Polkadot Validators / Meria/03

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
3/10
✓ Low Risk - Strong nominator base

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
13i264UcaM...g8Yjvwgq
Stake Amount:
2,680,825.17 DOT
% of Total Stake:
20.5%
Current Slot:
#268 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #268 → #318
Risk Level:
LOW

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
59
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
41 nominators (12,383,952.81 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
6 nominators (17,211.78 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
12 nominators (20,184.32 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
12,402,037.54 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
94.9%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #268 → #418
Risk Level:
MODERATE

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (59)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
13i264UcaMtDkJaXE96aKkEFvULKCzfDAy3hkQC7g8Yjvwgq 2,680,825.17 DOT 2026-08-28 4
12Joi61Ep7yJgfuAtFeRR7za27LmGuTtkPWL66Cc2T79Pt6i 2,675,947.60 DOT 2026-08-28 4
13PwrD5KB2eHd8ebBWiv8sCF38pj7FN9Nda6chQ9j3y6HXJE 2,590,862.22 DOT 2026-08-28 4
12uN87iqNpFic7AMv4dp483un7geirVnFK8rT3JXPkcnHcYt 900,891.63 DOT 2026-08-18 14
14TRFpWwdv2rNwofs2dcnVCqMpaCU3wKBM1nggJhoa52YbeT 865,614.04 DOT 2026-08-18 14
14Pr5ivQdawzdbSytPESC1xViPvCbP8wuz1st4HMkxCAX3r6 602,875.00 DOT 2026-08-17 15
13YFPwAHQw8c4U5y2XBs9GfXPc3pjkMQ8AxEgqaame7VnUYP 601,998.34 DOT 2026-08-17 15
12K5KMTaHvEE3r3PLu5i5yv5FmFLCXLZpSJTquKE5MDmvVRu 453,833.45 DOT 2026-08-05 27
13Ynf6wVVpaZegURhv2MsTQMw5wPZ3i52Uuw5rtUZyEdRAvn 212,355.55 DOT 2026-08-29 3
13MSZpWBGTM7aWramN2rhz2fSacxvMwwyMApp5vQ38GronAt 175,000.00 DOT 2026-08-25 7
1L1bbgXVv3usqb8wUxbFGT8ojASfTRs2gsoQALiELTJkpTV 149,105.75 DOT 2026-08-17 15
1Meyant2h5uCncWQXFjocyUQihKXCyPZVev7ENNxBTDBuw5 75,000.00 DOT 2026-08-27 5
148fQiYi62yyoTk8ucU8Nn57PAV5MpSLjPtRdcPFmgD1BT6e 71,174.42 DOT 2026-08-19 13
13Y8ZNy1wi8QqHjQ4RuJJjufT1QT2Sfspb5gY515ZhWt6SLA 55,130.00 DOT 2026-08-30 2
14p6yQ7JZPKYJYr4YBx1esP2Jsxz1Fy8RRTs1QajL4F6SDCS 43,596.49 DOT 2026-08-25 7
1EmACHDwxVEZFkwBKJUqXEGEVav2cvv5cgvymoDpNf9nMEw 33,729.26 DOT 2026-08-18 14
14cNebN26xtyyTFEwd5ecQeqHwtHEXm9fMX9n221SofWa4YZ 33,000.00 DOT 2026-08-30 2
18tpZcxz1vVGMMyYmyKXY7TkzFCLMVW8Li9TWDXVKjBojsj 28,627.62 DOT 2026-08-17 15
13dgxSbu5TMDn7WAPxvFZAjjSnVwdph8xHjb5KiXXLtxiRja 18,149.11 DOT 2026-08-31 1
14EzHd4muxhnd4fGRcWjmpbiVWThD5XdaczBYqEq63yoVhce 16,345.67 DOT 2026-08-19 13
1HJmrLP3cARfowkFHHR8eom4byiJsQf2RqqVfDKSW5gVDVM 16,060.13 DOT 2026-08-25 7
12uMF3DHKdfpS1AL1GTgJ5RG1iCAuGoeyuRjVNDSwVNBQfoZ 12,596.90 DOT 2026-08-26 6
1vK76Thufh5suBVohRAZJYD4MnCNvQen9rqUkWr6DH3GESd 11,215.28 DOT 2026-08-17 15
16Q4GBf3ZYBkUfbaWgYsnwgrAK8ZDEWmUD4EzeiqjS27f1oL 11,000.00 DOT 2026-08-30 2
12HbMAyUnz2YtnBAzyKqJiUAvVjtkYaYUojywRnn3xTQV5Li 10,813.97 DOT 2026-08-16 16
15Sr691CVY3VoV5G9eNMEvGiLsjwp6Wiz8iEPyjjgbVr5ZFS 8,398.77 DOT 2026-08-28 4
121AfWMn7Afpbc3cCwoerKyRmKEiUiB8YvjNK8dqQ5zYAyAW 6,823.21 DOT 2026-07-31 32
16fFcSTNzWDkzbG9qMfuW1mGBxuMNc3bes8Lw8ggZYVgMQXQ 6,597.27 DOT 2026-08-17 15
14KJcFRax9uRgECMVUpKz9iv695jojoJKGe2qHyVPJyrPS4C 5,000.00 DOT 2026-06-10 83
14rfbUAgwZAymnz7DUBTsm46xW5651T1Z9hyWKHcjd9i6RWW 4,202.45 DOT 2026-08-06 26
14pYdETpfSofYxiX27t7UCUUjm2MiyJJmybHfitPVNyUXYw5 4,191.24 DOT 2026-06-10 83
13sSVnSZDFMdgkjHAdccEV7ww4sbtWRZE8ZAsVTBbxzLbYq6 4,134.43 DOT 2026-07-31 32
16gaRSKssPPKdWCXbWYeqSs7ResgroDjLejS8f34okxfiex9 4,000.00 DOT 2026-07-11 52
15wx55VYg4RULkxPfumSprouVtmXmk1YiZCQJxnNZ6EnLppp 3,539.24 DOT 2026-08-27 5
15hytUauMBe9rksipFqwRKhFzhM1fdtgGeVkUkzcijhudDt3 2,586.35 DOT 2026-08-27 5
11ZEoays1ZM4bhSH3DjBP18N1sa2itQHye2BfuD92mHPbja 2,554.61 DOT 2026-08-18 14
14jJM11Sv1fLpTos6CFsk1YPfYJaYh3NSPNT6iiPGQ9r8ca4 2,350.00 DOT 2026-08-29 3
1UJj9CE5QfQP5W78QAA9QwMTcQdFjo11Sbh4DCtgrSDGAN2 2,272.45 DOT 2026-06-10 83
136Vsboiebzt7DTYUFK4Zbqz5yL3miJcm9EP6Po4qt7Vmniz 1,904.58 DOT 2026-06-10 83
121D979KucJRpfjsPaxznHeNBNzTcKvhKhQAysg3yfQJfxtL 1,800.00 DOT 2026-08-30 2
13UVJyLnbVp8c4FQeiGH7b51agkSJidW6ceEoY6q3XRXFFXW 1,667.02 DOT 2026-07-16 47
15zmZHdjETP6H8mJSiS5zDghE7Px9GBSiULqaRNxn2vmwTqD 1,478.61 DOT 2026-08-17 15
12T9Q8VNkSZc1MfHB9qvXr5V1rTwbSpAB2RQEqStpBnKL2Yv 1,462.65 DOT 2026-06-10 83
14KJtCUYcPoCwhsHWoSFPcbJD71hAkHiysaTCP25yn8GNJCL 1,269.19 DOT 2026-06-10 83
16XLNLX5YaPAXyxTo15Zh5v76ajvkvJy1NRDmFYjRpN248w6 1,195.10 DOT 2026-06-10 83
15SoUw1sJQzvstvWgoMfJAywnVqGt6r6L8zFQzE3MAxcNZvK 1,176.16 DOT 2026-08-12 20
12kX4YJPLoiVJkHqiKuedaYNMB2g7qnCqGtRPcg1LozuSWeo 1,175.68 DOT 2026-08-31 1
14P6gNaye9NXMJUgFFsavu2KvAKHTHK2jrHHjeZ5q6E7hmzQ 980.00 DOT 2026-08-31 1
13QwYaabjm3hahjpS45DJm1Ppagg3BbqseGfXBFkzAdPcSjF 810.22 DOT 2026-06-10 83
13zwJVstyMDsVXYU2H3N2vDasoyuVtLiwkZD81tbJ72SMvsA 701.07 DOT 2026-06-12 81
13mPasiH4Comk977G3DmENcMQ5bVpq14CqaJWypU6Jdg6vHX 617.72 DOT 2026-06-10 83
1H7iMMc4zsYa3ZGykMMqkZXG3cBmEeioRvBs9JRSFvNFSaq 520.00 DOT 2026-08-19 13
16DBDa983BjqS4kCf4QovvfugEVtnLnP9sJRYJLbwMocdbKk 437.62 DOT 2026-06-10 83
1KQk1HvrErxwem8QeRkgENQ2TQkPm2RXVhBUvodXrTVAfuK 322.49 DOT 2026-06-29 64
15fgGui7pBqfSEVM1Vt3qtmiwyHtFM6Uty7uAhgQF9v6NsxZ 306.19 DOT 2026-07-08 55
15aidTBYZUGu8PaEgKVuGF6EAjE3zsAm3C1f6AH9JUuURqyv 291.24 DOT 2026-08-16 16
17XgErGZLFtLv44sLpbYLRvM3XwQo276hYme7nDdckqoDvr 286.30 DOT 2026-08-16 16
12h39HeezaDLFMdXqzCC9EbYTKofshh7mwpSMpmLheMrYSJm 280.93 DOT 2026-07-31 32
13zsqoRu6VzauyKqUKAMkXybAw6M5qHTo8wA2BWnqeTRiF8E 268.53 DOT 2026-08-30 2