Polkadot Validators / Coinstudio/01

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
13LNT7fAGZ...BqLpptfk
Stake Amount:
271,565.48 DOT
% of Total Stake:
29.6%
Current Slot:
#692 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #692 → #742

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
23
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
7 nominators (283,558.96 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
9 nominators (35,351.48 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
7 nominators (55,038.86 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
368,800.33 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
40.2%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #692 → #772

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 23 unstable nominator(s) representing 40.2% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (23)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
13LNT7fAGZqEQfH4YTpN7SGZaujB3eW98LmqUXPmBqLpptfk 271,565.48 DOT 2026-05-24 18
1FCoXujKAJQbrjcajAHGVeyxR95KEnZ7Nx4s2rrDayCbJKo 25,000.00 DOT 2026-04-11 61
13FNvd9KhFFLG6fTXi3Gv7tJ4BoYLgqdT9znoWaCrf2LGKuH 21,208.35 DOT 2026-04-22 50
16LehMce1BvjsxVLpJMPfkAWMeFdQ4NhWeSmJQQ2DN6rw2Z7 15,176.83 DOT 2026-03-27 76
16fCZLqWFLAroLbKh3qFMQj3iSHD94ST7vQ7dzsyfmdUjgxi 7,562.44 DOT 2026-03-25 78
1Nf43XshJKhnYvAjoPsFAzEHscL5s7vA2gb3DA2H1Ry9ZBy 5,245.60 DOT 2026-05-19 23
13UVJyLnbVp8c4FQeiGLNbiPt8KyaBbHUNdJ1UPbmD8rYiZD 5,108.68 DOT 2026-05-05 37
148Y5Jdk7jvjE4ukuvUbzWmdTUjw6SipEt6rZ247rpb7goU2 4,661.66 DOT 2026-03-22 81
12pxyCu81fPNjP6LJMS8qvkpEuM8k4awWBwWuezvLSH8pAWj 4,519.13 DOT 2026-04-14 58
12WddHESFHnzSSrG1CN7SwBwFJ5tJJtu3C51VUdaVBE5oH8k 3,097.15 DOT 2026-05-19 23
1tjD9M5XRkpePCrbvZKx9U5ZAAoHq8RpkgZ64zjejjEN6Su 1,645.15 DOT 2026-04-16 56
142mACBAnB6KzeeNj3u8Reu5JirrfMcqueBWYS649UeyyJ4j 1,399.74 DOT 2026-03-14 89
16EXdKjaHDf91jx9FcoXjDEXxNPW9fqDpbXg4DxZsns4k9JC 1,174.12 DOT 2026-05-30 12
1qrsWpPkfshQzJE9EYpRrmtBF9RcpevDeafthTouB2oCsDS 1,050.84 DOT 2026-05-30 12
16A4d4ccmioArRxyBdQhJ9wiGg9PUUZURjQaDFceSnULhTRP 1,035.77 DOT 2026-05-19 23
1eLoo2Cqyx8oTZRVHbj44Bnj8Zs5MwdAxmQXmfJ63ceVoTK 1,000.00 DOT 2026-05-09 33
15rQEcR2pBtcoFBcLXV1Z3CFzdefJsc98zB6bhxsc7HxiAYp 768.35 DOT 2026-04-14 58
14ofxocxHDhzJFSVdxPiTauFBgbJGNbnRHVgUBaoRseQYgT2 724.17 DOT 2026-03-27 76
13BoWkACAof1ostkjwuuidRRk8iUc136zx3w7Nd8ohXJGFBP 514.04 DOT 2026-04-06 66
16a6RqGJjJiWJ983VEqvAnHrxNmR1LXtH75Sc3QQARpEQDyX 456.39 DOT 2026-04-14 58
13DPgGCHHhkVWZJrqhbESvs3u3ng8PcTTocfSQ6ZMcvGawSo 390.00 DOT 2026-06-09 2
15JGfDLevhtjnpHvhpMFHsnDMtXmMsnWfWhRkRUV6r9k3PLp 327.78 DOT 2026-04-14 58
1uRgfBsv9XWtAb8hWzCgFexyrHVqPUVzHmxMJiMAv481byo 317.64 DOT 2026-05-05 37