFJnLULTQjnkiN 1,237.86 DOT 2026-06-08 2
1xdTN4YdXn4QSqkJTruEVhnYMXsnWi9WYWuy8Y8GZ81ay3W 1,054.34 DOT 2026-05-08 33
12nN9ZqRJc1JdciP4i1knGwnEmXCiT9cud8DfzwTMmtuACPz 990.03 DOT 2026-05-05 36
1Ti6zwx9C5cKVqYRgSx1sxpS56wM7t2HtpA4jTmEMM2U4vp 932.82 DOT 2026-06-09 1
12Wwpc5hF3u6To9bUJaAZE7bja1kLaC13AQngd8YZ52Dw8Xf 922.27 DOT 2026-05-29 12
1dVoJiWTZCLmVDbaF5RYzst8HCxp3oDM4kZFdPK35nm9kyL 900.00 DOT 2026-05-08 33
169MhojeXq7UjQCXJYwoLt6z5wQkGKBcMGhMMetdvyDTEKnb 895.00 DOT 2026-06-09 1
1yugc3uK5cfZKPsB1VvnbKAw9Xcks7aTGsWbWyA2VD93kdi 840.00 DOT 2026-05-30 11
13aE2Uznie3vrpyo2AiHECWKE1TyLWt5uGqG2pK2Pq92zz84 720.00 DOT 2026-06-09 1
13ivbjofkB3nHY2MmGpHwbvdaX7paG6h6Cm76TtxzfhDWkK1 670.00 DOT 2026-05-30 11
14W1yEE62bX9k3ffVi2AoFR9txsNoBZS2K6bMfYMXNh4quHM 602.93 DOT 2026-03-27 75
12YKWf6CQPgJ6ZefHGGzrK1japn9RKJYTvcUNpPQX6fqh8SD 523.00 DOT 2026-06-09 1
13kfSXfSjFVZenbgvdMojxNwgZic4AHBrxiNxR4G92Qcjiss 435.50 DOT 2026-06-09 1
1usQn3Jgtmm6UFUkJL8BGS6za96iKC7feNqNcErwpM4wnoh 391.93 DOT 2026-05-29 12
12oM8ktoRV1aoKncvZb95EkWFUmkeutGcppDfJPHsyW9CY6C 372.51 DOT 2026-05-05 36
15QqfG9XaZ5v2UanUTpxeUPNVufk1rnWpS5NcqZxWre5fckF 331.02 DOT 2026-05-05 36
1PmsQfCCj7vjtiXuG99xMJVrRWAsRLzkhJxMw6ADupMUnJM 270.00 DOT 2026-06-09 1
16arShU48ia4mcVkrCZfakwweqpWvPvtDAKDNBZnyqDzE9v6 235.76 DOT 2026-05-05 36
14iPiYzLn3av8z5ssy94HLv7CkoUC3KiGCtciXMfG6N7Pn7D 229.83 DOT 2026-05-30 11
16PTY1DtNnupx5yuaeKdvND7xNJqSBW6zWjDtK8RPKQbKDNk 222.34 DOT 2026-06-09 1
12NUYWcuyyFQ4RarYmZBtUBy5c7msuScYjzXeZjrDksGKYNf 200.00 DOT 2026-05-05 36
15EohYPod1EuH57aNXgK7zMvgjeZjD8W18Vkk6nu4yri2zKo 197.65 DOT 2026-06-09 1
155fC8nCHiq2zLVKNtDixwQSVxDT9nPrvhPNfsQvnKxhPHof 189.33 DOT 2026-05-08 33
15nRczYEPhYyvp9reGba3oKcktyPSiJUnDDiZkdtZeHbNnrJ 184.81 DOT 2026-05-30 11
125ESuKdTwLyvSQ2PoraDDzSNHmFp13wdYnsR7UEjWbqGCh6 181.93 DOT 2026-05-05 36
1Rb35Du9UArXgRs5upTYL2yRD96ZVNaWESZATJ2BYWu3osv 165.00 DOT 2026-05-30 11
15ToErr3Ww5tNcg5RbmZytBE7qHkoDjE26e5LeuU1efJgqEz 158.41 DOT 2026-05-05 36
12j3Xs5o7mr9R4f6WsJY8WQ9c5ZXz9APzGpUo7NuTZFXzzh9 153.46 DOT 2026-06-09 1
1J7KBPhQZsaqJWfJAQtBkwNSPTCoR1LVYq9gmysG7xQ1j88 150.00 DOT 2026-06-08 2
16h4wGpHnBDsTRArc1zS3sUb5Ap8pkwxqkAZ8eey7TCmXnNH 145.87 DOT 2026-05-05 36
15fB2DQHag65tX3f5UA8sfjs5UWtKyZJzBukMjgJvGV5QhnV 141.00 DOT 2026-06-09 1
16m5TxxYwQ4Mod8Mtd4ZMBy8U9oGEE23FhDbXBestgdfUidj 132.03 DOT 2026-06-09 1
16X6pTyiEKmcobJv2tJXhy2uY4jD5zfcZJtg61B5raJMYfE1 130.00 DOT 2026-05-05 36
12bCsJJNZrnXP4YpVRQ9DuwTRX57PJPCQQFif2n9QnDNQ1K6 127.50 DOT 2026-06-09 1
16YzBWwL6YPNSwfwSdzehZfmC3c5dwrqvc8uDXF4Tvem6QUW 124.39 DOT 2026-05-05 36
13cvNUvbsAexJRaxzawSaV3BAg5Bq6ddKXPTu31HbB5RkwJQ 119.57 DOT 2026-05-05 36
143T7tpQir6fRchP1e4gfAaWmeQ3gF6enooJPbjMVCtyaXia 100.00 DOT 2026-06-09 1
1zmC3cuFeJcA4WBssMSfSYY5RwbBrnHRhHzftAVoVyp4XM3 45.92 DOT 2026-05-05 36
15BPaL14VdHWzrUS38BqFnpVng1mNRrc1xxdKyFUieeVW2pC 37.56 DOT 2026-06-09 1
15ELEmm1JKfQvQicoknaYMhfrEgT7aNxXiKZpdibqZLeg7tU 30.00 DOT 2026-05-05 36
16hWru9SCQrPjSU8iED4FpGQPXc6GTaVpAunJ7DJYK167jLU 25.68 DOT 2026-05-05 36
1gbQxfEhPRvpsbLh535ntjyuAB3uC3NwA5FRYzmWJiuhvp1 18.00 DOT 2026-06-09 1
14CMtJ2FcTtcPP7bYWeSEqb8VJTYE6V9ViG9RQ36S3dUm2xi 13.83 DOT 2026-06-09 1
14m2Wxe2d8VJazQ3ooXMZjGXu55CnzKvA3vZv6S1MZjFJb4m 10.31 DOT 2026-06-09 1
1EkrpbbmzcW6Sgtugq7XJbJEmBvvjbpyo7nsXX6jMCTjsCX 10.31 DOT 2026-05-05 36
1VWQA3KgnoRwHss5YwN16ErHiuSox3A8invEy2o5Hyq85Mr 10.00 DOT 2026-06-09 1
12bmk2D4NuvHjR3jGVgYU48YkxZW8SkzBy6ULXrJnRAMmjZm 9.72 DOT 2026-06-09 1
12w4vUXCqJepyGLmo362n3a7SXdEZ4j3GWmSWmxtztEXXhbL 9.58 DOT 2026-05-05 36
15C8xGoTs4M39m579f4pfTRDg4rNVBSctJZy8MTFkUMwitgP 9.39 DOT 2026-06-09 1