Polkadot Validators / BRC/03

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
3/10
✓ Low Risk - Strong nominator base

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
13z6tqM18G...XKtHfixb
Stake Amount:
7,072,760.00 DOT
% of Total Stake:
96.8%
Current Slot:
#201 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #201 → #401
Risk Level:
MODERATE

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
17
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
9 nominators (79,288.13 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
8 nominators (128,570.68 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
156,430.54 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
2.1%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #201 → #211
Risk Level:
LOW

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (17)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
15GnMnrsPf4QA3VE1PYQddgWP8pfr4q5Z9Y15c82Vuw1LwoC 58,392.99 DOT 2026-07-31 32
1CJ6mZV4sXUVfwyVbe3RV8t7iB1SUPNVek3Dp7ca2mPJwZa 55,981.79 DOT 2026-07-14 49
15WoMueXQXEPuHdYFd5QbHARSd6XbxCJJRrygUt8vzMVKLVC 41,096.74 DOT 2026-08-12 20
13emUTTus7X8tXaTx6uX5RfZNyYXDvAn3whmWCcgGxZLGnFC 12,374.76 DOT 2026-08-14 18
16jdn51abYrgLLusxKmxuwesZsDdNMWzk2eWtPogNCzzbSYY 10,011.11 DOT 2026-08-23 9
15cyTKs62n8q1b3NehuUPbjGC8i6UCUwpkqJCYGdpbH6tQ5F 7,087.30 DOT 2026-08-17 15
136CND11FUNnCu9KRAWY2UuoCETsRsKBsqkouL6uFhJx1ovg 4,333.31 DOT 2026-07-22 41
1QvWUqUJRg3BnaQ6zqnG2P7imYoee1xFQCq1CjfxXb3Dq9a 3,426.20 DOT 2026-08-04 28
153Fz22gxQP8HM8RbnvEt9XWsXu9nR8jxZC2MbQFmuKhN62f 2,758.08 DOT 2026-07-20 43
15xb8SbEmSFLtfjB17JHcExgQLCH6KGkam2tXULR2NSTtoJg 2,735.20 DOT 2026-07-31 32
13fTa1udd8yWdX8zjiYeCZKqPAMFka4z3dbVxiasRCxn2JwJ 2,340.33 DOT 2026-08-19 13
137XqRFLdUd586TkGnZ9Ym67jGGbs4rRHT6CRDNXACeEQ15b 2,265.29 DOT 2026-07-26 37
13DhNnK9yCnZb5EdGdXYa8dwzGSigZqcV84kHp6D48XAjSTy 1,619.38 DOT 2026-08-17 15
136HhYNcB3fKMKNbZLNmqLT3CLmsdMFDAbxt4Rdfo7VHZsC5 1,601.93 DOT 2026-07-11 52
16DEmD69Tdfb1iVvwNFHQCqhup9RZRXkxLwP2wkPN999xjK3 931.48 DOT 2026-08-16 16
14hcLXAnWTpEf3AwaREEHHxRApL6hrcnV8vTCFCq688wyXMT 502.08 DOT 2026-07-31 32
13pno2PGvc1F7tUtk4XTgggV6fkhskbaFaZaKAvCQNnLSEfc 400.83 DOT 2026-08-17 15