Polkadot Validators / BRC/04

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
13z6tqM18G...XKtHfixb
Stake Amount:
7,072,760.00 DOT
% of Total Stake:
97.1%
Current Slot:
#316 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #316 → #516
Risk Level:
HIGH

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
18
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
9 nominators (43,414.94 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
9 nominators (144,743.47 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
130,261.03 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
1.8%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #316 → #326
Risk Level:
LOW

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (18)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
15GnMnrsPf4QA3VE1PYQddgWP8pfr4q5Z9Y15c82Vuw1LwoC 58,392.99 DOT 2026-07-31 32
1CJ6mZV4sXUVfwyVbe3RV8t7iB1SUPNVek3Dp7ca2mPJwZa 55,981.79 DOT 2026-07-14 49
15nV3DieYm7eBSTyF7vch6Ljje4UBfX5YY1yS3uRzLwFhrrG 18,680.85 DOT 2026-07-31 32
13YgL6EvKtbXuERXXjxCiVXhZNzu6VrfDiS4Bh1bZb7ozZqg 18,049.47 DOT 2026-08-31 1
12NowuyGWKSokxkQRmzekeuGXMh7f428MBseecFQsAQMH3tE 9,912.05 DOT 2026-08-31 1
13wiKbFpvz8b84Ek6fW1ren6hmHdjPb9qEJE9RfFzgWGtWfX 4,900.00 DOT 2026-08-12 20
14K8BgnF24HbpncyexPnJeoiL1UrcXdhhv23t6zmjV4qwCVE 3,369.29 DOT 2026-08-31 1
19iWzhTQEQ65HnVJGRBMHGMpgr1FZrT6fgg314ZQySGUYog 3,243.73 DOT 2026-08-17 15
153Fz22gxQP8HM8RbnvEt9XWsXu9nR8jxZC2MbQFmuKhN62f 2,758.08 DOT 2026-07-20 43
129i9UrrHjkiaHxThuZGkt8dK95gPNNwYYoBQxXHFY9iGKvf 2,489.53 DOT 2026-07-11 52
1nPuffWS9FW54fxQr9jgvqoUMveQvWhXhGM3gegY1m7RtfY 2,200.00 DOT 2026-07-11 52
13ZZbKYsdho1qnwCD5TAVThT7JstT9GUmwqzCqEnvN73kepa 1,935.03 DOT 2026-07-28 35
1eudxcnfKHPRjKfAitFau5eKuRHxHr2BYX41n5edc3bWAn4 1,735.20 DOT 2026-07-11 52
12YHaNTT3hqfVaxL3D6au1u2BoKRpdL2KcFTw6pZcXvZs4bm 1,350.71 DOT 2026-09-01 0
15pBg8UEfyNCnGQh8bVUoLFAJ9vDv9MUcFkVgLQ8uH7XbdRQ 1,301.45 DOT 2026-09-01 0
13gB3J81uGnH8DVMmqs2nmCqpDUikZTkd7PW6rmgMmdGuwM3 1,000.28 DOT 2026-08-31 1
13td91dJk9cHAwQMtc2pkqKJjNtBoz99KCpXnS1snQnBi95d 570.00 DOT 2026-07-31 32
156FTqDnWfExVrA8Ypk1JXT3MHVPyp6x6xCvdcrUV1Dijhc1 287.96 DOT 2026-08-26 6