Polkadot Validators / redpenguin

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
1ucKfr1JMw...evkEPXoQ
Stake Amount:
216,070.00 DOT
% of Total Stake:
31.2%
Current Slot:
#700 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #700 → #800

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
66
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
35 nominators (37,629.71 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
31 nominators (86,335.31 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
107,903.17 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
15.6%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #700 → #740

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 66 unstable nominator(s) representing 15.6% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (66)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
12sapJh9xBVZhn84PhNr76TJ3eFVTiBf3DeMfwTBxR8faKSr 25,440.67 DOT 2026-05-05 38
12VcqykktPFxYLvt9U4S1Nu4Ww33HT148m223YAKX8j62EDc 12,789.76 DOT 2026-05-30 13
1pVPkvcASZA3xEerQXTg7RFFiKD5zkZdM9UPsf88tyKThzU 10,364.26 DOT 2026-05-08 35
12v676xcs83ueqYjea9azRRYqc9NeE7AnNGp89pSWpTpM9bV 10,340.00 DOT 2026-05-08 35
15Y2Jpxz5vmfH5nzoJZYpx2nA1TGM76CVvECb1XpgKPRFabz 5,127.14 DOT 2026-05-08 35
14mVQB8oLXLYbSZ3MeJDPzT8c5aQyqpqaoiiWcamT3usrn78 4,591.43 DOT 2026-05-09 34
164okh9NCANk2Xr5G1NaGEMUvrnurtgSyutKeoKkGyd4nfQq 3,411.62 DOT 2026-05-08 35
13NZo39dAbvTwcHbbapVdvEjLYKHPGeLheWUP2wZfvVUqjXf 3,058.90 DOT 2026-05-29 14
15aoeh2M3aj8tnnmPR8PC6X9JkMBDFMP1pUXwLLt2kSQMUBA 3,001.98 DOT 2026-05-09 34
13UVJyLnbVp8c4FQeiGG8WYJ5yErBPnPWTzQ6EL7XBZUHK4H 2,437.18 DOT 2026-05-08 35
14CALbi2XwMaMMkM14jcMmNeiL74A6kZCRduNJgjJSqmaSj7 2,400.44 DOT 2026-06-09 3
12g9jkj7UY4hCuVfhzFEjnBQkC7qyi48zKKWvNJmpJkguRmi 2,352.02 DOT 2026-05-09 34
12vEBempmEC6BmgJ4r7ySyA8XNgeMMPHpSpqsumN7QS8nXrX 2,032.06 DOT 2026-05-08 35
15rWBwqqQvk9AyZFEQwkRpFfHjRur6k649zrD1xMzTRLRxau 2,025.51 DOT 2026-05-08 35
1c3MzhEUg3aVyHjjY5FpLWW8gYodFPSW8ue6tAFRx8AJak2 1,962.74 DOT 2026-05-08 35
13ZZbKYsdho1qnwCD5TAVThT7JstT9GUmwqzCqEnvN73kepa 1,923.05 DOT 2026-05-19 24
1BVaSoyc3dgwENpBiicf7i7Kq88H718aM2iCcFCGFXtCeav 1,880.00 DOT 2026-06-12 0
15yjfc5bZYSVbptgTik5xhqM4rSQhWvhGg8CrCFGmHAxSFZT 1,871.30 DOT 2026-06-09 3
1bgt7TSm9SRxuHDe8BctB28xZLecMz1LDCCrZtryugKubeD 1,728.75 DOT 2026-05-09 34
15DG4zp6xGBVREwBJVCGvo13FrGwPqXxMAC38KPGU47t1iW4 1,718.12 DOT 2026-05-08 35
15d6jsJdkBvTfTYi5uiNArECJAMaf6YaspxfpQFcW8jKSwz8 1,606.27 DOT 2026-05-08 35
12jPHrbLvp3v6XpxiHzG14qB76UZCxiTF1QFiUNbfcgihW36 1,561.22 DOT 2026-05-29 14
12mJ5CzuPhQGLC9hxn9uNBguPYziWwk7S8YcLv9b2vojX2NQ 1,373.47 DOT 2026-05-30 13
12gm7r3Ki1uxobUqSvBQefWQh8xYDncy4oK4fRNWxPq5YdT5 1,280.00 DOT 2026-05-29 14
1yU9tN4hToQEBM2SXwzHc6Ah5LUiT94ccfMCQUoU8ZhgsGD 1,250.00 DOT 2026-06-09 3
16hEpB3WwhV2PbYRegF31cmfiBxgiiDbKRCvmv3bWVyGWCdt 1,236.11 DOT 2026-05-08 35
14Kr1tVx8PtQZSghF9XLWScDgzczFzXEQafBpmrEg9ptvVkD 1,194.30 DOT 2026-06-08 4
1LJu8HHuC2MJBec2B18jLuaSi57hrZyeiuDqnL1ppVrr2Xa 1,086.85 DOT 2026-05-08 35
15aM92qdv5ijwd2PAym1zq4fKdrsk1Tn939DN27NAUVmc6N5 1,053.94 DOT 2026-05-08 35
16cSMU2FiFcZjX2vVBHxaJktrkpjFAEFACKDQV24yhFcyn7s 1,049.65 DOT 2026-04-16 57
1eLoo2Cqyx8oTZRVHbj44Bnj8Zs5MwdAxmQXmfJ63ceVoTK 1,000.00 DOT 2026-05-09 34
13rotccQxvPTz6BSv7YCpXWPZEKGsotyPgh3ctWPdS9c2wT5 920.00 DOT 2026-05-29 14
13enwemktACvgvNYakYsQQBBxRFqgkCdPLn3P6VWvmYKywmz 907.33 DOT 2026-06-09 3
157auHE9GWjWAeBZ14UUPAmFHFJEEZEYvBPWFBoudsbGtuiT 729.12 DOT 2026-05-29 14
158PGPTaXozZJR45CJBCE6H1yp9u78iWms7q6WVNomiXNBkD 679.29 DOT 2026-05-09 34
14uYKakrR8e17YVYyn6vitdwEeyzcJspJ4Q97FBuL8sUgQ13 621.47 DOT 2026-05-29 14
1522ZhxBhkSLp99DmCVRgkaXDdnpMoJsd1gLczjvHSNnqcy6 610.00 DOT 2026-05-29 14
16ZJHugjKMWDxqPtFqQ8aSYdFisxqhAuuGzS6Yj7rBvRMtnW 555.00 DOT 2026-06-09 3
12mDWCwyhRiQWhjf2RLrXthFxyg8zBDcwdq9KTbVwQXccJ4T 499.82 DOT 2026-05-05 38
14jprZgetk2qMDfHvXpPioz41kD1menFMe5yRBPCMQNURh3Z 355.90 DOT 2026-05-05 38
13mTBV1AJvzH7Y1KZifG6my4btHTWGSLeMgm5qnBM6sMxWK 350.45 DOT 2026-06-09 3
12aESyjMZQfU7U7KCiWRkb1T4QqRbMHXNY3tUX7uiHkLEGBh 334.73 DOT 2026-05-05 38
12bn1okHNcNkGh14LGVvCsTYqXvrnjSwULU31MadiN9vMq3S 306.34 DOT 2026-05-29 14
15jEkFm1tCHLHSvH519SqHQJHfGWspj72eVfg1sZsYKedhKE 274.21 DOT 2026-06-12 0
14KAMtV9SwcH4nEyVPAR34BFHi1jjNwG8fWFKYK3q5FL5GZE 268.04 DOT 2026-05-08 35
14dTpgqMtkvunrgMkJSXwyhLFFw1PAQsh5Kgm9zkx4uDTiFu 250.00 DOT 2026-06-09 3
15BY1UdapvEBMKacge6Kc1ab7er5tnTQitAKjdkjhTWipAeR 214.10 DOT 2026-06-09 3
14aTRUhA8mjgjWma3FgEo9mC1Fa6ZAebNd82vyhAhnanQzWr 211.09 DOT 2026-05-08 35
12RuudXgFfgxDGzNc5LhSm2YoRiK5HH5MSk9LEnjdX4rby3r 180.00 DOT 2026-06-08 4
12nGFSqJGF3ikErCNsJk3MKFxgh7n6hrmZ8cyF5J1kynqQmp 179.96 DOT 2026-06-09 3
15X3dki1TuZxa7uAZkNhChRM4xDCVpgqTqa752D13bxSdYri 171.80 DOT 2026-06-08 4
12M4A4nvNqHLcKfwk41g8a8YdYvMxokkudeGxw1zSuroq9Hf 150.00 DOT 2026-06-09 3
15JY3RR8Y8YXwMaMaoZrH9qkqX8CGtipptKMgYn7rJCQ14bh 143.44 DOT 2026-05-08 35
15faGKUuNsz2HvanjE8ervU3RYijNnXZ9J6mn4h2gAzLNQNp 136.81 DOT 2026-06-12 0
13hvkuZRM4moMzTj7jy8P7RpP4m5D4SCeDt17xcUMZ4XCaG4 133.49 DOT 2026-05-08 35
13j2ngrAQywJcrqe46Au9xpz5xi2qaML6s7rS1Re19e8XcZZ 129.88 DOT 2026-05-30 13
16V2XFUCu6eg81vZ9HeRon7bYU1VrvkUyQsp3QMCzsHeervE 120.00 DOT 2026-06-09 3
1RvVj8YJTCsMmpvf7pcjKkCo9JyM7ynzY8A6pBy1a1y5RFN 120.00 DOT 2026-05-08 35
12vo5f5XrFWB66RPSjSqNsdYWY4e1mmbfwV8YFfT6wi7x3Ut 101.16 DOT 2026-06-08 4
1687EZjst4e7MLCBUATuHZGktyH4GWW1Y27p8xeTktXFPBML 49.07 DOT 2026-06-09 3
153TNeY2SRiWhaByivkjqQX8MviTSSgWCM6MUqGKWNHWSMos 33.23 DOT 2026-06-09 3
144BNFLAf39YW7ECz67GFmN8bkyjF82Y75b34LuLunjut9bY 25.45 DOT 2026-06-09 3
14viWSfJRX48mqDyroGXBnbUH4dLBB1ToLTbvT5GESYZCWxH 19.80 DOT 2026-06-09 3
12GLhuzfJPixoffrd6uJ7hxJac5HL6sSSksoyNL2L6GgNZnp 12.55 DOT 2026-05-08 35
13TnyWpT8kAqcWH4SH6dZswoBXa1mE6jzQMgLobr23weN2XY 12.09 DOT 2026-06-09 3
15Sc368wtJtiimYA1WJE1wfvw9m6pv7Qy141ut9pF8Gr7Sds 10.67 DOT 2026-05-08 35