Polkadot Validators / 18xmWV...4vTwQVcc

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
12X17rreXs...VT7tfJ1F
Stake Amount:
3,172,762.66 DOT
% of Total Stake:
17.0%
Current Slot:
#570 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #570 → #620

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
14
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
5 nominators (14,774.98 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
7 nominators (90,826.89 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
2 nominators (10,063.59 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
72,290.19 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
0.4%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #570 → #580

⚠ WARNING: Would be close to active set threshold (20 slots buffer)

Risk Level:
HIGH

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 14 unstable nominator(s) representing 0.4% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (14)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
14twKiHX6Jr595LqP1tGhLynUVafvoToCw2H9wEDJAd616eZ 60,161.11 DOT 2026-07-31 32
13C3u3CuXKxGboLNty4KVWMMWLUgUxFTe2NE9VxHWHcYdELB 14,000.62 DOT 2026-07-20 43
15JjaHXBC6whzYhWiEi7uExsTboAC4tibbeBKPxh5CVk5Jfq 10,828.38 DOT 2026-07-31 32
13rg9Vtv2DdQDRr919T3ipjfUEvdzWKzAUfA8vx2qqGS9eFZ 6,459.69 DOT 2026-08-10 22
16m94v6jv6PZBWvxYdBxRERQkvnHwnnvZLMyJ41jQ25Aydhu 5,262.59 DOT 2026-07-01 62
14iACesdvaUGMCYvNPJJUrtrqvuBrtatGBjLarYmfJ4bHwjn 4,801.00 DOT 2026-06-25 68
13Cyz9RwZqp7Hd3TTYBSxyFRkc1bKJwvtrH3wF9GXv2yd8Vz 3,759.04 DOT 2026-07-24 39
14ynQbZECmrsFp4vKzCXX5oo8gTyoTri8zLDJJuXDf48yJU4 3,030.75 DOT 2026-08-10 22
13DuDKTo5JZRYeSGB674oJWgYdNDZxSfe5bKQRg618RBYQ33 2,785.00 DOT 2026-08-13 19
12YMUgVGuhmq7NxmEYyibEz24gEch6hrGrkxrgq4gCr7XpNz 1,678.03 DOT 2026-08-09 23
163LNaxTz9tgPd2nZrvENJPeMEBjcAQCEnCzcfDjK7eGFZXv 1,043.00 DOT 2026-07-28 35
12We92YcxZuHRhiSJ52MEja1bSzjCSoYhtqEfu2AGdaUSxXx 821.51 DOT 2026-08-10 22
14ELQn5WgeWP9Sk1RBGJqWw8maWe4sF3tut3ciKxFpmN68Mn 528.99 DOT 2026-07-14 49
14MSmHb5a9T4bHL3Sy9xMhFR1BfifY7iuwYsn3H5RobNUnmy 505.76 DOT 2026-07-31 32