Active Set Risk - pos.dog/40 - Polkadot

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:

13e9cUkCHD...uzPxVkd4

Stake Amount:

10,000,000.08 DOT

% of Total Stake:

49.2%

Current Slot:

#525 / 600

Estimated Slot Impact:

Slot #525 → #625

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:

CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):

Breakdown by Time:

0-30 days (High Risk):

1 nominators (6,507.28 DOT)

30-60 days (Moderate Risk):

9 nominators (268,444.43 DOT)

60-90 days (Low Risk):

3 nominators (17,911.46 DOT)

At-Risk Stake (Weighted):

172,947.38 DOT

% of Total Stake at Risk:

0.8%

Estimated Slot Impact:

Slot #525 → #535

Risk Level:

MODERATE

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (13)

Nominator Address	Bonded Amount	Last Change Date	Days Since Change
145iDNqUupfieD2hMJEZ42GDcjVaLF3jhMhLqqikTStwZWo5	250,000.78 DOT	2026-07-11	52
1saY2s3hApaiBXpKvHxdsFi7qSYuks2ZwnQDCPZpT1ncDXe	15,779.71 DOT	2026-06-29	64
1ZpJmsMJSVkQYTJuTGb6Sjz67r3M1oF4NpDyG55J6wde4s4	6,507.28 DOT	2026-08-18	14
14TCCGbx16cDooVnnLxWfBWYyrkWYQFHzTksNigJfqdqBjts	4,040.00 DOT	2026-07-31	32
15662PQaHqq3sF2n7fycySUH2GjygV86xe8TpaUFpUu4CJQH	4,016.00 DOT	2026-07-27	36
13hb2KGW7i6zsN3YfeHrvQTRJLhMvuCa9TYpUcieCKEjLf3q	3,295.86 DOT	2026-07-31	32
129i9UrrHjkiaHxThuZGkt8dK95gPNNwYYoBQxXHFY9iGKvf	2,489.53 DOT	2026-07-11	52
14DZQBYZVtDY4aCwHPun5kYiKfCoBMFAaxsCsJkDz7JQJFat	1,526.54 DOT	2026-07-31	32
12kE5d4HgXDRmTZMXTZefPfmUfSd9ZdS8HiMSHpPAvU7FAwy	1,311.91 DOT	2026-06-29	64
145oMr7i2PJqAVPCSkEdHb6r1kQXx1N2nmw1seGJXu4ge187	1,272.10 DOT	2026-07-31	32
14fTQ2wf8QqTW3PmuHZ2bCc6TFREw5yf2seo2UXrn3bNKECS	950.00 DOT	2026-07-04	59
15PQDukUmKzrCzage77dALPYkVJbXVnAri6B7KNUdRGsGL9M	853.61 DOT	2026-07-31	32
13SaMnqhg1BVe8w1DpzLHk4B1Vyhr1XKRxa9PopUgsbJMbea	819.85 DOT	2026-06-29	64

Nominator Address

Bonded Amount

Last Change Date

Days Since Change

145iDNqUupfieD2hMJEZ42GDcjVaLF3jhMhLqqikTStwZWo5

250,000.78 DOT

2026-07-11

1saY2s3hApaiBXpKvHxdsFi7qSYuks2ZwnQDCPZpT1ncDXe

15,779.71 DOT

2026-06-29

1ZpJmsMJSVkQYTJuTGb6Sjz67r3M1oF4NpDyG55J6wde4s4

6,507.28 DOT

2026-08-18

14TCCGbx16cDooVnnLxWfBWYyrkWYQFHzTksNigJfqdqBjts

4,040.00 DOT

2026-07-31

15662PQaHqq3sF2n7fycySUH2GjygV86xe8TpaUFpUu4CJQH

4,016.00 DOT

2026-07-27

13hb2KGW7i6zsN3YfeHrvQTRJLhMvuCa9TYpUcieCKEjLf3q

3,295.86 DOT

2026-07-31

129i9UrrHjkiaHxThuZGkt8dK95gPNNwYYoBQxXHFY9iGKvf

2,489.53 DOT

2026-07-11

14DZQBYZVtDY4aCwHPun5kYiKfCoBMFAaxsCsJkDz7JQJFat

1,526.54 DOT

2026-07-31

12kE5d4HgXDRmTZMXTZefPfmUfSd9ZdS8HiMSHpPAvU7FAwy

1,311.91 DOT

2026-06-29

145oMr7i2PJqAVPCSkEdHb6r1kQXx1N2nmw1seGJXu4ge187

1,272.10 DOT

2026-07-31

14fTQ2wf8QqTW3PmuHZ2bCc6TFREw5yf2seo2UXrn3bNKECS

950.00 DOT

2026-07-04

15PQDukUmKzrCzage77dALPYkVJbXVnAri6B7KNUdRGsGL9M

853.61 DOT

2026-07-31

13SaMnqhg1BVe8w1DpzLHk4B1Vyhr1XKRxa9PopUgsbJMbea

819.85 DOT

2026-06-29