Polkadot Validators / 15DXu9...6ESX93P9

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
12npri3cnr...B7rnGwSa
Stake Amount:
8,702,288.87 DOT
% of Total Stake:
87.9%
Current Slot:
#460 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #460 → #660

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
12
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
4 nominators (9,761,387.23 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
1 nominators (16,789.73 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
7 nominators (60,481.42 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
9,789,605.49 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
98.9%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #460 → #610

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 12 unstable nominator(s) representing 98.9% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (12)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
12npri3cnrVWGQ7AyBRa1TjqpcWLopBxxsyGYJD1B7rnGwSa 8,702,288.87 DOT 2026-10-16 0
12bss6hx4zZvRne6LdFuJQvkwKX8PutjhVkiKeZ7R2j83Ayy 1,048,581.26 DOT 2026-10-16 0
14j3Mm4DudGEnEeYKqm2pkzHobhWjfXQmVCgrZ6Sj2LJ2GWh 37,689.08 DOT 2026-08-17 60
165aCihtgTN2YuvMEwFPuyfNKbtMp5DsghicSthYZqvmJB5d 16,789.73 DOT 2026-09-02 44
16eRv2z3LFiPGSjcXwtqXZajMfmUdiNHa3FP1xcpZSGRzoA2 11,573.72 DOT 2026-08-08 69
12EHk99UftHV8VNmLwNq9LDXtU7JvsE2Eikwyu6cX19c3XVU 10,205.00 DOT 2026-10-12 4
15MxNdaWBotNAWNvFKesCVfg9WoPVW55D46kQSqQjFYn65gS 6,157.13 DOT 2026-08-09 68
1nBEiEhYXWbXzbw8q49ytvpCQCzfQQDFqGh9uGabRkjA6CT 2,986.01 DOT 2026-08-15 62
15FiTUC427HsbG6ihDeFV9hv2TSdcrnKXxWN3tz7RzpwTg8z 1,148.48 DOT 2026-08-15 62
12zbUQf8youSSj19S5Bx8RBfLJuxJMDNVtLHboKiUNL9Z949 625.49 DOT 2026-08-09 68
17w8kbNDcy4sr9qbJViCK7tqgkFvg4bRq1TCJ6pzyJqFUGM 312.10 DOT 2026-10-11 5
12pvKFDSNQoKC7iUVtXG21J1LVjGwU95HvM3gAoWp3R9mTTT 301.50 DOT 2026-08-15 62