Polkadot Validators / ParaNodes.io/04🚀

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
âš  High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
12pw22Qyy3...GktbXYV7
Stake Amount:
1,926,862.05 DOT
% of Total Stake:
56.0%
Current Slot:
#639 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #639 → #839

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
45
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
22 nominators (3,024,104.10 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
13 nominators (193,269.32 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
10 nominators (134,569.82 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
3,198,247.10 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
93.0%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #639 → #789

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

âš  Warning: This validator has 45 unstable nominator(s) representing 93.0% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (45)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
12pw22Qyy3o28BLshjce9yrSMs3fhSiLsAjqLPAzGktbXYV7 1,926,862.05 DOT 2026-10-13 3
13UVJyLnbVp8c4FQeiGCovEJbQuhsZKmtH4JmFwDA7oh7dSD 815,999.86 DOT 2026-10-11 5
14qevXUbiVyvU2jZSWNEjkpxUhe5ccnhVuorr5SQ9R2eFZMP 149,999.90 DOT 2026-10-15 1
14Kaq4ZBY3Rc1HUz9aoi897si9GnKsufXRTRH8je5x4wCwgb 102,967.49 DOT 2026-08-19 58
16A3QwyxNKBkjmXqL5dZCbj11oEcM2qNzjhn8vQjUwdHfogm 86,116.34 DOT 2026-07-31 77
15tbpBCG16vpPJtpm9RiFyZrErEzDJNym5RFSwz8Xguqgjoy 58,301.38 DOT 2026-08-23 54
1gb8NQYRsSRjLQGZ42hzRK4N9d99ih9TV5QBgnXGpUsLS7d 47,674.80 DOT 2026-09-20 26
12NNWRVN74Gve5GfVQaVMCg79m8shed5QipgB7F34xkL4gVC 26,346.37 DOT 2026-07-31 77
15iqv4E9F7uX2Xjiyh8uopqEPaP4VTSTvJzX1ccFiwv4G56Y 21,680.91 DOT 2026-08-23 54
145r7a6RaZCtgECsAJB2gAF9oQhcmgPGFEVZvEXydc4uHWDu 20,000.00 DOT 2026-09-23 23
16FuPWBjsnpZrvYk5HBcZBxcbDb6J6pA4iiZePoCYAm32xmc 15,360.14 DOT 2026-10-05 11
1LnkqRzhpKzCrffgK2TbZSgUGr1xMrjSwE7MrFTyozTNxHd 15,000.00 DOT 2026-09-29 17
12HmVZEZMsZAvsZCN9BzMF68VvPKa2VY3PgUrqVyGJ8SwNXa 12,000.00 DOT 2026-10-05 11
15Q5BDKqeBAruX7JAq81AdhFfftE3QTzXMzBJNAEfN6zn9Qx 11,604.87 DOT 2026-08-04 73
14fezsyX7rEWmo1NcYp6HVnug1dmA9irwpG5J8MKLUzXZccz 4,399.63 DOT 2026-09-23 23
14RZDJ2vGfCzE2YBZtnryUZRSV4gLdNTmWZ7ojPh9G57LEF 4,391.72 DOT 2026-09-22 24
16Ar9KjX2LQf2CdTrTxbyxPjDNswhL7qPhnwcr8ocMynBRWo 3,501.45 DOT 2026-10-05 11
12Ry2ZFopXqQ8PKPr7Uwf52yRtAhKmWcDU498oP7BwSFPCMk 3,125.84 DOT 2026-07-31 77
15StDpMW2jhUeaPZcxELCCRtAerKMRcYJwMiLYdSpoiDtrQD 2,196.86 DOT 2026-09-23 23
1ERkorQygjXhBBUiYLZZDknA24kKVMyE2TY9BBdEoAc7Y8u 2,105.00 DOT 2026-08-24 53
15FbbY2PXBFDyXHWg8UiQHLDzNpm9SRHWwmxtFFsu3P22fPU 1,900.39 DOT 2026-07-31 77
1tiuTwvPYrEvYG9EYmpPvP9Mec3ap8rTJDnqvf3GCESwRxX 1,781.96 DOT 2026-07-31 77
16d3LD1TepWB9zZ4of4wwVaw9bfntq163n4KbSbF3b2XREFs 1,614.62 DOT 2026-07-31 77
1xJ9zFEF6Yj9HmdsV6ckCZEQ9oXaBo1qyBbEPeZZKPNED2F 1,529.90 DOT 2026-09-23 23
14C1bXNqtQjhjSCHdPfxVmev8hedfwekagt9dPLX6wyQvZip 1,360.04 DOT 2026-08-24 53
15m6bg6oMBv9aS6LjRZHvyFNz5EkAakMuE5fBT49Wc64gXHR 1,350.48 DOT 2026-09-10 36
12ERNmkFdWpdMZfb8YSBpUZt2MntffgmiPpptMHJMoUXkH2N 1,347.68 DOT 2026-09-15 31
12EdhajpesYWpMeEW18nhWJc7L33xpWx6VXoHgxfZekeen2E 1,166.00 DOT 2026-08-23 54
13UVJyLnbVp8c4FQeiGF5tma7Zt57pTgYqJ56wdwiD1zRc9L 1,089.17 DOT 2026-07-31 77
15wUN1LuroB2UoV4ApwKYb5kAvJw9QQT8AQ1psujv8XUdkVW 961.75 DOT 2026-08-24 53
1CiijHS1mt6j5pbA2WjXfJ9cw7VrqDaZRnjmCMCMBwbwWzt 877.04 DOT 2026-09-23 23
1613owLWPmc4nx9BePPexqZbeZG1preQ6ss94Dds1iVShcBD 859.90 DOT 2026-09-23 23
13LVeHmUpyPzFvcEwy9TvBJHU7UW8EB98XSmZHYsqFkF8xhg 799.35 DOT 2026-10-01 15
15esne6gJeQDmrxPnp41TZpiYyGnSvjcB1bswT2qoaK9kuLo 796.09 DOT 2026-08-25 52
16bCLrxk31LNLtQZjmeMx9rFXFUJvGpvhdWYeR1frvuX5HmT 740.27 DOT 2026-07-31 77
13UVJyLnbVp8c4FQeiGG8XMAKnCzDS88oSxahv4Le6gUc6J9 672.32 DOT 2026-09-22 24
1sk1yhu1y3GY3AnxUeyS29BR8nWUq6uhpLqmskJfnbCdh1X 568.03 DOT 2026-08-31 46
14cTMd3bfuAwrQ6UMzsQvvM7LekqBBfFwNDTSwvivyiaVCHQ 509.62 DOT 2026-09-23 23
14GmV6oAjQasFxDrPF2rBY3RdnmMnwAhqUM9vGCCT3K2KJwq 439.20 DOT 2026-10-13 3
12Z14Xw6wN1pQbBc8T3nsbRPLhXc1ZwijrnTfntT3ph89XHC 412.58 DOT 2026-09-15 31
14426d1aGgFotkz8NA7599MokZEEHZFSink8yxTGZP66dqs9 400.02 DOT 2026-10-01 15
14gTxDqtk5s8JsDxmdK7dduKacQ1TvHgLbCMuwe4RtUEe8n1 380.33 DOT 2026-10-05 11
12ktHRR5k588u3eHBGoaTkAREyp53ekPoGnzDscb4oipgwuB 251.89 DOT 2026-09-15 31
12gEmLDTSpzwxaiJ1xy3x3RNQJR6EWt87WwV1AvsrejCAqRt 250.00 DOT 2026-09-23 23
1j9bphikTWSrLCxLi9cWj7dUe8Lt3gFsN9gs3Ewsk2H1rSk 250.00 DOT 2026-07-31 77