Polkadot Validators / BINANCE_STAKE_15

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
12YfMjjeRP...mrPjFT2H
Stake Amount:
17,574,619.35 DOT
% of Total Stake:
97.6%
Current Slot:
#546 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #546 → #746

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
43
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
29 nominators (290,842.67 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
13 nominators (17,711,019.76 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
1 nominators (12.00 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
10,917,458.12 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
60.6%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #546 → #696

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 43 unstable nominator(s) representing 60.6% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (43)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
12YfMjjeRPVHpytGSgdHH5iWnybxxuBdLuhjSuuYmrPjFT2H 17,574,619.35 DOT 2026-08-06 45
15V5H3JAnnw4kVejUrRrCGWkCLXCefdTkhk9RWpXo19r4VYy 75,743.47 DOT 2026-08-25 26
13BD8qt1Ptb2NRijSTCt9ef467ctDUNdqrFTrskB544vs8p2 54,038.42 DOT 2026-08-28 23
11HFbQxUfBezw5vn7TdupbYLLpyU5HyimZfjVbc5y3ni8Pk 36,814.00 DOT 2026-08-08 43
16RsoVUFB167XkSTm1wDpmu6QRNxEtoRBUKQSE1Fodiks4cG 34,884.50 DOT 2026-08-26 25
13u3QTjSDkLNUzjqfeiEwZXGpCpSLQNtmriAq3iWwKBeza1i 31,937.36 DOT 2026-08-08 43
15SVaQGerJJoSk1roFJBe7TxjACf1sppYjkGwAqnsszb7A3r 23,575.22 DOT 2026-09-19 1
14mF9xLQ3hjtDhNPEhJtBRspuSErueTNSpRedESEm56ci9md 18,954.94 DOT 2026-08-19 32
17u9ifXFEopVVuv6EK2k2mTRVQoGCqwoKMySmaqssiKnxX3 18,100.00 DOT 2026-09-03 17
13YgL6EvKtbXuERXXjxCiVXhZNzu6VrfDiS4Bh1bZb7ozZqg 18,076.84 DOT 2026-08-31 20
1KxMVojgxPJYdGKoPK3xeGDkV4zeSiLcnzR2eyHgvAB9Thh 16,333.00 DOT 2026-09-03 17
165E88aJbUMwwzZqAbbKhoKoRELK4Lwzof4rm6dr73MYGotL 13,615.78 DOT 2026-08-27 24
16eRv2z3LFiPGSjcXwtqXZajMfmUdiNHa3FP1xcpZSGRzoA2 11,548.17 DOT 2026-08-08 43
13Keyv5gzpD9o3twQbjjE7dX2HcczAfGcusQbZMV4YnPEZuu 11,204.25 DOT 2026-08-19 32
16SrApgsuw8dEFRismFggtqx18A69vdueVe2QUuoxTwZkqQi 8,070.63 DOT 2026-09-02 18
1297ntkwEXwnUr7uFFBJtN23se6EWZFos5zhYWMDPjMqCNc9 7,069.10 DOT 2026-08-20 31
15MxNdaWBotNAWNvFKesCVfg9WoPVW55D46kQSqQjFYn65gS 6,143.63 DOT 2026-08-09 42
15mLTt9BdhYo5CCcFTt46vaf8JbohNANn5s8BkVyhzK6hhS9 5,898.16 DOT 2026-08-19 32
12NhHkTP6nsCXncyLzcd5urF8z5U8dGmGY3eQ4gyY3LivGZK 4,249.24 DOT 2026-08-09 42
12VpYowkLRYmEmxoZrReF72UFJyFHnbJiLf2o1yPCNJCgspD 3,494.61 DOT 2026-09-02 18
14spCkSUBQrPgynjjK3vmuhDpZTXJFHXwCJLcSW59LLr1YCE 3,377.79 DOT 2026-09-02 18
14K8BgnF24HbpncyexPnJeoiL1UrcXdhhv23t6zmjV4qwCVE 3,374.34 DOT 2026-08-31 20
12MsaSzVg23npLbC7pRLHVg9Nj1nDKaMxeUrYgPYpCagP1C5 2,447.07 DOT 2026-09-03 17
17CR3AV3BfDamEa8CzyyDkc28o3K8NT1kGWxtRqSM2BoKd4 2,210.59 DOT 2026-09-02 18
15uDMmjzSjbiMtLSKpB45EVG31iAd23pBMWWD3LJ1CMR6oM5 2,184.90 DOT 2026-09-02 18
138Kjviz6dzPYYQugwzYvopu9yLhZE2gewh7MCKNHA7DsKJE 1,685.09 DOT 2026-09-03 17
16JSGDf2RSeSBZ1BdtBeARMxCcahaphDcAFKnXxb3GE6h4WS 1,454.72 DOT 2026-08-18 33
12YHaNTT3hqfVaxL3D6au1u2BoKRpdL2KcFTw6pZcXvZs4bm 1,352.77 DOT 2026-09-01 19
15pBg8UEfyNCnGQh8bVUoLFAJ9vDv9MUcFkVgLQ8uH7XbdRQ 1,303.25 DOT 2026-09-01 19
1QmoNMvkbh45qdecM2dNNFgbbshQ8HqXGmJ4G1wY99Frwzz 1,302.43 DOT 2026-08-24 27
13gB3J81uGnH8DVMmqs2nmCqpDUikZTkd7PW6rmgMmdGuwM3 1,000.28 DOT 2026-08-31 20
1k7zkCYxaUaE8UmETV5nBBseFhjnfPLZgtHnNdVXDJcQHPQ 992.66 DOT 2026-09-02 18
14amhjd96YsBCDSaU55MhxpQJYYAPHpTMnJtZ9JBcax56UnB 911.73 DOT 2026-09-02 18
1XRJciNkK7FPNF5Xd1gWXrHSTzcWGC3XrdSwaj4YQZe6HuK 717.42 DOT 2026-09-02 18
12zbUQf8youSSj19S5Bx8RBfLJuxJMDNVtLHboKiUNL9Z949 624.11 DOT 2026-08-09 42
13omSBZGxBMeoVivHGuCNoBwKA6uujdzbDW1EEDeyk1UjNg4 502.73 DOT 2026-08-08 43
14GDcLgpHFfv3WB8NSzsXzA3Lx3k8yKJFzwS7gUcieuSnqbH 500.89 DOT 2026-08-24 27
1HFj3YHfPzXBdAHtsgvpX8XiS5YPatUdsJdbiiUKapQTtSK 406.56 DOT 2026-09-02 18
16cKNDS6r7AJzLxJGp17XWVhsySUYRTKCKxmCvahWB8AbKeX 313.55 DOT 2026-08-27 24
15aidTBYZUGu8PaEgKVuGF6EAjE3zsAm3C1f6AH9JUuURqyv 291.61 DOT 2026-09-02 18
15w4Zb2bBV3Q7pgZGuggLj85qeHsaYLwtzcScaN987MiNHkH 272.00 DOT 2026-09-03 17
15XQvn1WepCd12tjG6Ry5bWRVWEFrZLPCtdHmXFfo5x1XKoZ 265.24 DOT 2026-09-04 16
14aEYGZowTAGyApyyT1aTdGodPntjewL2pyaV6AGu9CT1zsg 12.00 DOT 2026-07-02 80