Polkadot Validators / Zug Capital/41

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
1zugcaeua2...yeGPFXtg
Stake Amount:
21,000.00 DOT
% of Total Stake:
46.7%
Current Slot:
#700 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #700 → #800

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
5
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
1 nominators (134.17 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
4 nominators (6,467.28 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
2,730.14 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
6.1%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #700 → #710

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 5 unstable nominator(s) representing 6.1% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (5)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
13zMRoUXCk6WanKCMT1ogJR2iEg6qMUzY3WBBJsWp6EhnJv7 4,484.16 DOT 2026-07-31 87
13R1fFCqH819T2FR5aJ9CgXYd36kCKJqNAVisYwrMtMags8e 955.15 DOT 2026-07-31 87
13jTnqpttmiwBYt6YDFcgZLRvz5UbTzSUSe3NGrmA1qycG1a 705.27 DOT 2026-07-31 87
15FY4s6r9HYLCiAxZKyoLhHfZ84Pbd7Ye9TBj6x2XmgVww96 322.70 DOT 2026-07-31 87
15SDwPjoX1qjdS1e858j95sbJQ2zbL5Tvik6AH6TdURSs6vt 134.17 DOT 2026-09-01 55