Polkadot Validators / Zug Capital/42

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
15J1J2GreN...D5EturpW
Stake Amount:
73,035.47 DOT
% of Total Stake:
40.0%
Current Slot:
#694 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #694 → #794

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
37
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
6 nominators (6,486.56 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
31 nominators (103,044.00 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
59,363.80 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
32.5%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #694 → #774

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 37 unstable nominator(s) representing 32.5% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (37)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
15J1J2GreNmTWK4Z9mJRAN9prTYsL69dZg8u5YqzD5EturpW 73,035.47 DOT 2026-07-31 61
141xYSgxVbL8Gswr3Rnrp1yUuhrEbSNrbXLfywrzJMDoqrjs 9,848.61 DOT 2026-07-31 61
14XRHQpGeNb51kDRMxPEzm3Js7VuLgkUz39meCrexpe3YJxP 3,096.73 DOT 2026-09-01 29
14ZC7cxUidkCYbWZpMQeFic7yFJLSGqgr8G93XPuJxqUpm8G 3,082.08 DOT 2026-07-11 81
1jdzErYZWjZPXkr1SC7hdoRQGodqL2aaMURQruaHfTiTQko 2,643.02 DOT 2026-07-31 61
13jC9aptEpZcjgmp6wBRQuz9Ze3qNqviLzedFzCKFPKhfJ58 2,146.16 DOT 2026-09-15 15
14d5uVR29aWKqYGYJcVMY85pMBT7t38TPkRKLpwKoFLVSDui 2,103.00 DOT 2026-07-31 61
14uF2c31ceZ69n8wiaGfxkd6yuNuubEddfpUceoc6r3bpPut 1,973.62 DOT 2026-07-31 61
13fsGbCGn3Mgk9uh8jz8HXxJQgacUEqA5irH73wtpSJnXwJy 1,418.91 DOT 2026-07-08 84
14kxJc7rXE6Vp1pve2SWa5B7UYGXjkMSYSn7KJ67XDU69a2D 1,311.28 DOT 2026-07-31 61
1dZQGb691J3oYc1z8rYek9KbxcyhdHvhXZ8hVGWfNXaBAsx 1,007.07 DOT 2026-07-31 61
15fNmEJHtNoLQiVhJZjNibCvVcy2r3GhjshJDSBm54xPs7Fi 809.73 DOT 2026-07-11 81
13JUarcGQFQSo8U7uKRf6A7Zahw1oE9rb9LRsXpFgP1CsLpY 757.85 DOT 2026-07-08 84
138Ymj1w9KbyChasKHgpYXi9Bj5xBenH1UGiWWnjaverSAgP 710.06 DOT 2026-07-31 61
151YhxELncPLss8o65v7mFnWjoae9taqKR9DG5Zj8tk1kGbf 660.00 DOT 2026-07-31 61
1JbWkEoXZx7kMEptEt581Xfr1rnycixhc7K1Ev4fAsru9Rz 492.87 DOT 2026-09-15 15
13JvRz7vb2Z7j1qNxjaQX8myRb8BGdsiGudjRj2CE8x9ztqn 481.80 DOT 2026-07-31 61
16DV6gesF5vRUSdQt3W2FYEpfExhBbCf4giuu72xKkCVh3qC 455.15 DOT 2026-09-01 29
1LPUywrTLfiZJ3r84YkU871VsyqUgWfGTLe1fBWWFnZ1pyP 368.39 DOT 2026-07-31 61
13MripHZQF4VK8exNcAXuUUkYaLEnjPU1q3cLhxc1PUhqc6A 301.01 DOT 2026-07-31 61
12XPpbCVPLqFAENmQUjszLUVWE9krYmgKpxqkSXoxGLLAMkP 290.00 DOT 2026-07-15 77
14ZHoGjZTd31CxAvQozEa3R8mJ8cANuUenuS7dbUN6VGNP4b 269.13 DOT 2026-07-31 61
12aVfTCv7A6mhujtwMfKMRiEfwQkjP2xFsQUqRNk9ZMo44mM 221.00 DOT 2026-07-31 61
151QTsjo9qpEN47vZoSoHNuwf8nokBN1FGw9nwsDQ3uLrXXi 213.83 DOT 2026-07-31 61
13kfMAQfxbMVo5yw1xQZM76GMDxwTWfoKt9QGSFj9U8gSJBN 202.07 DOT 2026-07-31 61
1424LdqMDbcRnU1VDcWfYGE9zAxyzmn7PwpebrLy4tuJSipg 182.83 DOT 2026-07-31 61
15SXD427CSCiqu8PRWNqUeXxSUD1xN8XhcR2wsSxJdpp2E4Y 168.00 DOT 2026-07-31 61
13vSvXSeKyLGhG3qazTgucLgaju2mNPQFf7gEjMDuqYtjpmv 158.57 DOT 2026-09-01 29
12azrFNsfQymdgQov9m4p3S56ykKKGkZf2kjzH64fxL3vSQ3 152.36 DOT 2026-07-23 69
15To4FDyxNxXeAF8WrwH34yAqM6RZnjinDRSq5v2wRFefkFo 151.29 DOT 2026-07-31 61
13dPpSW4XHcRhQMNrnuGqTrNutX8sPdXHSsSNBuF91dTD89S 141.81 DOT 2026-07-10 82
112EHZp2Dn8jqW9iqpAUFW3ChmiiT6cMnN1arsqJtatnthfz 140.00 DOT 2026-07-31 61
145SmeLR1qZsvac3qvg9shAGzdPDNSUBZFdBboAPCqvJm3es 137.08 DOT 2026-09-01 29
1vYQqBa8BhewHNs1wC6ZUQ8tfNqnN28DvGrDRWJEyJ9b4gJ 133.72 DOT 2026-07-31 61
14yEw52biPPebNJthVKZtC4ny6bP8KeJnLKJupqbcFaQCU7n 128.52 DOT 2026-07-31 61
165LHnbMzVxGB9FrWzuG18EB9yDsuDbGSPE3Cbb7JQq8W1kf 128.00 DOT 2026-07-31 61
12BnVhXxGBZXoq9QAkSv9UtVcdBs1k38yNx6sHUJWasTgYrm 9.53 DOT 2026-07-31 61