Polkadot Validators / Zug Capital/37

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
15KLvPccAb...53VZhD8x
Stake Amount:
37,417.34 DOT
% of Total Stake:
38.2%
Current Slot:
#693 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #693 → #793

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
18
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
4 nominators (4,269.22 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
14 nominators (93,584.43 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
60,419.88 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
61.8%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #693 → #843

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 18 unstable nominator(s) representing 61.8% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (18)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
15KLvPccAbbGaGyZSoJED3pAUKcWUHs2sVHjvRFK53VZhD8x 37,417.34 DOT 2026-06-20 41
1zugcaSHYrpRqtqJ9sZdgCAWF9S1KLsiCcTxnU7Ksd7Nqxx 21,000.00 DOT 2026-06-20 41
16SAXddWuDCtfZ2wJuqGKqvKPqZxh8HnobK8cn7qvK5voraJ 12,847.79 DOT 2026-06-20 41
14zMTePJuYLjCcfZk9xaYk4KBLNM6jUAMLkQd8SX6VxsGQJ2 12,000.96 DOT 2026-06-20 41
14x6zc7yNxrnJwXo4Wf7HNFBrbnwoD9NR7Tv54vGALnwv3gB 1,872.20 DOT 2026-07-31 0
12Vh7sKJVqbncjd4Ve8gRDEWVy9D96xBqSYtN33MbjxuUSTM 1,706.23 DOT 2026-06-20 41
14aFKgTrBbLUnLz2Sfdut3stGEvef7jPBtTcUcUkWRp3q3LS 1,559.90 DOT 2026-06-20 41
162cug1HtFF3GKGAmu7d9qxfFiUxvdJTsNZPoiqUP3mmvcfC 1,497.72 DOT 2026-06-20 41
131XsHH8VvRieMAthEFiWqPzXdW2nZ7Wau9zqALJc66uEdk1 1,275.36 DOT 2026-06-20 41
1437tDdEjw39rRUAfn1K2mkiD81yaYAV2sZeMmxYVY9PwAZU 1,248.45 DOT 2026-07-31 0
16ZkRrv7DkGJ5hBGeX9ywEyHBgzAiQx1HXguDaJV7nSwNCyr 1,179.47 DOT 2026-06-20 41
12ehHWzEG2nPbjouKR5sqo54JNdBfDQkFXBHdJhZyMu8MvY8 1,000.00 DOT 2026-06-20 41
16ZoRL6kDnmG7WtVSLR46LYxzjv32jjf4ZZbZtTzsZAmRDq3 965.72 DOT 2026-07-18 13
1vio5eZGN6RLihCyuYRoE2D6NVgKp6Mwp7f7SYvrFXLrzrb 903.38 DOT 2026-06-20 41
15vzMi49t9fqykipsG89mZYYYo7cLbee3synpkMpVSuvRjFN 513.27 DOT 2026-06-20 41
16erkcEgMQ73uzUx1i2Q1cAjVKkTNK8Z7YW5ZsmmnLkS3X6R 357.59 DOT 2026-06-20 41
13mhqfwKYgvApubAXsHpP9x5pY3P1csoy3D7b6srDNiunNrh 325.43 DOT 2026-06-20 41
13fwiQh8EiNCASi7fguesQ8yvsoMg75XTDaDa4PDqzxssM7F 182.85 DOT 2026-07-11 20