Polkadot Validators / Zug Capital/01

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
1EBbq3g22x...TgZCCe5j
Stake Amount:
221,326.76 DOT
% of Total Stake:
14.4%
Current Slot:
#692 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #692 → #702

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
19
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
14 nominators (21,213.26 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
2 nominators (1,078.89 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
3 nominators (4,715.87 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
28,350.08 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
1.8%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #692 → #702

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 19 unstable nominator(s) representing 1.8% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (19)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
13b1HBAk1fvmXbHTBiBY1RKbgCt2uNDF1FDVpiMZosFWzVmr 7,284.57 DOT 2026-05-30 11
13B9TmmCLTbeNL42x6jpDEBJUuVMKu6VLi8PETXjpEBPwdRk 3,349.00 DOT 2026-04-06 65
15VBfQBTW8oCajM6Bv6Jvpodsev4e3e6tPnCwnvBBuqXJae8 2,674.05 DOT 2026-05-29 12
16iMjKTajZmQ41KmBrdZaLxmsBCZJMGtSX4Vw5VgtDQwoECS 2,349.21 DOT 2026-06-09 1
12A7skMXqLL2Nwai1uRXcZraARQWj5UVvcoLyihivNfDBgTz 1,917.49 DOT 2026-05-13 28
12Vayna3LEv5W8VJsxm24Zw9pEYmVHBivrdHnaCrtjZCEEFu 1,249.86 DOT 2026-05-30 11
14iCZs1ZUC38QpnKMGLhNpcNKvxNoFjzLVsNUjXqai85GfYr 1,225.06 DOT 2026-04-02 69
16XxybqEtDuYvJCh3ZowouJETZhufwNTkjVr8AnsL8zGtbWY 1,214.10 DOT 2026-06-09 1
12ps8nDAooXAt43ga9KshTehwdWJud3Y8uiBfvmFDunqi9Wv 1,092.38 DOT 2026-06-09 1
1gkSx2nwviRmHz16zyDJyXN6BCB2j8zR84XAm1NZnv1SoqP 869.81 DOT 2026-06-09 1
16Pd2mSxZ3j87jHohyxZXExj8L3XyEJ8nwpchMLordbuyVqY 781.99 DOT 2026-05-08 33
13JUarcGQFQSo8U7uKRf6A7Zahw1oE9rb9LRsXpFgP1CsLpY 750.92 DOT 2026-05-29 12
15RUgKdWTbHc6LmYkVWZ4id17WY5CMQyA2u7o5uybJZJQwQt 719.58 DOT 2026-05-16 25
15ue8sMFSirnqAJoW3hyqSpEboDqFzZ34Ak5yXqjh1WsKQL6 450.30 DOT 2026-06-09 1
15zJru5Kupamzni2YCdU7jUBtC8tLmEyMSVY55MMrNS56ifc 296.90 DOT 2026-05-08 33
13doDGM821ZytAgRtHn4xFEjdVvN4Xmb6jDgmeDux2eBDLkL 288.51 DOT 2026-06-09 1
1yFC6GGb8G2fgjcrxcDoYHXJuqrBoLtozkMqxzxBR8d8N2N 199.00 DOT 2026-05-30 11
13QcC35uyZWjE6omLSgEAusCSURiwnzCVUpTWBjyptfnsegJ 153.47 DOT 2026-05-30 11
13dPpSW4XHcRhQMNrnuGqTrNutX8sPdXHSsSNBuF91dTD89S 141.81 DOT 2026-03-27 75