Polkadot Validators / Zug Capital/03

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
14rqyAAPPG...xoUV6HJ7
Stake Amount:
115,061.94 DOT
% of Total Stake:
11.1%
Current Slot:
#696 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #696 → #706

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
22
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
14 nominators (138,656.24 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
5 nominators (1,883.02 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
3 nominators (2,118.72 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
140,421.67 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
13.6%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #696 → #706

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 22 unstable nominator(s) representing 13.6% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (22)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
14B5ZRPGNWGGqR3gFqj3HGUCDdPQegynxRVRhqEp5qMALFyg 98,847.50 DOT 2026-06-09 7
14XzPeu99eMujWaAzXJ37FUmpt3AWb4yQXinFW2WsSRWU5DH 17,416.05 DOT 2026-06-08 8
141xYSgxVbL8Gswr3Rnrp1yUuhrEbSNrbXLfywrzJMDoqrjs 9,848.61 DOT 2026-05-30 17
15Xp9dxrzdNyMhSU5NewswBEhLXBstenwKSwS35z1msAjd9u 2,749.79 DOT 2026-05-30 17
13zhKJ7RXnAUh2JN8Hr1dKmaVJzdLEfrpZn8Vu2uhEPbrSvV 2,675.00 DOT 2026-05-22 25
16iMjKTajZmQ41KmBrdZaLxmsBCZJMGtSX4Vw5VgtDQwoECS 2,349.21 DOT 2026-06-09 7
13y7YcktRknqyhByr7ScNygH8xjTbPe37gM2ZVDcupCqfbKn 1,427.46 DOT 2026-06-12 4
12Vayna3LEv5W8VJsxm24Zw9pEYmVHBivrdHnaCrtjZCEEFu 1,250.82 DOT 2026-05-30 17
16hEpB3WwhV2PbYRegF31cmfiBxgiiDbKRCvmv3bWVyGWCdt 1,236.59 DOT 2026-05-08 39
14iCZs1ZUC38QpnKMGLhNpcNKvxNoFjzLVsNUjXqai85GfYr 1,225.06 DOT 2026-04-02 75
14Q8a3wWUuqiBAbKk28apiKcFxX5b1LEjYLMUVnRLStkCaJe 753.57 DOT 2026-05-30 17
15GHb15PSkJ9TJzd9ssbGxteCowmXfpc6pUdEHZoBXiPDjxz 493.25 DOT 2026-04-06 71
16KVBTwfHibjA6ESNGZBjnj3mYyrSuZfm6WB4QJhhWcWeqy4 400.41 DOT 2026-04-07 70
123CCCYGpGxNkeDvJojsCw2aLyboajDu5yQAkZEy5fYetrau 368.50 DOT 2026-05-30 17
16JBZhnQSEXTNr5Wu7QnjWsiRShbF4GzAARgYjF2YjS7SjqE 328.73 DOT 2026-05-29 18
15zJru5Kupamzni2YCdU7jUBtC8tLmEyMSVY55MMrNS56ifc 297.13 DOT 2026-05-08 39
13doDGM821ZytAgRtHn4xFEjdVvN4Xmb6jDgmeDux2eBDLkL 288.51 DOT 2026-06-09 7
1T45CTSuvYkNCLQRrXBfSqNB7KWypNRwouxzBY6QMYwp4Eu 200.00 DOT 2026-05-08 39
1yFC6GGb8G2fgjcrxcDoYHXJuqrBoLtozkMqxzxBR8d8N2N 199.00 DOT 2026-05-30 17
13QcC35uyZWjE6omLSgEAusCSURiwnzCVUpTWBjyptfnsegJ 153.47 DOT 2026-05-30 17
14gfLpp6pd5wCgR6ZGe7cbSnPqCrQhjpeeyY3KikfkeefvZx 139.78 DOT 2026-05-05 42
12BnVhXxGBZXoq9QAkSv9UtVcdBs1k38yNx6sHUJWasTgYrm 9.53 DOT 2026-05-05 42