Polkadot Validators / BRC/01

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
13z6tqM18G...XKtHfixb
Stake Amount:
7,072,760.00 DOT
% of Total Stake:
80.8%
Current Slot:
#441 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #441 → #641

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
28
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
16 nominators (577,390.17 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
9 nominators (967,463.42 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
3 nominators (61,697.11 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
1,193,336.05 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
13.6%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #441 → #451
Risk Level:
LOW

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (28)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
15fziSBNvETnJ897MtYH9EUH4NFsCWt88Zvd1uEijSP5dDgL 691,684.89 DOT 2026-09-02 44
1pcanEkCnTNPx4kMP94Wfrt8doU7xptZBJ3MMV3DDJeko28 232,989.34 DOT 2026-09-18 28
16aTCW4sqoanNdmPhBdi2wjLGphMU9NKurzhBzcWYZLyEZ42 152,735.00 DOT 2026-09-02 44
15madAV34fN9aoP2ihP1QnzbVDsEaUn7JCgKDH9y1PBsHK9n 100,003.09 DOT 2026-10-12 4
124JJC8pAFMoqgZmwqwBUoaPBaPWB4ksfzbRrrRsx2mpzcMR 100,000.66 DOT 2026-10-12 4
13EMVbC1Y4HT6P8f1gp66e5EfKPA7Z6sZ7vEK3pLZwJ8PpLc 100,000.00 DOT 2026-10-12 4
15GnMnrsPf4QA3VE1PYQddgWP8pfr4q5Z9Y15c82Vuw1LwoC 58,392.99 DOT 2026-07-31 77
14BppBGMfs2aF9MK3ZsKyvbdk3p9QkWrAfHh1WTVfA7ES9no 42,000.00 DOT 2026-09-02 44
14TTWwQ7DzKzfkuG41BB1udrhP3DFtiitmvHuHV7VjjKig19 29,259.00 DOT 2026-09-04 42
12dxhiec3m8KhTEaz1mffx12zQPpwjvxW9KD2N7xEy6PZHbR 20,000.00 DOT 2026-10-12 4
17u9ifXFEopVVuv6EK2k2mTRVQoGCqwoKMySmaqssiKnxX3 18,100.00 DOT 2026-09-03 43
1KxMVojgxPJYdGKoPK3xeGDkV4zeSiLcnzR2eyHgvAB9Thh 16,333.00 DOT 2026-09-03 43
12C8HHEDt3prcNW7Y9mpSgqXY9Vaj8igp5RQcCRJwd95jqu2 14,627.67 DOT 2026-09-02 44
13WC38JQbqwZxB55uXX8Dv3vQPHrj3iS2CHewTfwz9PxE9wR 4,171.77 DOT 2026-10-12 4
13UVJyLnbVp8c4FQeiGRYBkbytB63vkTmzxzWz7ftCXqvEGF 3,564.66 DOT 2026-10-12 4
15ArbkJeKgGjxsgLxDVZKuqUUisurHxATYDtPvhBRHZGtwhh 3,409.33 DOT 2026-09-22 24
12XF4ozTAZ47Udg5pWPrvP38Aj8J5MFZReRbpq5pihePP4SD 3,095.71 DOT 2026-10-12 4
16F8Y4bz2ySLFfQRMKe2jBJtSc2n5wqoaCfyaYZTpunM5CyW 3,030.00 DOT 2026-10-12 4
153Fz22gxQP8HM8RbnvEt9XWsXu9nR8jxZC2MbQFmuKhN62f 2,758.08 DOT 2026-07-20 88
1Lxu9N4m4NN86XdFsm4RM7gn297JGaF6dpqNJDMyMwuGfFz 2,702.51 DOT 2026-10-12 4
12MsaSzVg23npLbC7pRLHVg9Nj1nDKaMxeUrYgPYpCagP1C5 2,451.35 DOT 2026-09-03 43
15uFeTmNdH5KhfLu8sKmdyHjJbU72twoL9y5CVw5bVfEq4tX 1,307.92 DOT 2026-10-12 4
155syxWeH2ew9z5WuKiABEiNnkkr2rjoYhDaWYjrki4PPBCE 1,097.75 DOT 2026-09-22 24
133RJViHVHKjVQaFS8oxMs9o3ZWdUYrbydZofDfWcXAfytzn 1,069.44 DOT 2026-10-12 4
16Eq9Tu6NoFNjSJjaiNrLbMcUDgQYyPJ1288h4q18TvH1vjg 675.00 DOT 2026-10-12 4
14weuJdmEUnDdP36u5MFZTB24m6xsF48PtSRvA3tG2UG4zm4 546.04 DOT 2026-07-31 77
15iZhhwhqoARFPArCUYmMDKLXUKGAWQ5XGKgo5mbGNLdmeXc 273.00 DOT 2026-09-29 17
15w4Zb2bBV3Q7pgZGuggLj85qeHsaYLwtzcScaN987MiNHkH 272.52 DOT 2026-09-03 43