Polkadot Validators / dothub-4

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
15akYvS5im...ZPhRTBPk
Stake Amount:
524,840.00 DOT
% of Total Stake:
93.9%
Current Slot:
#673 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #673 → #873

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
15
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
15 nominators (558,835.92 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
558,835.92 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
100.0%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #673 → #823

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 15 unstable nominator(s) representing 100.0% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (15)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
15akYvS5imrFnW3jsFChqUBZ8ZQtTLqM6PznWgXdZPhRTBPk 524,840.00 DOT 2026-07-20 1
14hKZdSWYSTcnMwpaT7nC7bzohSYK43U8jT9KTL3MUf6oRBF 7,709.00 DOT 2026-06-27 24
155S8WTFb47HnLvrUn2wtn1oRuWQhw7SPPRjg8rxNCBAhGqH 6,715.89 DOT 2026-07-05 16
12wHigBaJ6F7UvDyWkCWrHfgBMMdKQSkLNMrPocCDfNa3uVD 6,189.51 DOT 2026-07-03 18
13UVJyLnbVp8c4FQeiGEbMueV7cM5BCzuFTF48chWVeU6vgk 3,133.42 DOT 2026-06-29 22
13dX49NfThw9oqFho2Q6tm4dteMURX97LBEXtCtjvtGDugTv 2,816.35 DOT 2026-07-11 10
14LUN58uZL1uQV2TTC5WYhrN3A5zJpEUrUPkLoiVmbCMTAmw 2,441.38 DOT 2026-07-03 18
145oMr7i2PJqAVPCSkEdHb6r1kQXx1N2nmw1seGJXu4ge187 1,268.26 DOT 2026-07-08 13
12LUPUb7PxR1h5hqvsSsKbcmJZm4BTDc9dqQ4cDrJAPVY1eP 985.96 DOT 2026-06-29 22
13XiTHuJLvNtjzcJXiZ3F7vKWqYz55VLvwbp22v64us1ys3h 918.92 DOT 2026-06-29 22
143Z37HPX5nxiEKnQ5tUB24KrLcaLUgPtL6JWTujESsPaVoo 680.00 DOT 2026-06-29 22
15Anb8xWdbfS7jBPNu5YHQfoui5vXMeYrevuTyrDbScudqyc 445.18 DOT 2026-06-29 22
12KQave6yY59PmYaLqbaHjPDpdvJWpmGNQY2jdNJeF4ywz7h 280.83 DOT 2026-07-15 6
13YWwLG5uw7YBupR9AmtaxxMJoHC1n68cABMPrQuJMydkmEY 271.23 DOT 2026-07-03 18
16JD1rEQUdyqxvZ8qCvuN85o7tjcFmE3TCZqUDjVTxyzJ1vj 140.00 DOT 2026-07-03 18