Polkadot Validators / Zug Capital/41

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
1zugcaeua2...yeGPFXtg
Stake Amount:
21,000.00 DOT
% of Total Stake:
46.9%
Current Slot:
#699 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #699 → #799

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
16
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
6 nominators (8,642.10 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
10 nominators (36,178.17 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
30,349.00 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
67.7%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #699 → #849

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 16 unstable nominator(s) representing 67.7% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (16)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
1zugcaeua29FWNaDLeQmHeC8FdQaV2tyT7RKzVByeGPFXtg 21,000.00 DOT 2026-06-20 42
14T7QoHCg7doG4FtAZecCeozxAfsCfamegxKvhVg4KTDxHXs 7,476.77 DOT 2026-06-20 42
12DHsUTtyGsXdmsRYn3TkK9PxZCSHGfLrTL8zjgiZ3x7V3T4 5,442.06 DOT 2026-06-20 42
13zMRoUXCk6WanKCMT1ogJR2iEg6qMUzY3WBBJsWp6EhnJv7 4,455.81 DOT 2026-07-31 1
126pWkFZE4LEz9hE6za4mTwVtq1naCWDtXsvoPt2EVjvEfnk 2,076.88 DOT 2026-07-04 28
12YrfMz2SV7FhXAkY3Hm9ZvCLk3x4XYxN6zCMWQfLRGZaDqy 1,230.91 DOT 2026-06-20 42
13R1fFCqH819T2FR5aJ9CgXYd36kCKJqNAVisYwrMtMags8e 949.28 DOT 2026-07-31 1
13jTnqpttmiwBYt6YDFcgZLRvz5UbTzSUSe3NGrmA1qycG1a 705.27 DOT 2026-07-31 1
15FY4s6r9HYLCiAxZKyoLhHfZ84Pbd7Ye9TBj6x2XmgVww96 320.70 DOT 2026-07-31 1
12jrruXZDSX1Sh1auNZkMURUi2r5hgyDK74enroSami7ZHLi 272.14 DOT 2026-06-30 32
16UQ2Ugp6wYwe1fRBAFhuzCVX9GAwrzcBzNXqkMT46u9VUz5 250.03 DOT 2026-06-20 42
1VdDjggwWL8zGvTsryMKCYKjNtBazwP8cf6wRWeT4BuLTxH 242.00 DOT 2026-06-20 42
14w8VsdQmVuvUqra7EaxBe5WH6gdb8RNXzuY7pUSschXg1mB 193.99 DOT 2026-06-20 42
15SDwPjoX1qjdS1e858j95sbJQ2zbL5Tvik6AH6TdURSs6vt 134.17 DOT 2026-07-31 1
143uhZ3FvH656fHpLf7RPhpSTDRy7NT9QtxBuLECqewgquhz 59.54 DOT 2026-06-20 42
14zD1v6H5RGdSTufGT1gyK99JwsNU8fH9toxF7LaPzVWqqaA 10.71 DOT 2026-06-20 42