Polkadot Validators / LXLXLX

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
15Q7LRbAKr...YMDjTF2f
Stake Amount:
1,100,000.00 DOT
% of Total Stake:
46.9%
Current Slot:
#515 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #515 → #615

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
61
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
61 nominators (1,144,621.20 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
1,144,621.20 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
48.8%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #515 → #595

⚠ WARNING: Would be close to active set threshold (5 slots buffer)

Risk Level:
HIGH

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 61 unstable nominator(s) representing 48.8% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (61)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
13N1e7YuFrA3JrMQCHqHVqLJhosZeUjoPuG6DAFaKUgiJq1C 200,000.00 DOT 2026-07-13 5
15hjbmfXoV5wUtBUoaGSNxTEFhG82sggQ4c4EaKMUFYRLdCJ 91,060.10 DOT 2026-07-18 0
1CJ6mZV4sXUVfwyVbe3RV8t7iB1SUPNVek3Dp7ca2mPJwZa 55,981.79 DOT 2026-07-14 4
15Rbhh6t8buem6ebYuDq3F829YUaf14W2HWfAuUpqzXPZfpd 53,548.34 DOT 2026-07-13 5
13hvWfzdcvXTzxpP4ppqtVR68TvQdaxUu6iLeiJEcVMoT3Lk 43,289.03 DOT 2026-07-13 5
14mdNU6zFoUzCpzys1y8aQWTeKGQy5vK68B3EWg8jnWzVN5K 42,017.74 DOT 2026-07-13 5
14WdzySnAfYG5ExvsLMdQBesT9qY5aPKzgYBPXcX5xR8UAAZ 37,500.01 DOT 2026-07-17 1
14CBH5QB8SVWWQjFBRiMWGPvimbgBvP4xnPbpDqMcZKX7Ajz 37,500.00 DOT 2026-07-17 1
14cNebN26xtyyTFEwd5ecQeqHwtHEXm9fMX9n221SofWa4YZ 29,200.00 DOT 2026-07-11 7
13992rj1VqdfxppeCPNB41Ycm7pyMFgfk5vLJ33H4RvoHZSv 29,070.00 DOT 2026-07-18 0
1378ka6K4ep9iWH2nkKaNaL559p969k5ytp8J6tdSHkLfsrq 28,361.32 DOT 2026-07-13 5
13TnzdFyovGXBAr9om8v48TeGbtfic36QHtb4BsYpwmrjaQG 28,298.31 DOT 2026-07-13 5
12udVQqD8vMB5KRDr3kCJKTbp8QVDNjTYQ3wWz5aCPHHPi5a 25,704.84 DOT 2026-07-13 5
15SVaQGerJJoSk1roFJBe7TxjACf1sppYjkGwAqnsszb7A3r 23,445.94 DOT 2026-07-11 7
13UFADR5DA8cqB2Jvv7AxGpSiyi5ehLikyoVTAvZaxKdSmxY 21,841.24 DOT 2026-07-13 5
12Ypwiuv7zTJ8TfEvsC9NnfnrjCypYXPiUMZUwScU3Qn7Lfs 21,380.07 DOT 2026-07-13 5
12tXaeaStDs8bUWY6gopjTbZZSoosKYrrD3VAJYS6mhckHgB 20,743.05 DOT 2026-07-13 5
14gh1YoQuRFhKqeKX8qcw1ZcVBAVYyQqKAbt7sHJzNwcatmv 20,318.96 DOT 2026-07-14 4
12ecDnCiinDWkmhauGh7WoyiprWuvwWn8QA4LXz4oYnJDiYp 20,000.03 DOT 2026-07-06 12
12pyWHjCTKgSyjax3V3n14K55wTfaJEuDuPzymqc7x1PRuwr 19,858.88 DOT 2026-07-11 7
1pasdgKNJuBQJi7wXpKHGgF51qiGHi5GfoFwhDW3NZB4S5b 19,650.00 DOT 2026-07-13 5
15xMeC5SVGfT3fwdSG6mvrJnxajcX9wXXgeUbszydQeyHjxT 17,453.33 DOT 2026-07-13 5
12TvJk3qftqusmJXamKmeMoA2mmgHiMVY4YbAPDFUgimsm4v 17,353.27 DOT 2026-07-08 10
12NupLhAFqMoPL6E6TzdUE5gjpEqkkSpE3Cv3ZUK2KaBXbZ6 16,397.16 DOT 2026-07-15 3
15xHvZur4ci5AdybqZbTwapUbdPimb1JvAenwbCzJy4HJ5op 15,902.99 DOT 2026-07-13 5
13W7qtVWQumTpH4fy9kyjb9LGGUPbUNi7EFt6VmRceY9nVw1 15,062.66 DOT 2026-07-13 5
14NTem7xp4ktPxXbAog8JtSCuchPhGX6DsvZcUHrTAfF9EnH 14,497.00 DOT 2026-07-11 7
1331gmo5DXVzDFdeuYVAH35ipSr3bs4gq9uFTsqshUsoGj18 14,311.59 DOT 2026-07-13 5
15rEbbcvudhYyWsthjX2EAB6oPzaW3sx6dV5eana7cDSAH5j 13,474.03 DOT 2026-07-14 4
16GES3KA5DFGUJwbsXWyHgMcgTywkrrbJ2PGNYMsoH6LAZEy 11,670.04 DOT 2026-07-14 4
121aD3zQ18Cquosc5NiZMgRgCRgTV2119yhMHHUEUQ4wUwZv 11,641.25 DOT 2026-07-14 4
14QLEDMkLp7wt6ZfyvZA5mq59xHzMUTQrXSikFM2RZ78Cf3K 11,213.81 DOT 2026-07-09 9
1L4ZvBA9HAzL8kbXqEfKSUENystBqYeuyjQbdN88dkyanok 11,045.93 DOT 2026-07-06 12
1ESjkawSAoNp3rF3ouZd3y5VcWY8UxyfNhQqPV6sLwps221 10,020.00 DOT 2026-07-14 4
13meGsaymu8AHnhjYyVtAGShjs4icUt4TPi8CCJ44JTpDygx 8,489.33 DOT 2026-07-13 5
12eHkY8VoCqwYWZcbPanhr6vrnxjbqjREKtmsH3fxejomCHN 7,240.69 DOT 2026-07-05 13
13jdd8hPP5n2duVUG6t7b6b8HCPv6DcQzdfKxnA3c1qvQ5C 7,182.80 DOT 2026-07-15 3
12im32FnYhTe8YaEGEBMiU5tnK95ZqJiuzq2ERJ38jbbVw6X 6,837.16 DOT 2026-07-07 11
16hatAjmNEp1KVb7asK4V6CwmDVMRmiy6WdjYQCAqBuuAiKR 6,133.86 DOT 2026-07-04 14
14wLM8gtYVDwxpzAgfhhEmumbJHHaTtG2h1akJXqwXUTstk4 5,647.51 DOT 2026-07-11 7
12edBZMqc5WsfM4b6RkcGbEDcuwoYmiZrmy3zR5dpFDF43An 5,545.16 DOT 2026-07-09 9
1nsHa8VNNBZgnn8aBcnGYsfyLXBh5RP9bMC9aZKgQ9et5Lg 5,505.06 DOT 2026-07-06 12
132rPJc2SKeQbc4sXVQXj8A3fbGdCSRzaNt3L2Pzso7LnNhv 5,407.59 DOT 2026-07-10 8
134F3tBcWcQVo4tPLmTZxG11ZMqQwV9BJCS9ZroobCYb9xpo 5,241.77 DOT 2026-07-09 9
14FuRSuhAKThGnjrjFytJRgAnhWVefUPm4p4vd1tjCSepPUU 4,927.43 DOT 2026-07-16 2
12DtCC24AM68C7d84oj8NKcQsuMajgv1UxcPHxgJ2TzJFaRD 4,817.63 DOT 2026-07-12 6
12BJX3CtfkqQtiWXAvdSfvr4xuhQga4HYCyQ9gaATu826nEr 3,561.70 DOT 2026-07-09 9
15wx55VYg4RULkxPfumSprouVtmXmk1YiZCQJxnNZ6EnLppp 3,524.81 DOT 2026-07-17 1
15JnL1TLZqDf73hqPEGJZbDnsrwtg2mT1FThLjAvPYGanX7p 2,830.63 DOT 2026-07-14 4
16RGELYsJKUE5Kngvmg227FHD55JJguhQGdRdrADdRJAx6t 2,293.11 DOT 2026-07-09 9
1gZ2xmXLJ8dKZiMRhq9wyH4U48NNgr9rJtgjphjyiMupLqv 2,009.07 DOT 2026-07-06 12
13WFF3ThCSDJiQuis8zr6uM2JoH3ycdEBhVni2QwEqgnJVQr 2,000.28 DOT 2026-07-10 8
13JukRniDJzRZiPHXmJHm1MRY2fTESFqyP3mpczry7vk4Adh 1,846.04 DOT 2026-07-10 8
16M5hAMWDUi3VMJKjzyce17DGGRfxunLWapGq8izAwEfVNvZ 1,056.20 DOT 2026-07-13 5
13NXvFs3XAtHKCyGJtryx1BinU6AeUAej17csoxE15e1maAj 1,040.78 DOT 2026-07-14 4
1XRJciNkK7FPNF5Xd1gWXrHSTzcWGC3XrdSwaj4YQZe6HuK 665.74 DOT 2026-07-18 0
1REGhASrWrhh2x5meJvYWUESybgSUtXDbtYjosdjrNXnn55 560.00 DOT 2026-07-13 5
13rRC3azS8vSgFm8QVvU3G9iNWxZm1Z2k2T9NCM4abUj76gd 501.38 DOT 2026-07-01 17
142xv59nLoQigYSzZNsFVM21hEHfG1He4erVhFfkVrKN8GWp 365.30 DOT 2026-07-17 1
13dJ351gZjjaYtGwzoxiTdEkX3L2EaMnr5Px7oGby9wTijJS 304.97 DOT 2026-07-14 4
15aidTBYZUGu8PaEgKVuGF6EAjE3zsAm3C1f6AH9JUuURqyv 272.53 DOT 2026-07-16 2