Polkadot Validators / Eric/BladeRunner2

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
13UVJyLnbV...itvzbkJk
Stake Amount:
69,249.55 DOT
% of Total Stake:
11.5%
Current Slot:
#674 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #674 → #684

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
54
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
45 nominators (442,194.26 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
8 nominators (93,105.62 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
1 nominators (1,208.65 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
514,620.93 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
85.2%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #674 → #824

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 54 unstable nominator(s) representing 85.2% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (54)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
13UVJyLnbVp8c4FQeiGGd3QDiRWaE335A3qE93MMitvzbkJk 69,249.55 DOT 2026-07-04 23
15abag1PwCTjquxSLWgFug7qnrCDcUqmUb98bd8gFbnErS6Y 68,234.72 DOT 2026-06-12 45
144SUYDFvHBZwFh2phZXvsuJGQ8cj8Z8NEVdCQ53fc1enjVt 63,021.00 DOT 2026-07-11 16
12fJpAeD7doqr6BZBSysrwUV5DkYxK9ZU6YPDAf5WASXULbA 40,700.06 DOT 2026-07-07 20
153gkRqKMuiAKZRvj6h6vTB49L5sRxJm2BzdMvazrFQ5ftKS 36,072.17 DOT 2026-07-07 20
13iwH9FzqchX8iiqDBJkuhKnyWnF5owrDE675e35iz8StW91 36,021.76 DOT 2026-07-07 20
12bw7UQjTWCuynzgXWXEFsGzkET9TWCmQxBFNhFWkQoiCjZe 36,001.03 DOT 2026-07-07 20
12Kp1VBZzLYYR9VhfyY8Mk3DEDTdMz88bBmjwZVBHX6eiWM6 36,000.16 DOT 2026-07-07 20
12BammuoJZWntezAEGLz1wS3KLo6t97aP9sicPjpakHohh6H 36,000.02 DOT 2026-07-04 23
12QZACw8WAuXKZqkTThWi1BmepjgwoCMC51AGh9gVmocUyJT 18,373.65 DOT 2026-06-12 45
162inAATzezUjeurWtv6gb8wvVh7yTLz7n3brhGc4yCMZqwE 13,159.44 DOT 2026-06-29 28
1qKQRN4W8S5DbCEsQtGFPP4GiW7W7u9NAVzNGoDHdbSFCsR 8,585.36 DOT 2026-07-04 23
12Bss9MGnAHrxiqXaD44TUf592ETWiPGaU9hk3SpdLsKaPMc 6,069.70 DOT 2026-06-29 28
14T3Vy5MDwMx35V9D3pipUnHhbdkkKaqP4V5Qj18dD5rdhYD 5,618.54 DOT 2026-06-29 28
12dNwoaukEMqafTiGcWKzGy2wfNoK1N852faPtsXk7C1dE8s 4,861.63 DOT 2026-06-29 28
16i1TSoE7czh5zeci5thNs5E2fNfdPFHjfz67EiEa9WkDC3W 4,314.53 DOT 2026-06-29 28
132WVGBsxgNnkdLnJDJyppKbDyBCokko5xivNbcR85ey1G52 3,914.32 DOT 2026-07-07 20
14muKTMagHCoE7rgyfnYQkejXczWV4S6b6BJbA9P3Cs3jpQP 3,583.16 DOT 2026-07-03 24
16chYegfigY7NRAhavaraZ8ER5yNT17QumuiUjKuqsuYYQg3 3,000.00 DOT 2026-07-04 23
15Pfxua6nyznUNVpWovoLdELzf6huhXiYE7JMqAtDTfpFf2c 2,800.01 DOT 2026-07-07 20
1BwY7qCFnSa3VjjXK26E5PQz5dDxAwsrb3X7bLfYMCc9dEN 2,767.06 DOT 2026-07-08 19
14VmC7LNJHSvMGyimx2QaNoLC1WpJ3GvAoCSwAC52UEWtFMg 2,732.85 DOT 2026-07-08 19
16SxK69JWKATrmWLmoN1seV4GKt3x41SYENZtDFg6LmFtAhL 2,689.30 DOT 2026-06-29 28
15m8hK7KRK1uh4o5v8Ks2FmC3UsTE9keobcrYLdpFyuGphLo 2,658.86 DOT 2026-07-08 19
14DR1pcCjf3YKcfWQ9tEeSWJJbgxmJDdyKLMKm3FbkFp5yZM 2,643.31 DOT 2026-07-08 19
16HbWoWxpVp7pPV1Cbf1eJ68ZgDQvW1v6PhFz6rrLKEZDbhv 2,314.06 DOT 2026-07-11 16
15GAL1pHjej93EWZpMDFozv1okxdUS2KhanE3xJ6GWzXRBu2 2,056.36 DOT 2026-06-29 28
12YuTzfP2GM9bn58ttELkgk1s98NZKLTQWmGDBmuSHEXtDnG 1,933.70 DOT 2026-06-29 28
14iwFM16C4CezfmdKZQoU9mQyPcyfmjBam2RSAw5soMcA8dx 1,771.40 DOT 2026-06-29 28
1QyuM9nbsoTMD9Y1APSN9zsjAd87N8VXn9hSrnUgJ1udHs7 1,736.45 DOT 2026-06-12 45
155mncxBQfiPgRKzW1GZuMg6EeYM4RJNAohAHrduSXAkMeQY 1,710.50 DOT 2026-06-12 45
15zmZHdjETP6H8mJSiS5zDghE7Px9GBSiULqaRNxn2vmwTqD 1,474.47 DOT 2026-06-29 28
13UGTw9B73LQkdyVLzhLWA81eWKCsaeVe2LeniJiXMmgJ2TZ 1,400.00 DOT 2026-07-09 18
14TFYqQxDaZ51HY5ohsrfW8r6zNJ1wqfqYFasLUJ4yxLckPM 1,244.53 DOT 2026-06-12 45
13gdB8ztxY4mx3cim5CxsQ1MBMNsFWrqLCF9ud5wsTCsmKuU 1,208.65 DOT 2026-05-01 87
16SdPMVEbz3eAbzm77hTUfHNzVFkUxLyVtRAiUViHDsvSmwH 1,186.37 DOT 2026-07-11 16
16g5Z1f864PGzhWqy38NidVnWCJn3z3ykiQmYox6dieZgJjN 1,085.03 DOT 2026-07-07 20
12GHFjGw1t86hvVczaTkX4ZY93DWMEiRgSANkKsCBFXdy1hw 1,020.75 DOT 2026-05-30 58
16CqMLZT3k3R7Myh9J9BbKV9L72sBhX5Hs16LjRUTxeMXhRj 817.70 DOT 2026-06-29 28
15rQEcR2pBtcoFBcLXV1Z3CFzdefJsc98zB6bhxsc7HxiAYp 771.69 DOT 2026-07-03 24
13vrJRv1HsNaqKL42HkiPUAPSHjknnmFiMV8bVTos66uquWc 512.00 DOT 2026-06-29 28
16JrRQbbA8FQCLAp3w35tq4oZU7T1M6zCUz56YkWJKAWKKc8 489.11 DOT 2026-07-11 16
14B6RYN8GS8SMiENVP3uDzb7oBGuPDZJFAYYc3HQUrnUfg58 483.50 DOT 2026-07-09 18
13YGohWbvQo7sQoC9TSQgNAcR6teK25WKyz9dAbwmEtsK59k 473.05 DOT 2026-06-12 45
13zcqGvFy2ExH1DTHFuqxoVRCW1pgECBnrNUgP3a5PGrj9nX 461.98 DOT 2026-06-29 28
16a6RqGJjJiWJ983VEqvAnHrxNmR1LXtH75Sc3QQARpEQDyX 456.39 DOT 2026-07-03 24
1SfS1edWhUxZVb1cSv5abwKMLJ2EyTwXv2c4w2noTp8esd2 451.33 DOT 2026-07-04 23
13xhtPzpaqeSudbeMuqpFULcQ1bQDnP9ovx8WJh7AdJqGsPC 415.89 DOT 2026-06-29 28
14Juu71EGSsa8kG69fQXrR83Y45XSc1yDQHv3fVUsH6Vnqig 398.05 DOT 2026-06-29 28
12o3r5gHER1LeMEpwdHh1cUgPy8yKNNyvdVJMNXuSkEaQt7W 343.26 DOT 2026-07-11 16
15JGfDLevhtjnpHvhpMFHsnDMtXmMsnWfWhRkRUV6r9k3PLp 329.16 DOT 2026-07-03 24
13hD2weEeodKygnppwakWQaGHddGbA7f5o6M4PEevEMkf47r 329.00 DOT 2026-07-07 20
1NowCrmi7QwgLzxcTqHUxrdmYe2B1YqTsi958ohLCwyjhLz 311.97 DOT 2026-06-20 37
13osWA1hECaUxSXN7kAKVxEgSvcwr64w1EurXqz2UAinjm72 250.00 DOT 2026-07-04 23