Polkadot Validators / BINANCE_STAKE_5

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
12YfMjjeRP...mrPjFT2H
Stake Amount:
17,574,619.35 DOT
% of Total Stake:
93.4%
Current Slot:
#527 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #527 → #727

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
83
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
19 nominators (206,282.03 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
48 nominators (357,348.02 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
16 nominators (17,697,968.14 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
5,894,743.37 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
31.3%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #527 → #607

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 83 unstable nominator(s) representing 31.3% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (83)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
12YfMjjeRPVHpytGSgdHH5iWnybxxuBdLuhjSuuYmrPjFT2H 17,574,619.35 DOT 2026-08-06 72
14k2Uo578hkConjYp4uGPnbmsFThJroviC835z6CWBWyCcvR 69,243.03 DOT 2026-09-02 45
13BD8qt1Ptb2NRijSTCt9ef467ctDUNdqrFTrskB544vs8p2 54,038.42 DOT 2026-08-28 50
14fdiVfw7UiXh7GwxQQUjyenA2rQyGWiB4WKH6f1QnRaK8Av 40,011.53 DOT 2026-10-10 7
11HFbQxUfBezw5vn7TdupbYLLpyU5HyimZfjVbc5y3ni8Pk 36,814.00 DOT 2026-08-08 70
15LaATKkqb1ymzvUvDU5hskKyyrzN3dserUiiR5vURfx4ped 32,336.41 DOT 2026-10-12 5
13u3QTjSDkLNUzjqfeiEwZXGpCpSLQNtmriAq3iWwKBeza1i 32,002.44 DOT 2026-08-08 70
136P8WkNeSq5DTNujKWNsaYM3z3Sm9FGVHArw69n43f1NQus 29,122.18 DOT 2026-10-01 16
13GTwqRgp5Jj4gGmuHuYm7dXBo6eandPVfyCfkrrXyD1sGE9 25,434.19 DOT 2026-10-09 8
16SGPqo9HLFpb8sgyDS2qANDPYC8jB4mX8UUkWiu7ucYXJGw 20,184.04 DOT 2026-09-02 45
19LTqtsjBo6Vc8oJhU2Mwuhdqn6cMAxEPfbx1m5b2izNDUg 19,000.01 DOT 2026-08-17 61
17u9ifXFEopVVuv6EK2k2mTRVQoGCqwoKMySmaqssiKnxX3 18,100.00 DOT 2026-09-03 44
1KxMVojgxPJYdGKoPK3xeGDkV4zeSiLcnzR2eyHgvAB9Thh 16,333.00 DOT 2026-09-03 44
13C3u3CuXKxGboLNty4KVWMMWLUgUxFTe2NE9VxHWHcYdELB 14,300.00 DOT 2026-07-20 89
16FD1fLiaoErDtVn48zvdhLhpbjTstoyT1FVYigV4knAxHdF 14,219.01 DOT 2026-10-02 15
165E88aJbUMwwzZqAbbKhoKoRELK4Lwzof4rm6dr73MYGotL 13,643.03 DOT 2026-08-27 51
1HNLwauYtC5KAitaHhjrT731tG5x9PvNPMocVLUaayQc5uC 12,500.00 DOT 2026-10-12 5
1297ntkwEXwnUr7uFFBJtN23se6EWZFos5zhYWMDPjMqCNc9 12,425.14 DOT 2026-10-08 9
15Xi4ba6HSJ38oH5Ca7nJQsqAEmxnxKNEXyGANWTQ7BuW9dn 12,391.54 DOT 2026-08-21 57
15DpaxxRkKgKz1yiwxvwwQFr6rfe1EyhZBwf7CLjYKieoiSK 12,356.83 DOT 2026-09-02 45
144PTQWvCmtJuy7HVDNCN8QUHQgMgyCU65rtHHJFVGzL8bNN 11,700.93 DOT 2026-08-25 53
13Keyv5gzpD9o3twQbjjE7dX2HcczAfGcusQbZMV4YnPEZuu 11,225.12 DOT 2026-08-19 59
14zwQe212Hm72Huaahjy49LbHBqHF3pZXVNr3qpgx4qePDqo 10,035.83 DOT 2026-09-02 45
12GyWU4LXt8SvWYYzWtQBuevgGJqSXLDHY5QYHqmroWTjUfF 10,000.77 DOT 2026-09-02 45
132cWdYFYNzhajyuHN72mPGpFhHinCLCbNPX7CnePS3ncZTW 9,444.94 DOT 2026-09-02 45
12e39i7HkeL9qzM9LpQM7hr3PPdAU9fU19BkxPv8iX62nDuR 8,268.64 DOT 2026-10-14 3
16SrApgsuw8dEFRismFggtqx18A69vdueVe2QUuoxTwZkqQi 8,085.65 DOT 2026-09-02 45
1258scN7UfVa5WfJqF4QpBaPULdQuNTJyeNsgzdh1sx52hzS 7,652.76 DOT 2026-08-23 55
15WY4zURMWu2knt1odEvTQw6ngfsXDkZv6N3bmncn6HZ3cLa 7,575.00 DOT 2026-08-25 53
12xgap3PJyNGjWdNpiJD77VQznvAepALJVdGtLM9vXH71QXT 7,028.61 DOT 2026-09-02 45
15FYJQPF2mjeagtLzfzVMVT5y5WqVDhnCYatkUBgcRukk6vb 6,898.56 DOT 2026-09-22 25
13rZgVMPCNtTubbmqimwU9KRiw8siZdbWjDeBV3ajvsKfcky 6,642.76 DOT 2026-09-01 46
16hatAjmNEp1KVb7asK4V6CwmDVMRmiy6WdjYQCAqBuuAiKR 6,489.02 DOT 2026-10-12 5
13trrBekzcQdJgsHkTBVTSPggBQhmTDxvvPCuU4DVjgYbPSF 6,059.64 DOT 2026-09-02 45
13xVwZf94qyBWKNy1MB2pru227hCEG5mXK4CByQuo3EUJzPk 5,990.09 DOT 2026-09-02 45
13WQBuqb3x71JRGxNTQLUibpgLUx9omaYBtbjfQXBgCXY4BK 5,002.57 DOT 2026-10-08 9
14Q9ozVaDFwfjUEVrzzkjzDo7JvtHsHnBAnsaPZVXrKKVi6m 4,874.00 DOT 2026-09-08 39
12NhHkTP6nsCXncyLzcd5urF8z5U8dGmGY3eQ4gyY3LivGZK 4,257.61 DOT 2026-08-09 69
14yJdAWrJf4epzafnykWEdkqX1mzNurp5qE2HxgLQf7uoUJV 3,805.83 DOT 2026-07-23 86
13GbyJSUtMaedmK4JBTLPGPadZLJr8M7bBHNFkK3YxyQRzQy 3,685.09 DOT 2026-07-23 86
12VpYowkLRYmEmxoZrReF72UFJyFHnbJiLf2o1yPCNJCgspD 3,501.49 DOT 2026-09-02 45
14spCkSUBQrPgynjjK3vmuhDpZTXJFHXwCJLcSW59LLr1YCE 3,384.73 DOT 2026-09-02 45
13MUtiHWFN6fTD6YpUvkaFpAZLY9htYp4GeWTmvqyZyiyN9M 3,096.54 DOT 2026-10-07 10
13osJDf8w8VwW9M8HwLqrAwvLu1c5PbTgKoU9FgaspNTR3zu 2,956.89 DOT 2026-10-12 5
16krPiFHKmaA9qJAHAFDwQuXX5kCGoJFZkypaMiV1bkDZL9U 2,620.94 DOT 2026-09-02 45
1NWiinA4nt1dSKTfNQDREoXpHePxB8jVvx74GCfJLPa6723 2,511.20 DOT 2026-09-02 45
15FtAs1kQib2QvcnGXTvZTtJYHZHHmuW5E9khiR6Z4kLVxM9 2,463.88 DOT 2026-08-05 73
12MsaSzVg23npLbC7pRLHVg9Nj1nDKaMxeUrYgPYpCagP1C5 2,452.06 DOT 2026-09-03 44
12Qjy2DU4CorEG7KaAtLYQrd1LnecbN3xM9U6FDrPz6zfzEG 2,323.21 DOT 2026-07-24 85
16Yf4BtFoTWjqXaNxcQKEGFgPqXq7EVNfizJKm4F76ux1SUM 2,320.13 DOT 2026-09-02 45
12PT4h9ZLQNM3ZHD7cHF1pRtwTKD7Wx9WXUSrzAg7gp5BQfz 2,306.46 DOT 2026-08-25 53
12C2NiHYBEr1pnt9QxDoRrPghJRvZBiLJboeTra3bbNi2F2D 1,971.85 DOT 2026-10-09 8
14KYY3z9WqpDuyXSZXSa2JqudjBPfgd5kcU5Q6GAZVDCCZ5F 1,957.76 DOT 2026-09-02 45
14Xvwaxazxp3NJxyunkpkwGv86C5hYTz43T7q6UjXquvdgAC 1,701.94 DOT 2026-09-02 45
1UVJ4Rd5nqZJMi4NGXRjabLN96MsNb9XFVUgmy5vr8morGP 1,596.78 DOT 2026-10-11 6
16JSGDf2RSeSBZ1BdtBeARMxCcahaphDcAFKnXxb3GE6h4WS 1,457.67 DOT 2026-08-18 60
13mo7QMancEdE848wZfoNqSmUhTJxyYFDK5drSwFRHLkGfhk 1,398.64 DOT 2026-08-05 73
1HecLiryfKdsg15ALk3wdKUL5fxvoAADoLqGyUyfLU9ZE1c 1,333.49 DOT 2026-09-02 45
13uh9RAU4QV3s2gB71xcdhZ4mMAkLzztWGQoZB1eKionjvAU 1,249.07 DOT 2026-09-02 45
15rpQW2kk7zpz1RJoPVhXV7RQ9ffco88rSAs71QD6AQJsNYA 1,200.00 DOT 2026-10-09 8
13uocJL1s4hqkjy9cNTArkiV6gLpxnw3j2ueUwV6GWoiNgZ4 1,134.66 DOT 2026-10-10 7
15uKrF89gnbyRrhbgCPJCEtzXiP9kbaXUWTmkU1tS2QnT1Ct 1,105.44 DOT 2026-09-02 45
155syxWeH2ew9z5WuKiABEiNnkkr2rjoYhDaWYjrki4PPBCE 1,097.83 DOT 2026-09-22 25
127WKEywJzrgn8tZuZEmEAaZNyrSx1McWWmZ8aL3kHSqM8hv 1,082.40 DOT 2026-09-02 45
12aGjAorpSPKxecwiNovo4egyFboX3hFpbzV475kKmpHkpt5 1,031.60 DOT 2026-08-26 52
121xA2dm4HtbFvzWzQqLTkQ9uVUtfDcaBaYFbJ26Cdi8hFV1 1,000.00 DOT 2026-08-07 71
13EJfsXR1w5TpWLw8TjhwJaMVhbBeXbF488QfeC2dKMmVh98 968.63 DOT 2026-09-02 45
15K3NoD1tCmhLSCEc5XUWg4hPxJfkBaE9UfwunNhfRL2mtmy 857.58 DOT 2026-09-02 45
1663KvTowzrHSu7X5fAdaJTCrRpM3EEpWixgUHuJTHRy8KyD 744.32 DOT 2026-09-02 45
162KTnWUufQsSfJ46LYmdeGLRw5EWQo35xEmA4QuTVuf1U3b 630.00 DOT 2026-08-17 61
14dWXdfsvDPkSP8fSTqDC8N3k9CmgudQH5Phm5TPUug9evKg 542.40 DOT 2026-09-02 45
13YwyNe9U6pW5fD4cv2kvATwhKhvKFs9AfYEBTSLzBGZiXym 537.06 DOT 2026-09-02 45
16V2jQpU6VR7pSxccgdKtZhwyVSjM7fee2NNQDLSygWELxpZ 520.23 DOT 2026-10-08 9
1HFj3YHfPzXBdAHtsgvpX8XiS5YPatUdsJdbiiUKapQTtSK 407.38 DOT 2026-09-02 45
15Si4dzuSwriu54kzRt8fCw8LF7ZF8fPYUmXTYm7fABkxm8W 390.30 DOT 2026-09-02 45
12mvGkjZZuS23u3Qj2zMBRJGNTzGSEmDHAyoTc1r8NbRXZAu 344.11 DOT 2026-09-02 45
162CPNi43KHChP3trJDe9bgxhksaPXkfgSZiqqRvNq8PBewL 301.96 DOT 2026-09-02 45
12jtHNmeHTLKrqtkUGdcNFa9qiyCa2h1kptUP7KCEWF8f9ZL 284.68 DOT 2026-09-02 45
15w4Zb2bBV3Q7pgZGuggLj85qeHsaYLwtzcScaN987MiNHkH 272.58 DOT 2026-09-03 44
1HcNyi17fgne2XCva2Gbu9TZkqGNW6mX18YF1x1sB4U7N8D 266.53 DOT 2026-09-02 45
15XQvn1WepCd12tjG6Ry5bWRVWEFrZLPCtdHmXFfo5x1XKoZ 265.79 DOT 2026-09-04 43
13uK9vRPKQzwasVrFaD3qhCbmT6QxbBQ5Tja3uLmzvse8XAs 190.36 DOT 2026-07-31 78
15TnnzgUshccQXZqn7Yu3dVRRryPTQLUfc5EPYuFvavBYi6K 20.05 DOT 2026-07-31 78