Polkadot Validators / DecentraStake

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
1ayYF5ZUK8...uPLJdejt
Stake Amount:
300,000.41 DOT
% of Total Stake:
82.9%
Current Slot:
#667 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #667 → #867

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
18
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
15 nominators (350,004.60 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
2 nominators (1,485.64 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
1 nominators (570.00 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
351,066.99 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
97.0%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #667 → #817

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 18 unstable nominator(s) representing 97.0% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (18)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
1ayYF5ZUK8D28DtDMEf88HWSdzU9de2vddVSczjuPLJdejt 300,000.41 DOT 2026-07-08 0
17x3nrz12wRDKkihK7fVqsPKLWP2nqvLB8zcdqPpSC4Uq7H 30,172.63 DOT 2026-07-03 5
12wHigBaJ6F7UvDyWkCWrHfgBMMdKQSkLNMrPocCDfNa3uVD 6,189.51 DOT 2026-07-03 5
13TtCDJVVrjH4GMifGcb4bzabaP83wPQTyemjcxDMKw9zxHv 2,826.12 DOT 2026-07-03 5
12FCxEwHrz28MCTMyL9QD7ag5i95QULCruDLWTHzHUQDC3R6 2,088.02 DOT 2026-07-04 4
1iV3KpgUTLHbjznBz8M5Rx47BTQcTzeoAdg92vkHgWkS7sE 2,059.10 DOT 2026-07-03 5
13ASEZvCvkGxscpqWpYAzs5yXKtYkYec61nuZgcVcQEEHUdM 1,405.00 DOT 2026-07-03 5
1eukF7FvjE7jgsdSvc3m8mEdgRjZ8C3qCxgyNsrnsXaGb16 1,310.27 DOT 2026-07-03 5
1FziKYpTUkUDuchEAHKG3wW6E83kNkeoebKb583xGQo7aNM 1,005.72 DOT 2026-07-03 5
13zRYycV1hwACeh8NJMCtQa8q1cpuZM17C2AqkZJ18bcLErS 980.00 DOT 2026-06-08 30
13NbgMdKLcjn1C4TRWFvNwt7Nn4iBuwaPvMjFdZAjyDeixTR 790.91 DOT 2026-07-03 5
13UcsY8GvcuMPc1zt4S4nKLLTkhcb4yEXpuqqXjoZzA6xsz4 712.99 DOT 2026-07-08 0
13ZgavQfDH4KCptmZ9T7oZNEVHU77v3nz4EM3j1KmQBMo92Q 609.78 DOT 2026-07-03 5
13td91dJk9cHAwQMtc2pkqKJjNtBoz99KCpXnS1snQnBi95d 570.00 DOT 2026-05-09 60
1DUPQx8Qaga1XukDWGyiyX7mQGXUDdFbfpjJGJ6tWpXDRaw 505.64 DOT 2026-05-30 39
1yWmNumMEJ9NNZaRtCQ7ZptjV8ZVi6aYduqPYkPeQhBy1CT 320.00 DOT 2026-07-03 5
1332bdcKzG2PcUMaTXYXHoDbNGtJ7cmwZkBCA3C2TvtUr6SQ 259.15 DOT 2026-07-03 5
12goFAyNayroJJ44RYMzkBhsf926K3yMj14ANQwATcTfZU2k 255.00 DOT 2026-07-03 5