Polkadot Validators / Zug Capital/39

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
1zugca7Tgy...oodYctwC
Stake Amount:
21,000.00 DOT
% of Total Stake:
31.4%
Current Slot:
#699 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #699 → #799

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
19
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
12 nominators (16,053.00 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
7 nominators (11,621.24 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
24,876.04 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
37.2%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #699 → #779

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 19 unstable nominator(s) representing 37.2% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (19)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
16hoyc9fT7x2XLuwDeuVD4yDtGh7UNv6Bhz8iag5FSKqkCRU 5,544.53 DOT 2026-07-31 51
167Tb5kUtzgZzh56C4WB88daUckJVzRvKfD7BjGem6M3wvMY 4,058.20 DOT 2026-07-03 79
12YL9syJLbgPkeNLafeC6qLtAJrvZbFRSCteLznPTtgt6qqD 3,656.25 DOT 2026-07-06 76
12xxWSD6hkU7XU7eMy6exh6k95hgqjXTH3trL71WUTJcFVVg 2,976.85 DOT 2026-07-28 54
126pWkFZE4LEz9hE6za4mTwVtq1naCWDtXsvoPt2EVjvEfnk 2,085.67 DOT 2026-07-04 78
13q9d2XE1kQYvVjU9UEtNctXFnFKc1vcmKfGf9NcThUP68da 1,874.17 DOT 2026-07-31 51
14tu6oanNDRps9vrsv5vRxqNf8STffLupECutfgiwsqcR1aH 1,154.63 DOT 2026-07-31 51
12Hj3doo7s5ny4isRmRMmhhbpQ7FGyW6SK8yD1V7bqLAuUQJ 1,041.29 DOT 2026-07-31 51
15SnaYZj3s5SSYgUevoTE9HjRRo4QjoqdqFvQXZSg62P1rMF 1,032.16 DOT 2026-07-31 51
126wqt75Tk12jiEzAZstjCwaxpqPYZC92xL2i1EMWLoYR1fE 1,007.72 DOT 2026-07-11 71
152YP9M5YPgcVQpaJpTzVTCBT8AhUWfJ2wegHAjzHRDe9R53 797.57 DOT 2026-07-31 51
14Q8a3wWUuqiBAbKk28apiKcFxX5b1LEjYLMUVnRLStkCaJe 758.94 DOT 2026-07-31 51
16Qbc72cLAAibjUuF3SaKsEzkEPapLCefrSPmAFhs2B56qC3 373.90 DOT 2026-07-31 51
12FQJWBaL2BLaPqRDw9BPPfrSMDn4RpWmfo8JeTz9myYtagm 320.00 DOT 2026-06-29 83
13yEXAGmmoXKVJh553a2mgWrbiXnTMuLYiHPWdcqbous9QkL 300.00 DOT 2026-06-29 83
12tJ4J6mowgm7JeYnT8ZX1P1BAyq4qLSL8KAsP8dW9imHj8E 224.59 DOT 2026-07-31 51
14LCy4KAAcCW4xfXghNE53XMERuhiCtgrA8k2VyDtVKzRFjJ 193.40 DOT 2026-06-29 83
14brqdCjLtTNBsdiw7acrtHJAcvTDfGFqm672ofthk1LEEpv 150.66 DOT 2026-07-23 59
16hLe2L8jkuD1NmiTsvsm3a5KwXtWP3NGrd6bMPKABct5smq 123.70 DOT 2026-07-31 51