Polkadot Validators / Zug Capital/48

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
163HXb6fNG...XMd7gb1M
Stake Amount:
595,419.53 DOT
% of Total Stake:
86.2%
Current Slot:
#674 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #674 → #874

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
30
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
3 nominators (2,268.88 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
16 nominators (10,521.10 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
11 nominators (11,947.73 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
212,091.99 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
30.7%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #674 → #754

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 30 unstable nominator(s) representing 30.7% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (30)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
14kwUJW6rtjTVW3RusMecvTfDqjEMAt8W159jAGBJqPrwwvC 4,260.61 DOT 2026-07-23 57
12Yc63VeB2GEfLPC9bhaAZvrRQhyEE6YeWmAwvUsvWBfzfoo 4,205.84 DOT 2026-07-11 69
16dj56aSBBV1SNCFZ9kk839YRpLgMo7Bw6CbLcGgGfB8Lx9M 2,454.28 DOT 2026-06-29 81
126pWkFZE4LEz9hE6za4mTwVtq1naCWDtXsvoPt2EVjvEfnk 2,085.20 DOT 2026-07-04 76
1343uRXoETRAetArVKJwu6gKNyCiMcuU1iZ3op1TBp7SBYij 1,884.87 DOT 2026-07-28 52
15FBBXEzausf8CNJRaPjF2LJmNUVF5YrEFGB3HWSPuRWyeot 1,421.54 DOT 2026-07-15 65
15LGVMtj4Laa6bbNcCS2boDvEnUiTDSeqtrE8PKzDhjAtZ9g 1,369.02 DOT 2026-07-31 49
15AQB4wHA9rRWtCBMbRCLdWSXv3i9fDkVKAo4fkmi2YHsz2f 1,274.87 DOT 2026-09-15 3
13UvqDoMRTyMcwmFQQwzGZVKgeYEtdEbAaKetgDHNirQo9Fd 600.00 DOT 2026-07-03 77
15mkxhXsQTqiyu7sSvmNp7YUxBndKt6FPSGEtSYWko2kfjic 577.78 DOT 2026-07-31 49
15Me6UnbYf2tMfSPP6Fzwujw5fHeRkxs6fJBhWHnEzdAACuX 501.14 DOT 2026-09-01 17
1JbWkEoXZx7kMEptEt581Xfr1rnycixhc7K1Ev4fAsru9Rz 492.87 DOT 2026-09-15 3
12ross2YXDJM7Zww1bYo8CPb9D4g3tGGksCuLe8s1kXKnWt9 417.26 DOT 2026-07-31 49
16KoDimsXoV8mnP2HHaAPPtisdMG4CQjAm8HxsWcBwHGBr7 371.18 DOT 2026-07-31 49
14DFpjcwjrb6uisRiKCj4aguDmk1K6SRaduwp2DPMqpgrrqH 362.21 DOT 2026-07-31 49
13yEXAGmmoXKVJh553a2mgWrbiXnTMuLYiHPWdcqbous9QkL 300.00 DOT 2026-06-29 81
12VeTEnGe9yKr9VCAXeSyRxHB51PdnH4rXTRt3z7zGN813DM 285.12 DOT 2026-06-29 81
12jrruXZDSX1Sh1auNZkMURUi2r5hgyDK74enroSami7ZHLi 273.15 DOT 2026-06-30 80
16SGY7R9Y5i55YQsRD53WzWWyBtfmMSigVnu3oidELf92RiH 235.00 DOT 2026-07-28 52
12tJ4J6mowgm7JeYnT8ZX1P1BAyq4qLSL8KAsP8dW9imHj8E 224.59 DOT 2026-07-31 49
1Bo2DRZ1uxwG3HSQ9wxoVdWVYV2vg9CgxGbXqLvHPWfWoFS 197.23 DOT 2026-07-31 49
13fwiQh8EiNCASi7fguesQ8yvsoMg75XTDaDa4PDqzxssM7F 182.85 DOT 2026-07-11 69
14YRx3GQes1kb6Tt5ErnzVoTDMPpeBFmKZS16oZ59WfZQ3P6 177.89 DOT 2026-08-19 30
14brqdCjLtTNBsdiw7acrtHJAcvTDfGFqm672ofthk1LEEpv 150.66 DOT 2026-07-23 57
12kFsbu8dHUFMLCDT7ozkosomssKjSdsq6SszFV8QifzD7ML 129.85 DOT 2026-08-19 30
1FZnwHoe7wx1X3FVceYZiK9hSW97GCej5bmnm2vV9X4vv6b 129.79 DOT 2026-06-29 81
16hLe2L8jkuD1NmiTsvsm3a5KwXtWP3NGrd6bMPKABct5smq 123.70 DOT 2026-07-31 49
16RuXKDjDN1ztm9Hx71q88czSndYj5ew6vgSWtW2BfVx8Fjb 28.45 DOT 2026-07-31 49
1LrNQDVFpDUuPE1NbDhFSVkoVbvqhPJHALPdPr4ktX5T2PS 10.78 DOT 2026-07-31 49
15Y9snUiW8a9wW4JfyMTtFmvq8YXnTyk3Xi3PMnT192irqSj 9.97 DOT 2026-07-11 69