Polkadot Validators / 15BcDP...bFcnbNBd

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
3/10
✓ Low Risk - Strong nominator base

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
146NJqYe7w...FXgHCJV3
Stake Amount:
4,800,000.00 DOT
% of Total Stake:
60.0%
Current Slot:
#258 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #258 → #458
Risk Level:
MODERATE

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
23
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
18 nominators (3,052,882.62 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
5 nominators (4,945,655.33 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
6,020,275.82 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
75.3%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #258 → #408
Risk Level:
MODERATE

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (23)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
146NJqYe7w9ug2UDwtLEBQgGbbTBVpyMHyJPB9tJFXgHCJV3 4,800,000.00 DOT 2026-08-19 46
13tvMBxF8U4WiFN22Q8zYu2XDhQqBji3h9P6LxFt4hWFPtrr 1,168,362.07 DOT 2026-09-28 6
16dJVdJyAczbFcqBb8YBEXWwnq2Lbg8USZVCezxwkEvU2MXo 246,503.41 DOT 2026-09-28 6
13Yi31VzLZbgBVrV7RekJzrntTjD5f9QHKzuFd8H82w6ZkEa 225,730.49 DOT 2026-09-28 6
11dxHnGjXxHTS3tGGZDmBrgidErdhEXHYuedYqKqnRjQAEp 215,148.09 DOT 2026-09-28 6
12YyioVr12QzquJoPN233ENPjGj1LvZ4G27oWKPVJSLvKLFj 211,088.74 DOT 2026-09-28 6
1WZQqQb2nZf1omYiXDvXAzMFx7wG41duYjDJSjyf9Bo9iY9 209,470.39 DOT 2026-09-28 6
148y7oUAavM2zZo3vmeXyupkcMsMroCyPjsr4e3KamJBWmZG 208,954.15 DOT 2026-09-28 6
13iwQiFrmpx448bVouFTh9r7mWhUiEYToB9Frjz96LBY9v7F 203,408.97 DOT 2026-09-28 6
12hGL9HmbMZ9i6Csnvw4zwcyTMrnbY4ULMN3VMcM67gsymcf 176,304.15 DOT 2026-09-28 6
15BcDP4PgTmicfgwNHZiscdWTfJfJqX2nSr8awqkbFcnbNBd 100,000.00 DOT 2026-08-19 46
15Vr7Pwt3HcDaxUgcYEYPdMRFwfkaYbsVQA4VMxddErgwnqj 85,037.23 DOT 2026-09-28 6
1vebgvD5QSPRRtCAiPaW1hr835xtH9oam54GoAaGtiM8aqb 46,740.52 DOT 2026-09-28 6
12NupLhAFqMoPL6E6TzdUE5gjpEqkkSpE3Cv3ZUK2KaBXbZ6 29,977.16 DOT 2026-09-29 5
11tsGsaJ2d3Q1T9nETUCFn9N6Jwk4uJpVLfH3pRmFq6eAqr 27,574.92 DOT 2026-09-02 32
16frUv4QjhqeT2dQWad6obNQsBVaLvW9fSzViRji2Gcn3zE5 17,103.70 DOT 2026-08-22 43
12HBHCUVvxncfoq7c4XrVTXoM2nvVSWd126Tj8XnAwZV2PwU 14,283.05 DOT 2026-09-10 24
148Y5Jdk7jvjE4ukuvUbzWmdTUjw6SipEt6rZ247rpb7goU2 4,706.37 DOT 2026-09-10 24
165NezAKe75KNwfqrWcpHgvDcg7d6NBawRcF5wSRV92ZDHqm 4,700.00 DOT 2026-09-11 23
14BfmLw3q2xkqXWCcrUqNRwnedfvf2t1r8Tuy6fLZAzHrZCn 976.71 DOT 2026-08-22 43
16PMMeaNVq8pbxtUoqhEqxdN6RtYDYR5RZxF48ctgyGdR3Ap 949.72 DOT 2026-09-18 16
14mXyfopz53a55GTVxuo2i7R5UT1j1qV8yuWhSomrNXoXaMC 867.23 DOT 2026-09-27 7
15Fc6kSCH2JGfk7ATnVvauFZ4rNbPUp4hR41ka8h5kWq2Ky7 650.87 DOT 2026-09-16 18