Polkadot Validators / BINANCE_STAKE_15

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
12YfMjjeRP...mrPjFT2H
Stake Amount:
16,424,619.35 DOT
% of Total Stake:
98.2%
Current Slot:
#589 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #589 → #789

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
38
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
13 nominators (82,356.75 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
25 nominators (210,760.10 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
5,072,970.59 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
30.3%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #589 → #669

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 38 unstable nominator(s) representing 30.3% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (38)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
13BD8qt1Ptb2NRijSTCt9ef467ctDUNdqrFTrskB544vs8p2 54,038.42 DOT 2026-08-28 68
11HFbQxUfBezw5vn7TdupbYLLpyU5HyimZfjVbc5y3ni8Pk 36,814.00 DOT 2026-08-08 88
14fdiVfw7UiXh7GwxQQUjyenA2rQyGWiB4WKH6f1QnRaK8Av 35,060.27 DOT 2026-10-10 25
13u3QTjSDkLNUzjqfeiEwZXGpCpSLQNtmriAq3iWwKBeza1i 32,041.80 DOT 2026-08-08 88
17u9ifXFEopVVuv6EK2k2mTRVQoGCqwoKMySmaqssiKnxX3 18,100.00 DOT 2026-09-03 62
1KxMVojgxPJYdGKoPK3xeGDkV4zeSiLcnzR2eyHgvAB9Thh 16,333.00 DOT 2026-09-03 62
165E88aJbUMwwzZqAbbKhoKoRELK4Lwzof4rm6dr73MYGotL 13,660.74 DOT 2026-08-27 69
13Keyv5gzpD9o3twQbjjE7dX2HcczAfGcusQbZMV4YnPEZuu 11,239.70 DOT 2026-08-19 77
12HbMAyUnz2YtnBAzyKqJiUAvVjtkYaYUojywRnn3xTQV5Li 10,876.97 DOT 2026-11-02 2
12eHkY8VoCqwYWZcbPanhr6vrnxjbqjREKtmsH3fxejomCHN 7,412.88 DOT 2026-11-01 3
16hatAjmNEp1KVb7asK4V6CwmDVMRmiy6WdjYQCAqBuuAiKR 6,556.99 DOT 2026-11-01 3
15MxNdaWBotNAWNvFKesCVfg9WoPVW55D46kQSqQjFYn65gS 6,166.25 DOT 2026-10-18 17
13WQBuqb3x71JRGxNTQLUibpgLUx9omaYBtbjfQXBgCXY4BK 5,008.77 DOT 2026-10-08 27
12NhHkTP6nsCXncyLzcd5urF8z5U8dGmGY3eQ4gyY3LivGZK 4,263.14 DOT 2026-08-09 87
12VpYowkLRYmEmxoZrReF72UFJyFHnbJiLf2o1yPCNJCgspD 3,506.03 DOT 2026-09-02 63
14spCkSUBQrPgynjjK3vmuhDpZTXJFHXwCJLcSW59LLr1YCE 3,388.88 DOT 2026-09-02 63
14K8BgnF24HbpncyexPnJeoiL1UrcXdhhv23t6zmjV4qwCVE 3,385.97 DOT 2026-11-02 2
13osJDf8w8VwW9M8HwLqrAwvLu1c5PbTgKoU9FgaspNTR3zu 2,956.89 DOT 2026-10-12 23
12MsaSzVg23npLbC7pRLHVg9Nj1nDKaMxeUrYgPYpCagP1C5 2,454.89 DOT 2026-09-03 62
17CR3AV3BfDamEa8CzyyDkc28o3K8NT1kGWxtRqSM2BoKd4 2,217.50 DOT 2026-09-02 63
15uDMmjzSjbiMtLSKpB45EVG31iAd23pBMWWD3LJ1CMR6oM5 2,191.71 DOT 2026-09-02 63
1UVJ4Rd5nqZJMi4NGXRjabLN96MsNb9XFVUgmy5vr8morGP 1,598.74 DOT 2026-10-11 24
16JSGDf2RSeSBZ1BdtBeARMxCcahaphDcAFKnXxb3GE6h4WS 1,459.41 DOT 2026-08-18 78
12YHaNTT3hqfVaxL3D6au1u2BoKRpdL2KcFTw6pZcXvZs4bm 1,356.99 DOT 2026-09-01 64
15pBg8UEfyNCnGQh8bVUoLFAJ9vDv9MUcFkVgLQ8uH7XbdRQ 1,307.32 DOT 2026-09-01 64
1QmoNMvkbh45qdecM2dNNFgbbshQ8HqXGmJ4G1wY99Frwzz 1,306.52 DOT 2026-08-24 72
13uocJL1s4hqkjy9cNTArkiV6gLpxnw3j2ueUwV6GWoiNgZ4 1,136.38 DOT 2026-10-10 25
16PBRRT3kKGW2UXtXftNtjRaPmymjjCQ7T3TMTEterKmKGuL 1,100.08 DOT 2026-11-04 0
13gB3J81uGnH8DVMmqs2nmCqpDUikZTkd7PW6rmgMmdGuwM3 1,000.28 DOT 2026-08-31 65
1k7zkCYxaUaE8UmETV5nBBseFhjnfPLZgtHnNdVXDJcQHPQ 995.99 DOT 2026-09-02 63
14amhjd96YsBCDSaU55MhxpQJYYAPHpTMnJtZ9JBcax56UnB 914.67 DOT 2026-09-02 63
1XRJciNkK7FPNF5Xd1gWXrHSTzcWGC3XrdSwaj4YQZe6HuK 719.68 DOT 2026-09-02 63
12zbUQf8youSSj19S5Bx8RBfLJuxJMDNVtLHboKiUNL9Z949 626.42 DOT 2026-10-18 17
14GDcLgpHFfv3WB8NSzsXzA3Lx3k8yKJFzwS7gUcieuSnqbH 502.59 DOT 2026-08-24 72
1X3FAwYvGyep86WCp3An889oizWTzJ2YKALF1wgq7nsWDVk 470.15 DOT 2026-10-30 5
1HFj3YHfPzXBdAHtsgvpX8XiS5YPatUdsJdbiiUKapQTtSK 407.85 DOT 2026-09-02 63
15w4Zb2bBV3Q7pgZGuggLj85qeHsaYLwtzcScaN987MiNHkH 272.89 DOT 2026-09-03 62
15XQvn1WepCd12tjG6Ry5bWRVWEFrZLPCtdHmXFfo5x1XKoZ 266.11 DOT 2026-09-04 61