Polkadot Validators / Coinbase/cc11

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
14V5WZrJoh...wapkMcrA
Stake Amount:
1,643,663.15 DOT
% of Total Stake:
58.3%
Current Slot:
#697 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #697 → #897

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
17
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
10 nominators (17,401.71 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
5 nominators (4,599.16 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
2 nominators (17,089.14 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
29,483.06 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
1.1%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #697 → #707

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 17 unstable nominator(s) representing 1.1% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (17)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
16RFgnLYjieNxj6bVVhEKe4o5H7fELTxZdJeeGKAoeMSU4rJ 16,000.00 DOT 2026-03-25 78
136FyxRUKdN3hh5J37TncBCGLCtrC4AAgtEA25audXGnyfhd 3,055.07 DOT 2026-05-29 13
12ef5zAwbzj4TgtRPXkHrzmos2wJLN4YSiJCD4czuAVn9vFr 2,994.91 DOT 2026-06-09 2
1Ryd1reG978yfwHP3NfEgXairzC6BsnkYtzkM3zkJd3igNH 2,820.68 DOT 2026-06-09 2
13rZgVMPCNtTubbmqimwU9KRiw8siZdbWjDeBV3ajvsKfcky 2,000.32 DOT 2026-06-01 10
14MsHjJEPV8XGE6nZVWyByN4RzRxbxPv9Rm6hXJ7NNi8zJw8 1,749.13 DOT 2026-06-09 2
13abCE3kpZFxJUGeNTyfjY5wQtLPnD1mCAq8mai9TRh6PF8b 1,642.06 DOT 2026-06-08 3
13nqp1PNnNXjd9Dd7Jcwv9f9Gjam6kTi6pg2RVwuhK72VK8v 1,618.59 DOT 2026-05-15 27
15FBBXEzausf8CNJRaPjF2LJmNUVF5YrEFGB3HWSPuRWyeot 1,409.75 DOT 2026-05-01 41
13UVJyLnbVp8c4FQeiGF5tma7Zt57pTgYqJ56wdwiD1zRc9L 1,089.14 DOT 2026-03-25 78
15g2Tt9C7g7y6suefZYaFmc94bURmnQhxgb3YXmerEG1Pq8V 1,055.15 DOT 2026-06-03 8
14xPPnFXKTgTrcnA9gp3nRd6KzMaJ3bjsz3dUB1HK6pe7E2z 1,000.80 DOT 2026-04-24 48
13Z3EiMv4p4FvZoWync8wiMT6Uf4A6pHfxwn5wsjw5rDBqQh 830.91 DOT 2026-05-05 37
12cGX2Nbmvv5eKFWTYmmfbfa82ZxfsroQ44xTp9C9JzuJu5f 820.56 DOT 2026-05-05 37
14RHkBW96mrYBN4oWQtU2MgGK7EUtvxEFr6qyFKN29eHRk44 537.13 DOT 2026-05-06 36
16cVFjQchWFBkMFAgukVwe6Se1JTMhpWqzip2kaecijxRY4y 275.60 DOT 2026-06-09 2
1TUQuUEnfKDcVuFpF7dXbY9uuSj1CV9tTHi12BrznXVWu65 190.23 DOT 2026-05-29 13