Polkadot Validators / 🌌 Novasama 🌌/von Neumann

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
âš  High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
13UVJyLnbV...zie2jyC3
Stake Amount:
3,463,462.29 DOT
% of Total Stake:
98.4%
Current Slot:
#407 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #407 → #607

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
17
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
15 nominators (43,289.86 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
2 nominators (3,463,743.11 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
2,122,779.37 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
60.3%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #407 → #557

âš  WARNING: Would be close to active set threshold (43 slots buffer)

Risk Level:
HIGH

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

âš  Warning: This validator has 17 unstable nominator(s) representing 60.3% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (17)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
13UVJyLnbVp8c4FQeiGG4wgZ8fTPB4dJZ21YasxCzie2jyC3 3,463,462.29 DOT 2026-05-20 59
1uUqhdQxrW4oGus24JZtLiewxp898qksUsFNYxwdWMNthMv 12,068.23 DOT 2026-07-03 15
126TsE8Dpb5w78EJYnfWeH3cetAuTnrPUEVcuSXc3DSQJKzy 7,200.13 DOT 2026-06-29 19
12vXacg9vA7oZQ8QngnpExEUYu5tSdDfLYnf15Um7HNJSe6Y 7,132.04 DOT 2026-07-07 11
15T8wZNMLckwnbaJENy8tfhyEhmjYfqfLaoQcHoyRe8JzZuc 3,600.74 DOT 2026-06-29 19
15Ui8P7ms6eEZQVLGTy3B85DLQEoHiYeVGEct834t9Uuw9xT 3,485.61 DOT 2026-07-08 10
15SqGYzpnQTNbU3vxtQVGfPWu1VRBLVCANK9oGe2f3NAsPGi 2,088.39 DOT 2026-07-11 7
15AZpH6cZy1cCQnAKoYyFgprXdRgDFvLwTkdK3M5A3tcrhN5 1,510.88 DOT 2026-07-11 7
15Ry7JrfkgWLcVagPRv7gvAEQLDLMiNWsj6fotgYEWyC6RyG 1,310.00 DOT 2026-07-11 7
12HT7fkQw3dkVNWMS2bDFa9eGY2g6Nhd6fMBGtzYRs71Xzi1 1,034.83 DOT 2026-06-29 19
15JXHm8vYrJnkS6XE42z3ZBoBNtT6Ho7kDTuZoyDRB8vmQKG 1,000.00 DOT 2026-07-06 12
12gVVpMMRVoRgDQF1NMGdiFP6jXUQiEq8CvQLNAnxeiFCJpF 787.16 DOT 2026-06-29 19
13aV1AUpqZJbJDhfNaCGf5KY4YsiWGGLJKdAhBTuBYpef9Y9 630.89 DOT 2026-06-29 19
1sk1yhu1y3GY3AnxUeyS29BR8nWUq6uhpLqmskJfnbCdh1X 564.36 DOT 2026-06-29 19
13UVJyLnbVp8c4FQeiGGvtVnimQ3HjAFEGhgHUy7U8fCdSyg 510.22 DOT 2026-07-03 15
162CF9uxqDXFfKcUgjcytRdEyot1hmU6pWFVexJG79JYMdng 366.39 DOT 2026-06-29 19
159xm5kXH7kQtHJt2h92vpbfRu4F9shvNY5wc2cA6KNv9uTp 280.82 DOT 2026-06-09 39