Polkadot Validators / BRC/03

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
0/10
✓ Low Risk - Strong nominator base

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
13z6tqM18G...XKtHfixb
Stake Amount:
7,072,760.00 DOT
% of Total Stake:
34.2%
Current Slot:
#42 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #42 → #142
Risk Level:
LOW

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
64
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
33 nominators (1,618,428.04 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
27 nominators (11,851,062.37 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
4 nominators (64,296.12 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
8,765,148.84 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
42.4%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #42 → #122
Risk Level:
LOW

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (64)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
14kf1LkBz6uKnf5eCytVE98gCsNvwLnFULgz2MRaw7mu7cJ7 5,014,878.22 DOT 2026-09-02 44
14GQzaZ5WoJpdodqRaF3sVFLsESh3HsFDaAEHxusjSFJBfCT 4,600,000.00 DOT 2026-09-02 44
16fyMWvvdfMTMw94gm3J63Yajun167SxAoT5kv6mmYdERbar 1,029,894.65 DOT 2026-09-02 44
141HuWrPqyKM84cy2QPVekAnbuQvd54DiB76MkAtRMB9KW6J 1,001,882.47 DOT 2026-09-18 28
15fziSBNvETnJ897MtYH9EUH4NFsCWt88Zvd1uEijSP5dDgL 691,684.89 DOT 2026-09-02 44
1pcanEkCnTNPx4kMP94Wfrt8doU7xptZBJ3MMV3DDJeko28 233,006.36 DOT 2026-09-18 28
16aTCW4sqoanNdmPhBdi2wjLGphMU9NKurzhBzcWYZLyEZ42 152,735.00 DOT 2026-09-02 44
15madAV34fN9aoP2ihP1QnzbVDsEaUn7JCgKDH9y1PBsHK9n 100,003.09 DOT 2026-10-12 4
124JJC8pAFMoqgZmwqwBUoaPBaPWB4ksfzbRrrRsx2mpzcMR 100,000.66 DOT 2026-10-12 4
1ZwvEcfmEZzSpR3KbNHpmhvKjTYCiqtzeywtYyzHqfbJBMp 69,666.23 DOT 2026-09-16 30
15GnMnrsPf4QA3VE1PYQddgWP8pfr4q5Z9Y15c82Vuw1LwoC 58,392.99 DOT 2026-07-31 77
1DKPayDZLTp4xgNNkKnVeQFMTPEQkyhjSzGasD35ACjcoJg 51,550.78 DOT 2026-09-08 38
14BppBGMfs2aF9MK3ZsKyvbdk3p9QkWrAfHh1WTVfA7ES9no 42,000.00 DOT 2026-09-02 44
15XbxA5par1zgLNGj39uQxdXbWsWgJuemii82Nnra63wSYSm 40,448.87 DOT 2026-10-12 4
1EghnxVf3moPRTUvwFeYssduR77PJhjL5sWdEJacoo9SAga 40,263.28 DOT 2026-09-08 38
14TTWwQ7DzKzfkuG41BB1udrhP3DFtiitmvHuHV7VjjKig19 29,259.00 DOT 2026-09-04 42
13UVJyLnbVp8c4FQeiGDRaoi8UkMvrtdSkrqpmiGQm26Wdse 27,405.94 DOT 2026-09-07 39
1EdWSs1F5VLu978DgqA7c4dAdvncWwaPoRujErjah1MFduf 27,283.95 DOT 2026-09-06 40
15SVFPiL1bJMqEftnNMsmDWhHA6493y7RzPBspgdArK9ZQVs 26,634.00 DOT 2026-10-12 4
1vJthoUD5arwe9PF3gLr9SRh9CvSmn6PcQmFECFWDeoifBB 25,881.47 DOT 2026-09-06 40
12dxhiec3m8KhTEaz1mffx12zQPpwjvxW9KD2N7xEy6PZHbR 20,000.00 DOT 2026-10-12 4
14K9zqbKKPgoURQ5NhWhsw8AuFPBzWqFXMWEhHZ3xytaRSvC 13,539.43 DOT 2026-10-12 4
13zFreNJENQrTgnEqsWfy1Kp66e7t8ZJZUL7qRZ2FCAy6Ag 12,005.53 DOT 2026-09-18 28
13paypwh2TD5YdKu95FNW8ajUD9vPtTGyaD94of9rTVgnn4d 10,909.00 DOT 2026-09-05 41
12sz144jHLyjzcMfnhTgubtp8frPGnvLpqeH3PpvcGPYJa42 9,848.63 DOT 2026-10-12 4
15vKo2w8VpPFGvvQ2o9xXHmKGU26QvVo6B9v5dAGmsifs8yn 9,335.01 DOT 2026-09-02 44
145nDPyDDJn1LeMnx5DQLWqbsB7g3Ytx5JpAbQZPNKZYbapJ 7,348.83 DOT 2026-10-12 4
15cyTKs62n8q1b3NehuUPbjGC8i6UCUwpkqJCYGdpbH6tQ5F 7,114.75 DOT 2026-10-12 4
13n1W4jBmfBqbyVnYd5hLfwBLsKK61WiQs7Vd4jZr3bY88qi 6,997.02 DOT 2026-10-12 4
12HRJctnxV8SWqMaw3j9UYrKSK2WEYXU1i5BJQbWqitqKq2p 5,592.52 DOT 2026-09-02 44
14wARAfEBeLxwUZXucmKqBgyQNjYRCU8o3mzA4PBKz4cQESv 4,385.04 DOT 2026-10-12 4
136CND11FUNnCu9KRAWY2UuoCETsRsKBsqkouL6uFhJx1ovg 4,348.17 DOT 2026-09-09 37
121uoHBTYrNGdzVYeur8BUkWXra9VxUmQJRcow5RiihEmHXG 4,344.74 DOT 2026-09-22 24
167CN8Xd9jqZ2o1q63Wk9AteqcshPyC2F1Yx1Nt4mzK5arX2 4,181.64 DOT 2026-10-12 4
1QvWUqUJRg3BnaQ6zqnG2P7imYoee1xFQCq1CjfxXb3Dq9a 3,437.78 DOT 2026-10-12 4
15ArbkJeKgGjxsgLxDVZKuqUUisurHxATYDtPvhBRHZGtwhh 3,409.58 DOT 2026-09-22 24
126XLgm9QPPytPQYzYSKu3pvx28Cm2DnheyGXWCyZkryyutP 3,169.02 DOT 2026-09-09 37
12N7qgBqBae1L6Qs78SSGRngNaJ5XEe2PyZtpnzcu77zRCBF 3,145.45 DOT 2026-09-07 39
16F8Y4bz2ySLFfQRMKe2jBJtSc2n5wqoaCfyaYZTpunM5CyW 3,030.00 DOT 2026-10-12 4
153Fz22gxQP8HM8RbnvEt9XWsXu9nR8jxZC2MbQFmuKhN62f 2,758.08 DOT 2026-07-20 88
15xb8SbEmSFLtfjB17JHcExgQLCH6KGkam2tXULR2NSTtoJg 2,744.21 DOT 2026-07-31 77
13fTa1udd8yWdX8zjiYeCZKqPAMFka4z3dbVxiasRCxn2JwJ 2,347.84 DOT 2026-08-19 58
14uVGoQeE6wD1opYmQkt1cMAiVvxmGUopsdXoDtPu1XP1m9x 2,217.54 DOT 2026-10-12 4
1128d1p8LCMM9ASsV5y5uDvBvvjELWLkKpwEBgoCiEBZTRC2 2,053.99 DOT 2026-09-13 33
1gq5xbpLaxPn3APgsFA2ude1vmtow6McYdcM9UMYQEcG4g9 2,051.77 DOT 2026-10-12 4
14FAfyh5pNMLaHKrnYWoXDoihg124ZUqA5ENKDEeUVUumHHx 1,942.23 DOT 2026-10-12 4
16XnaQMmr5hDgVshB9x98Lp89Up5kxka3qZdEuHiP35DD54b 1,664.88 DOT 2026-09-17 29
13DhNnK9yCnZb5EdGdXYa8dwzGSigZqcV84kHp6D48XAjSTy 1,624.69 DOT 2026-09-15 31
13jW3V3P12B3vh9nvqceVrFdxLYgywuiMpCYGJw3qyVBCg6u 1,598.82 DOT 2026-09-06 40
14oZwARcXWEroc1qM9md7wxZ8pEFhxgXL6iExxycvoNupDbS 1,496.60 DOT 2026-09-08 38
14i5q9JcHTFt9Wvh9y5LorPmiZBbTyTsjXmWY2o8nTCmyQdm 1,248.30 DOT 2026-10-12 4
12j3v3tPfjY7X64VGfnCqPeNDU6ZHhKBto1qHnpjH4TWyzhv 1,145.00 DOT 2026-09-05 41
1FyhmFPeeLy4AG4wFQTbgPUpF4B2VoG4stVcsUj3QbtatYC 1,116.00 DOT 2026-09-29 17
133RJViHVHKjVQaFS8oxMs9o3ZWdUYrbydZofDfWcXAfytzn 1,069.44 DOT 2026-10-12 4
14xAdkMfJc7pFSEYMzTxXb2aCF4TLBZQtGC65NDeLaPwuaJT 1,057.77 DOT 2026-09-18 28
14fnhmqgWVgzVZzy2FpoGqdWMPwkx4TFSVuVAqs64XAcvvMu 1,031.50 DOT 2026-09-13 33
12HXfrU2FQVUtM9rig4XAwV4pi9fDeM5AZoYnfmK1isvhSXT 960.07 DOT 2026-09-22 24
16DEmD69Tdfb1iVvwNFHQCqhup9RZRXkxLwP2wkPN999xjK3 931.48 DOT 2026-10-12 4
1tuNPvZ2UbQvtuZ5qEy96i3J1B97seKPJPBMmq7Kp7Kr6uZ 876.38 DOT 2026-10-12 4
151FPKyt4nGrguvBwZHKRPzb4fnNdHq9AJcWhAi1BqYHVRGs 761.33 DOT 2026-09-03 43
12GcaV2FkE8CqVxB6jo9X2nJ7cPX6gQPBHBXysgAm6ZxNhiy 674.89 DOT 2026-09-17 29
14jRQ4e4dyrMi6giL9uJonCui7WSdXFFiFdyKHgmQURen7de 500.00 DOT 2026-10-12 4
13YZ9GuCAcziVAYQXkAr38KeWPKHqituAP2TAaZvEx6eCbGf 498.86 DOT 2026-09-24 22
13pno2PGvc1F7tUtk4XTgggV6fkhskbaFaZaKAvCQNnLSEfc 400.83 DOT 2026-08-17 60