Polkadot Validators / BRC/04

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
13z6tqM18G...XKtHfixb
Stake Amount:
7,072,760.00 DOT
% of Total Stake:
70.1%
Current Slot:
#328 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #328 → #528
Risk Level:
HIGH

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
57
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
27 nominators (1,617,159.14 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
25 nominators (1,231,396.53 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
5 nominators (86,732.89 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
2,399,333.73 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
23.8%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #328 → #368
Risk Level:
LOW

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (57)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
141HuWrPqyKM84cy2QPVekAnbuQvd54DiB76MkAtRMB9KW6J 1,001,882.47 DOT 2026-09-18 28
15fziSBNvETnJ897MtYH9EUH4NFsCWt88Zvd1uEijSP5dDgL 691,684.89 DOT 2026-09-02 44
1pcanEkCnTNPx4kMP94Wfrt8doU7xptZBJ3MMV3DDJeko28 233,006.36 DOT 2026-09-18 28
16aTCW4sqoanNdmPhBdi2wjLGphMU9NKurzhBzcWYZLyEZ42 152,735.00 DOT 2026-09-02 44
15PFPYwGMXeMMCXf5KZZqPZLDak9LHZb3bWXHqnAFe2fSGtq 114,000.00 DOT 2026-09-03 43
15madAV34fN9aoP2ihP1QnzbVDsEaUn7JCgKDH9y1PBsHK9n 100,003.09 DOT 2026-10-12 4
124JJC8pAFMoqgZmwqwBUoaPBaPWB4ksfzbRrrRsx2mpzcMR 100,000.66 DOT 2026-10-12 4
13bbYhJAohbZGxppShzxz4sw459DMt7Wo8Utj8mrjX6WQysR 61,658.05 DOT 2026-09-15 31
15GnMnrsPf4QA3VE1PYQddgWP8pfr4q5Z9Y15c82Vuw1LwoC 58,392.99 DOT 2026-07-31 77
15XbxA5par1zgLNGj39uQxdXbWsWgJuemii82Nnra63wSYSm 40,448.87 DOT 2026-10-12 4
1EghnxVf3moPRTUvwFeYssduR77PJhjL5sWdEJacoo9SAga 40,263.28 DOT 2026-09-08 38
14TTWwQ7DzKzfkuG41BB1udrhP3DFtiitmvHuHV7VjjKig19 29,259.00 DOT 2026-09-04 42
1EdWSs1F5VLu978DgqA7c4dAdvncWwaPoRujErjah1MFduf 27,283.95 DOT 2026-09-06 40
15SVFPiL1bJMqEftnNMsmDWhHA6493y7RzPBspgdArK9ZQVs 26,634.00 DOT 2026-10-12 4
1vJthoUD5arwe9PF3gLr9SRh9CvSmn6PcQmFECFWDeoifBB 25,881.47 DOT 2026-09-06 40
15LonAFhL9FTVcjJbEC3e565PaHhY7F1bgTwnWuhZRPi16WA 23,028.35 DOT 2026-09-07 39
12dxhiec3m8KhTEaz1mffx12zQPpwjvxW9KD2N7xEy6PZHbR 20,000.00 DOT 2026-10-12 4
15nV3DieYm7eBSTyF7vch6Ljje4UBfX5YY1yS3uRzLwFhrrG 18,740.59 DOT 2026-07-31 77
17u9ifXFEopVVuv6EK2k2mTRVQoGCqwoKMySmaqssiKnxX3 18,100.00 DOT 2026-09-03 43
15oSAnCUaDSLC1fQ5yY3y6vHmj5ooA6SAmJLA3V35oaghtH7 13,749.81 DOT 2026-10-12 4
14K9zqbKKPgoURQ5NhWhsw8AuFPBzWqFXMWEhHZ3xytaRSvC 13,539.43 DOT 2026-10-12 4
13GmmtvLZWRUhLveo66WcVm18u7gBaiXpd5UfptTqGQHbMqy 13,022.56 DOT 2026-10-12 4
13paypwh2TD5YdKu95FNW8ajUD9vPtTGyaD94of9rTVgnn4d 10,909.00 DOT 2026-09-05 41
1ScQaP1KQqL1PhwsCPyj2jkN8aRX9jWUNASjwQQZfyPWKoo 10,516.92 DOT 2026-10-12 4
168mhMSgKUn72XxxEEjQ9DP2rQ6hAcuaR6HM3fLbn3egqg5K 10,304.90 DOT 2026-09-05 41
12sz144jHLyjzcMfnhTgubtp8frPGnvLpqeH3PpvcGPYJa42 9,849.36 DOT 2026-10-12 4
15vKo2w8VpPFGvvQ2o9xXHmKGU26QvVo6B9v5dAGmsifs8yn 9,335.70 DOT 2026-09-02 44
12CDEaNPhRzmmZMHRv7oWm2fgK1U9nt57FxBKzKxH4rRBHjJ 6,886.06 DOT 2026-10-13 3
13wiKbFpvz8b84Ek6fW1ren6hmHdjPb9qEJE9RfFzgWGtWfX 4,900.00 DOT 2026-08-12 65
15iYbHENruvtNL4Zk1P61xn7HNjpk282MNiPPY84MNDxx1u5 4,226.95 DOT 2026-09-19 27
15ArbkJeKgGjxsgLxDVZKuqUUisurHxATYDtPvhBRHZGtwhh 3,409.58 DOT 2026-09-22 24
19iWzhTQEQ65HnVJGRBMHGMpgr1FZrT6fgg314ZQySGUYog 3,254.41 DOT 2026-10-13 3
126XLgm9QPPytPQYzYSKu3pvx28Cm2DnheyGXWCyZkryyutP 3,169.25 DOT 2026-09-09 37
16F8Y4bz2ySLFfQRMKe2jBJtSc2n5wqoaCfyaYZTpunM5CyW 3,030.00 DOT 2026-10-12 4
153Fz22gxQP8HM8RbnvEt9XWsXu9nR8jxZC2MbQFmuKhN62f 2,758.08 DOT 2026-07-20 88
129i9UrrHjkiaHxThuZGkt8dK95gPNNwYYoBQxXHFY9iGKvf 2,497.57 DOT 2026-09-02 44
14GmsffyHweQt6ntNxGRVzJkSYmrqkaem6Vq8aqGoUzQZ99b 2,356.21 DOT 2026-10-12 4
16VaZ7BQCwkeKpb5B7SsiPJyLkQvPnzUQmJ8VVXqxbtr3gJc 2,259.76 DOT 2026-10-12 4
1nPuffWS9FW54fxQr9jgvqoUMveQvWhXhGM3gegY1m7RtfY 2,200.00 DOT 2026-10-12 4
15GEEXsjiifu4SvK8ohy3Y8hbud6ZrkZjYQ9ZjG2x3QKMht 2,119.15 DOT 2026-09-08 38
13ZZbKYsdho1qnwCD5TAVThT7JstT9GUmwqzCqEnvN73kepa 1,941.23 DOT 2026-07-28 80
136HhYNcB3fKMKNbZLNmqLT3CLmsdMFDAbxt4Rdfo7VHZsC5 1,607.04 DOT 2026-10-12 4
13jW3V3P12B3vh9nvqceVrFdxLYgywuiMpCYGJw3qyVBCg6u 1,598.82 DOT 2026-09-06 40
12YHaNTT3hqfVaxL3D6au1u2BoKRpdL2KcFTw6pZcXvZs4bm 1,355.24 DOT 2026-09-01 45
1FGQdSr8sWGdvKGVGDphfi392PiVTk8SNxYUvUAwVXqJdLN 1,310.43 DOT 2026-09-05 41
15pBg8UEfyNCnGQh8bVUoLFAJ9vDv9MUcFkVgLQ8uH7XbdRQ 1,305.72 DOT 2026-09-01 45
14i5q9JcHTFt9Wvh9y5LorPmiZBbTyTsjXmWY2o8nTCmyQdm 1,248.30 DOT 2026-10-12 4
121tjPmrjBABppqb1pb27422VWy3N2RQHTPrHtrpH3mUL5wR 1,195.00 DOT 2026-10-12 4
16MEvQwkbza6m5d79R1tWiwEfdFAvAZSwgeTGYM2EbXjhsTh 1,145.00 DOT 2026-09-05 41
13gB3J81uGnH8DVMmqs2nmCqpDUikZTkd7PW6rmgMmdGuwM3 1,000.28 DOT 2026-08-31 46
12HXfrU2FQVUtM9rig4XAwV4pi9fDeM5AZoYnfmK1isvhSXT 960.07 DOT 2026-09-22 24
16LdNzTokckTgtXCasn5z8ErHiMoPqWLVH8Pmq8VzeLC3qdi 862.58 DOT 2026-09-06 40
13fGJir3eUbG4nEF36aKJZzbE7S5trPuwfu2wYi6bnNbqdd 779.36 DOT 2026-09-19 27
12fFkMmfSGsLQGuD37Tx2pZS4UCoX9fmRN8Ah6tFoQ1b49Ch 592.87 DOT 2026-10-13 3
14jRQ4e4dyrMi6giL9uJonCui7WSdXFFiFdyKHgmQURen7de 500.00 DOT 2026-10-12 4
14dASDAFL7DFsni8JhKqwtVZyw9yVFN2mFDjamyjqEim6sNf 300.00 DOT 2026-09-01 45
156FTqDnWfExVrA8Ypk1JXT3MHVPyp6x6xCvdcrUV1Dijhc1 288.91 DOT 2026-08-26 51