Polkadot Validators / 🚂 Zugian Duck 🦆/V3

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
âš  High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
15tLyqhggR...Ko3GeLtk
Stake Amount:
168,000.00 DOT
% of Total Stake:
49.8%
Current Slot:
#687 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #687 → #787

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
48
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
12 nominators (41,752.48 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
21 nominators (83,362.95 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
15 nominators (194,883.71 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
150,385.70 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
44.5%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #687 → #767

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

âš  Warning: This validator has 48 unstable nominator(s) representing 44.5% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (48)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
15tLyqhggRW1dPaN1KaK1SWdzz6MRUb4mCgfVzwWKo3GeLtk 168,000.00 DOT 2026-07-14 78
13BdXhvQSWvj5YcgMjiXSC2SY1oa8uTZ6uaR2CYDiwc7vnYZ 32,322.55 DOT 2026-08-12 49
15iqv4E9F7uX2Xjiyh8uopqEPaP4VTSTvJzX1ccFiwv4G56Y 21,654.21 DOT 2026-08-23 38
16FE1FFdVeM7oCXwPbRgmpN3WXiDeEX9JFTtDnJznfi9mGSy 15,381.00 DOT 2026-09-02 28
13QDKAGJAz6ee7NUz8d8fNoXtRrdowMdfyS9wYaXFQPGhgD6 9,773.80 DOT 2026-09-22 8
1VtzxBWWSBGynt7kxBM3kGaq28MovttJN3S4QHCwjXGJgL5 7,032.52 DOT 2026-09-20 10
13iXsjnpZPK3aagHKDm5p6UrNupUgLs3QMaqgBYdV4R7DmgJ 6,188.26 DOT 2026-08-12 49
14YpCmmm4yjKv9c1Jns7zDcaMVZzytGSHxG3sqVM9G7ZdDj2 5,445.48 DOT 2026-07-31 61
14tsCP2QYgsk7opoLNHdhqi4csTffhUuB4f6gv93nyLjXNVS 4,597.04 DOT 2026-07-27 65
12nL5nnBBTpvKNbA65xCP2BpoS5UZWSXWRJCPqrvF1JmCTr7 3,603.17 DOT 2026-07-09 83
16PB2Fq156bkjBRVFT7bg33By792FfU7JvYXXBxpL62f8ZFF 3,291.60 DOT 2026-08-12 49
15uzLp8bkTB4BZzxPHCGy8unxSJZtEd8TLbaU73fpdaTHnJg 3,181.69 DOT 2026-07-31 61
1Qej82PEAa5StohhYYJBiPDeHy7v7PAQ5RukBMo2qM4QkFU 2,934.60 DOT 2026-08-05 56
141h788dFqpPq2v26RoD45ZyhZcP8eheRtQEoj99pCiJsgZ 2,818.88 DOT 2026-08-12 49
14JTBwonUYurLvC9ajoFt2P1vWQvfGgoUpUSc2HnaDaYimqC 2,756.05 DOT 2026-08-12 49
188RY1WyKWtodSrvgUx581hcASAhcB5ceA7pKVaVrK6zQc7 2,729.00 DOT 2026-09-02 28
15wiG8VpapwmhTYfCzwByUkvEjeUrpZbwGUTPzB5cCRU3GwB 2,378.71 DOT 2026-08-24 37
1HPKZzzd9nyr2DdvtPxytNMZm3Ld5nh3BBY4Ecgg9JxgL7G 2,247.24 DOT 2026-07-31 61
123LAUvzHhVzdzQsPZ6gyqjmaU3SdVPEis8xASwD198wySTq 1,744.46 DOT 2026-07-31 61
13UVJyLnbVp8c4FQeiGFwpmwTrrbCSesw722Brvd4hv9zFUZ 1,634.70 DOT 2026-07-31 61
1ssXEPzBvGkzezmvK9pBuzvQk7ogHs6TSTJptWepQSPcthY 1,487.32 DOT 2026-09-02 28
16UrrrKTBUnmCfedJhtyRcWHa4c4484UTNAXqToWAoLVNEUc 1,420.54 DOT 2026-08-05 56
12wn8nEenwqY4nXSaj5EUs1K7BHwFnm7e3N6NXowfwQpw7WQ 1,345.58 DOT 2026-07-31 61
122SkqQ8wAs24wusGFkcRZ4rhuBEBtfESfs24sKMuAkKDv6q 1,200.01 DOT 2026-09-26 4
13DxrYo9zzXJs8PtH7utkFLjVJ27qKyHNhEoYnE5vAbCoCUH 1,119.38 DOT 2026-09-02 28
1c8s65ycVVoh11JMq5T2tqfvDq8tLanHpX7eD6SLW5e5fAM 1,045.45 DOT 2026-09-02 28
1FPXdeZfcLdRBtbs1GccskWg4LLfa92hyceUfM7fkdMCaxN 997.48 DOT 2026-08-05 56
12bvHLkJUtR3Dwm4AvFLiYb1xBscAYMwP2GFrvzvyDRwJrDa 911.64 DOT 2026-08-12 49
1h9hCjAdBuBz6Awduek7XgMw8TmAqCSpVaMaZGiqSRvz9Cq 900.15 DOT 2026-08-05 56
13LVeHmUpyPzFvcEwy9TvBJHU7UW8EB98XSmZHYsqFkF8xhg 799.35 DOT 2026-08-05 56
1634Rq3meqRSXghAgNoHf66XaLPwV3PAyV6kJi8kJV1McKBc 722.77 DOT 2026-09-02 28
16MPEEN1kQpMwHof5ajNukXn2DpQij7BUqgjwdLJETxqdtTj 664.70 DOT 2026-08-05 56
16DYAEHv8XpoHEDJPw8FPjXS8SxkBNJH6tkCNAdYQoQWSC5t 659.68 DOT 2026-08-12 49
152atUGFGQNHGVNFp4SMCNffWex2tU4nz3wFeRG7tcXwbfrA 628.37 DOT 2026-08-12 49
16MkJ24WtJMgxBpmLRBdCWtMMDsxQ9RnrxaQyAZ93Gz8uk5q 568.47 DOT 2026-07-31 61
19QXmYw678bymvATw7r6Y3TZL4sqrZcvgxfBhQz5CAtwrmC 565.34 DOT 2026-07-31 61
15K64mp3k8Qyiow7ZhzKWH9UxNFvpEf2xVvJ4QVaQ5sBJg2i 560.70 DOT 2026-07-31 61
13sF5VHJKJstqNDinQfzLDKcCU5PFa5thQWCKNbHwLqNQU9a 557.05 DOT 2026-07-31 61
16X2zGtk7ZWH6BadEhhMEn66xfkPrs46QrsT2KUZikDAkX34 529.66 DOT 2026-08-12 49
16G1wRDirJkBcxRgJFaFa1o7HkJ6NxAp8vAjWjB75cQgQ5eG 527.92 DOT 2026-08-24 37
13rDkDq3WXt8khstrH9geqYVEibZGQMzC2kMySEMxt3Q38JU 521.91 DOT 2026-07-31 61
16JrRQbbA8FQCLAp3w35tq4oZU7T1M6zCUz56YkWJKAWKKc8 491.46 DOT 2026-09-26 4
12XmCz7C92iMVjbYBHdJ9iQzWZQ8ie9PNfoyd8DPvgw6fXER 400.00 DOT 2026-09-02 28
138baP2AYbSLP9qHLTifUhZbYVmFZf1m7J5i3JJ6oXuz4JAJ 369.78 DOT 2026-09-22 8
16XQXRUiXJNK8z1ngXV4bKYeuSKPt29oFQMk5V6ou1kzJmx6 363.30 DOT 2026-08-12 49
13k3L5rvyYYDzHWc3VmQc4fwzNffaVaz6uS9ub8hpSgY7sij 311.90 DOT 2026-08-12 49
16XkL85Rd7NbDNgyq3E73awGuDXb5pfuXwBSfbshRsbegrpV 310.88 DOT 2026-07-31 61
1122mBRJeGovSqeEKhdAi7MNNcJioFJXy199REQKx3i2pPw6 303.39 DOT 2026-08-12 49