Polkadot Validators / 15whzQ...6usrYgwp

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
131SbMrS6U...vsqXszkx
Stake Amount:
1,216,858.58 DOT
% of Total Stake:
62.8%
Current Slot:
#626 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #626 → #826

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
16
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
14 nominators (169,100.48 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
1 nominators (541,456.51 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
1 nominators (1,216,858.58 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
862,089.77 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
44.5%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #626 → #706

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 16 unstable nominator(s) representing 44.5% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (16)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
131SbMrS6UQTHvoDgG6p6kTfHFs93joEM6W9W1xavsqXszkx 1,216,858.58 DOT 2026-06-09 84
13Z84bc4ws7kkeLX7CejPp2iZ32UfcNEriLoJ3nFv6h618Td 541,456.51 DOT 2026-07-26 37
13BipKgVXXR4agm4ijA8ASrBNfJnBqGUUwa2WaTrZ39NE4a5 61,152.46 DOT 2026-08-12 20
14j3Mm4DudGEnEeYKqm2pkzHobhWjfXQmVCgrZ6Sj2LJ2GWh 37,543.38 DOT 2026-08-17 15
14MhVcGUX11p6vDWxWA4Via6vgDnLc16BU31g2zYPbfCSZ2r 26,198.81 DOT 2026-08-14 18
16PiC9wdtrfzTk6Kk9ZtbGDXr1NrS7oDRFmRAdJGrH7WVSrF 14,427.38 DOT 2026-08-13 19
16eRv2z3LFiPGSjcXwtqXZajMfmUdiNHa3FP1xcpZSGRzoA2 11,530.25 DOT 2026-08-08 24
15MxNdaWBotNAWNvFKesCVfg9WoPVW55D46kQSqQjFYn65gS 6,134.03 DOT 2026-08-09 23
1QmzGX4xaye5Bkscwaa8i5acZiKwdwHcixCSkrcUaPawCcF 6,000.00 DOT 2026-08-22 10
16RzTqfusSEX8duHkQM83hAScD4FX6zPbTYuxbYwV2yz5Szj 1,600.14 DOT 2026-08-13 19
1TGx8ZaNKEUr8eQ2R8nCtXEjYgqbCoSpavpDNcAKeDpgg84 1,219.66 DOT 2026-08-14 18
1RJjfKeDeGpdxBTbAdQeEixUrAV29rj89czBkd9sEE2BvbP 1,004.59 DOT 2026-08-12 20
1pzuBTZdAWnwWqMCN9dWR967Za5SU5b4HE5ggXDDbbJp3yF 724.16 DOT 2026-08-14 18
12zbUQf8youSSj19S5Bx8RBfLJuxJMDNVtLHboKiUNL9Z949 623.14 DOT 2026-08-09 23
13omSBZGxBMeoVivHGuCNoBwKA6uujdzbDW1EEDeyk1UjNg4 501.95 DOT 2026-08-08 24
16XukWKwNmAaTGgsghD6zgBdK9toXcqa6NtKTSzf87QWTT4E 440.54 DOT 2026-08-19 13