Polkadot Validators / 15dtaK...t71Nv4Li

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
131SbMrS6U...vsqXszkx
Stake Amount:
1,216,858.58 DOT
% of Total Stake:
70.7%
Current Slot:
#648 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #648 → #848

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
25
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
12 nominators (399,145.22 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
6 nominators (20,912.29 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
7 nominators (1,232,572.45 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
802,259.86 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
46.6%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #648 → #728

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 25 unstable nominator(s) representing 46.6% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (25)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
131SbMrS6UQTHvoDgG6p6kTfHFs93joEM6W9W1xavsqXszkx 1,216,858.58 DOT 2026-06-09 84
1WZQqQb2nZf1omYiXDvXAzMFx7wG41duYjDJSjyf9Bo9iY9 208,879.90 DOT 2026-08-19 13
13BipKgVXXR4agm4ijA8ASrBNfJnBqGUUwa2WaTrZ39NE4a5 61,152.46 DOT 2026-08-12 20
12b6YzaoeRcTqB2hkLuuP7aEmbhuSDZm8f2EEEKxsDT3NbiN 50,000.00 DOT 2026-08-18 14
14j3Mm4DudGEnEeYKqm2pkzHobhWjfXQmVCgrZ6Sj2LJ2GWh 37,543.38 DOT 2026-08-17 15
165aCihtgTN2YuvMEwFPuyfNKbtMp5DsghicSthYZqvmJB5d 16,721.87 DOT 2026-08-17 15
16eRv2z3LFiPGSjcXwtqXZajMfmUdiNHa3FP1xcpZSGRzoA2 11,530.25 DOT 2026-08-08 24
16ew9tBgPp46GFGPmCuie4p4Mg1EeF9QycMvEGbqzngSRMCp 10,000.00 DOT 2026-07-16 47
159WghubDwQ9unV1Zi1zTozEZSmavrUbnNH2VKn7FtUQxT72 9,744.93 DOT 2026-06-09 84
15MxNdaWBotNAWNvFKesCVfg9WoPVW55D46kQSqQjFYn65gS 6,134.03 DOT 2026-08-09 23
19xwmxAkv9S68CoQFAU37WDnd1WEs842usjRoPdw3PnxoXt 4,613.11 DOT 2026-08-19 13
13Y93bxmXcdasdugbeu3EuXvhYjY8ci8RctaBUvHAKXiaMoU 3,794.41 DOT 2026-07-16 47
16fcHLanSKP1xJWkWgK6PxwmJnTz7PDGLJcsn9VS8xFBv8r5 3,298.01 DOT 2026-07-17 46
15GUaWN6DGwWxy2LTBv8nt8WyDBi3Fb8YhwGcCURFNDEEiRJ 3,085.41 DOT 2026-06-08 85
15V8fECq8V1vVjNknGoDFLQjHnVnLdBHW52xcpf6grEseQM 1,997.72 DOT 2026-07-17 46
15PdUyjYy81URriMnoPALqq3g9ydZ7L7utBjZDta9CvNkCi4 1,488.05 DOT 2026-06-08 85
1RJjfKeDeGpdxBTbAdQeEixUrAV29rj89czBkd9sEE2BvbP 1,004.59 DOT 2026-08-12 20
1NYFHMHtVCoPdJK6hi5UsrgtnmhTktKb2dN9hSGgSy7YG3w 1,003.97 DOT 2026-07-17 46
13ajYv7LB6FVAizYLpaMbFamG8avZwafAdy9V65v9CiwSwcq 818.18 DOT 2026-07-17 46
13NbacJ4zwoYu2WrA673xmgwmqshD75KTWVzETT347aWdNav 709.44 DOT 2026-06-08 85
12zbUQf8youSSj19S5Bx8RBfLJuxJMDNVtLHboKiUNL9Z949 623.14 DOT 2026-08-09 23
13omSBZGxBMeoVivHGuCNoBwKA6uujdzbDW1EEDeyk1UjNg4 501.95 DOT 2026-08-08 24
16XukWKwNmAaTGgsghD6zgBdK9toXcqa6NtKTSzf87QWTT4E 440.54 DOT 2026-08-19 13
143PVqf1nzieppAjxEMrSk3GgP5UuBfcE1mETm92Pb3bdQwD 403.51 DOT 2026-06-08 85
11ULYC3DgrQTBx31UCJo3zjXEefo2SLEX3c39tsJwWnDqgC 282.54 DOT 2026-06-08 85