Polkadot Validators / Zug Capital/47

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
1zugca1byd...8C2icrhK
Stake Amount:
21,000.00 DOT
% of Total Stake:
42.8%
Current Slot:
#700 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #700 → #800

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
9
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
3 nominators (4,902.84 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
6 nominators (44,216.44 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
16,206.64 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
33.0%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #700 → #780

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 9 unstable nominator(s) representing 33.0% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (9)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
1zugca1bydt7biXjXCH25RUjVugcMAUSqKrCfWS8C2icrhK 21,000.00 DOT 2026-06-20 79
14zf9gBgHTHbdP8Xq11Af3uvJBcHVWjhVvHCr21o7wtZNngL 15,570.27 DOT 2026-06-20 79
16LaN6Te8nFuaNpJqEMPvU4TNa6EJiA4uyCU861XkyEMgH5A 6,892.00 DOT 2026-07-03 66
1NkPUoQmWo3Vy9tnDmorrLn7aCsxz4SiiTw6Cce9dYG8ke7 2,728.69 DOT 2026-07-31 38
15tKiHYsRoB78YY9Vax8u87frV5B4D5ebQPUiNqn2WLf3uTD 1,301.84 DOT 2026-07-31 38
15cfmwNmvjndNjyHjqThCY68QUQZgX5LtJ3QWTbhqD2Z7wjX 872.32 DOT 2026-07-31 38
16ME8bKPVNry3vAECydFnJiV47eHQmAzQKr2vDVLTdaAbQJX 436.95 DOT 2026-06-20 79
1HYUga9G8w8ZKGdJAQpEgq6iuyc5okkTKQTqwR2Kj8iz1Mi 288.22 DOT 2026-06-20 79
12bNucVTqyeFerLZxcZCQ2hmovHiNHbwQg4TyDgTN6EiVF2s 29.00 DOT 2026-06-20 79