Polkadot Validators / 15wBGA...nbErsPJr

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
15wBGAgXhY...nbErsPJr
Stake Amount:
100,000.00 DOT
% of Total Stake:
3.5%
Current Slot:
#547 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #547 → #557

⚠ WARNING: Close to active set threshold (43 slots buffer)

Risk Level:
HIGH

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
42
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
6 nominators (305,545.26 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
36 nominators (2,409,866.37 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
936,287.07 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
33.3%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #547 → #627

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 42 unstable nominator(s) representing 33.3% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (42)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
165Ph83Ak8doe7UKUw1v4Pn1oWbTcAyQ2nPCmKBQfpfoazmx 100,000.00 DOT 2026-07-21 73
16JMf9z9dNuzYFTbupkuVvxewiawcGCZnSfdG4EQenW29PcU 100,000.00 DOT 2026-07-21 73
15YJj9f1jBMmQuG5GdudYXz2TMhve8Es9KS6XnWPwedLk1MB 100,000.00 DOT 2026-07-21 73
14uRqRM9NRydqffJuz8jE2Hbud8mGwPXWBk2CVwo2Uyb34Sm 100,000.00 DOT 2026-07-21 73
1rzXQtxEn1vUnr69jyQ6Eh5GbqgyGhSFMfeN3iMmUQF25TE 100,000.00 DOT 2026-08-24 39
13besuZ6Bt7gDq6q2caNzWiHEHaNZ9dNcgExKBPrH7C9gkEN 100,000.00 DOT 2026-08-24 39
117B5NeuWkwH6G2xswVs1Nmp87Q1jsJdX17ryqweHjTk7zP 100,000.00 DOT 2026-07-21 73
14e3BuNFcaNxiBTeG5A1oLNZ5LyTEsxH4g6jw5qz6iEcyuxn 100,000.00 DOT 2026-07-21 73
145RTqLpLNyCrZ3V9LyxrW5ZdzxYWQt5bq9QidWSivpf1mxc 100,000.00 DOT 2026-07-21 73
12Knv4aWAcxEGknXzutJufx1xm25gBkhjp1gbpjoq6HmiCqq 100,000.00 DOT 2026-07-21 73
1CakjoMkYzSMUhNkaQmauwPeU83sECtgx31VgqbUyDEvG5R 100,000.00 DOT 2026-07-21 73
14Aix8giRJS5ppwhRsCfVmXso6d2QSCZknGgPGRdReTBwd5D 100,000.00 DOT 2026-07-21 73
13TbuWGBWEMnssz35Tzg4kXhJZfQXUva7gF38WCnsLF9x9ao 100,000.00 DOT 2026-07-21 73
12xXbX6jQKi73m9h6twSJxNzJoVqRWLC3zDzhpFMHKUPRp5w 100,000.00 DOT 2026-07-21 73
16aYwHgwB5wuWPHK7ZsxLytJFaFbqth2hCEejCPcBd5modqt 100,000.00 DOT 2026-07-21 73
16fissJHoY3mGkGQmcELkkEbPQz2tnAyZNL3BnecGrmzZbSw 100,000.00 DOT 2026-08-24 39
13p2g4gp8JQA7e2PyDtLtoKZX9QiFvNvNaaUorKxmj9Aw2L4 100,000.00 DOT 2026-07-21 73
14x64J34iDpwfiZxkAqit1nCQBsUUv5Un29LKanLMNmxhmQY 100,000.00 DOT 2026-07-21 73
12KoTy4aBDFjRShCR8xEi8Z5CFcFbSodtcKtBUGdFFD8wqtr 100,000.00 DOT 2026-07-21 73
14SjYHaUsvHeVcUmpupxhwju22rTZXc6VKRUYkMJkYqtEAdF 100,000.00 DOT 2026-07-21 73
13VVaCiRxNgqXQfgFSXmz9MqbrFFYFGTWPYaJWuRJYPW7WhC 100,000.00 DOT 2026-07-21 73
13aV6LhoiPJLS6NgPih9b2gVf3iLM5Q75C7sk337Kg1cS6zV 100,000.00 DOT 2026-07-21 73
14ktrCvJgDmBGRrXymoVRQuaskj4y5Z5PDcy5D31asvbN1QX 100,000.00 DOT 2026-07-21 73
16JxzcCSaKXbWr4mVj4M96FUpHaxyXnwnr4nqWFgNPU3q29Y 100,000.00 DOT 2026-07-21 73
16aUctxN6DwapjkgyJtps4GNwsL2qR6ynEwCLYzX5xVJJUP9 100,000.00 DOT 2026-07-21 73
12QSTnQ36S6vSSU83p8ZgEVpubiSjAQvEvHJEhZRQ1j7DoG1 100,000.00 DOT 2026-07-21 73
14twKiHX6Jr595LqP1tGhLynUVafvoToCw2H9wEDJAd616eZ 59,097.33 DOT 2026-07-31 63
1RbgH4BFVLoHZtXeJpLHmeEmWfZRTmgnU82RWs3DLpsbyiP 20,085.20 DOT 2026-07-23 71
17YjrbQxYD6Vd1HnXyeNHYBdXmKJw7qUrgMeBCgXLV2H4Px 8,264.05 DOT 2026-07-23 71
14Cjg1kDDusvEQhDGXayPbAu3fwmdu6uDBadSEMYh469kW7d 7,254.03 DOT 2026-07-25 69
14fzdr5HWFNTFyQBb1iTtnssTMxsQNvz8wWB9a7TAKSuw2d2 4,406.32 DOT 2026-07-23 71
1nYYUHWsftMVqjcZQNcS9Ke5nCXyb4f1cSUGCZWWJqMEiMo 4,074.42 DOT 2026-07-25 69
14ynQbZECmrsFp4vKzCXX5oo8gTyoTri8zLDJJuXDf48yJU4 3,038.96 DOT 2026-08-10 53
12WGhUhumofJAbaLqnGydfzfFoEjeWcHUHT3MktmsFWqxKEr 2,376.28 DOT 2026-07-31 63
12YMUgVGuhmq7NxmEYyibEz24gEch6hrGrkxrgq4gCr7XpNz 1,682.57 DOT 2026-08-09 54
14VXc73wdnxG8n17D4Vwn2FnQdPHo9JvdTZYmfccpyzn77iD 1,272.69 DOT 2026-07-24 70
12We92YcxZuHRhiSJ52MEja1bSzjCSoYhtqEfu2AGdaUSxXx 823.73 DOT 2026-08-10 53
16csTbgTMYQXXgfSbYUKj9SxSkANbJUug811s98hc5CEXkr 797.01 DOT 2026-07-24 70
1FP8HpaYiRa97Ae1gSf2JsfBrybHcACDawVb3Pnc8kETgnc 654.69 DOT 2026-07-31 63
12e4hz2FPDyLaP2q3cTeuJUgsn7NCazUoBFVHn1oegEiJydH 612.75 DOT 2026-07-31 63
13opvAVPvbEvVx3bQDA7EpPfwGibcd9GMkKpS5yM69R4FZhd 573.46 DOT 2026-07-25 69
1nkZhrLd82M1pVu6wVjKq4yfhsqMr1CBM8cLSi4AXHEMVBi 398.14 DOT 2026-07-31 63