Polkadot Validators / EXNESS.COM/5

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
12nYXo2LVU...51YTmLqR
Stake Amount:
156,890.27 DOT
% of Total Stake:
8.8%
Current Slot:
#542 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #542 → #552

⚠ WARNING: Close to active set threshold (48 slots buffer)

Risk Level:
HIGH

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
30
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
5 nominators (27,385.45 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
25 nominators (387,301.70 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
671,253.96 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
37.6%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #542 → #622

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 30 unstable nominator(s) representing 37.6% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (30)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
12nYXo2LVUf5UpA3YHUmsJRQQS5TCtWE5pjTPYr351YTmLqR 156,890.27 DOT 2026-08-21 56
148ojRmBZhRo1otqDUnczqjiWCJWTtNuHS8S8FtizmgtMLuS 91,564.00 DOT 2026-08-29 48
16iUM2d7zefGJxiBnZPGrmMziS7dKPBs6F5SjWM6cmzRQwgD 42,566.75 DOT 2026-08-23 54
15Xi4ba6HSJ38oH5Ca7nJQsqAEmxnxKNEXyGANWTQ7BuW9dn 12,391.54 DOT 2026-08-21 56
144PTQWvCmtJuy7HVDNCN8QUHQgMgyCU65rtHHJFVGzL8bNN 11,700.08 DOT 2026-08-25 52
121xC9WwhA3sd7ugbHrXmt5N8N7jjP2Z31QG2pkkc2bmmqz4 11,000.00 DOT 2026-08-28 49
132cWdYFYNzhajyuHN72mPGpFhHinCLCbNPX7CnePS3ncZTW 9,443.59 DOT 2026-09-02 44
16cEa3yevr8QSHn1y87vBmty4WJRBP3RKFUYSu4wh9AZkHhf 9,380.64 DOT 2026-09-01 45
13nDrRnXU8NUsBnMYVwvEBfTgfGYGooi2mBnX26LfLt3amv 9,235.92 DOT 2026-08-22 55
12BNakSJXzA3rY1cYHykWUMUdtukb2YHuHe88EnyRbCEaWSj 8,532.76 DOT 2026-10-12 4
12e39i7HkeL9qzM9LpQM7hr3PPdAU9fU19BkxPv8iX62nDuR 8,268.04 DOT 2026-10-14 2
15WY4zURMWu2knt1odEvTQw6ngfsXDkZv6N3bmncn6HZ3cLa 7,575.00 DOT 2026-08-25 52
13rZgVMPCNtTubbmqimwU9KRiw8siZdbWjDeBV3ajvsKfcky 6,641.80 DOT 2026-09-01 45
16hatAjmNEp1KVb7asK4V6CwmDVMRmiy6WdjYQCAqBuuAiKR 6,488.54 DOT 2026-10-12 4
16iBY1HoLwUw2Twivyu6PtYcG6MLtcMr5KFmb1p9VootmRMz 4,028.96 DOT 2026-09-02 44
13Tv1mt6XpJWG7X6GCds671y7remCx4n1YhfVfWqiHP9xPBV 3,558.80 DOT 2026-08-22 55
13MUtiHWFN6fTD6YpUvkaFpAZLY9htYp4GeWTmvqyZyiyN9M 3,096.10 DOT 2026-10-07 9
17CR3AV3BfDamEa8CzyyDkc28o3K8NT1kGWxtRqSM2BoKd4 2,214.77 DOT 2026-09-02 44
126UYg7SiD6PppUL5QZbHYqUGZX2BCgMXUH6we74WNeAfjbY 1,301.27 DOT 2026-08-31 46
12puthwX3VZTSiDtjcxizxrcZjjfBnow3Y3ukFwnsxH8avda 1,115.40 DOT 2026-08-22 55
14pWuDHFtf5fA6v1SjHP8CWTStAXQAeLZWaHyunZCSzzM7nX 1,095.58 DOT 2026-08-21 56
12aGjAorpSPKxecwiNovo4egyFboX3hFpbzV475kKmpHkpt5 1,031.45 DOT 2026-08-26 51
12jAKggCV6nmYEypPxJ32RfA5hrJsVX4AcTseeYKBxjYYNsP 1,000.00 DOT 2026-10-16 0
1k7zkCYxaUaE8UmETV5nBBseFhjnfPLZgtHnNdVXDJcQHPQ 994.69 DOT 2026-09-02 44
12zWsh4CVY75mjbEZ5cEUWEkdPRcnyQQtHLb6nEYpB2hE8fF 890.40 DOT 2026-09-05 41
12YReKKr26aoXQh6ADoTuka2fBkzwBAU6vzKsxZpGsZ2Luyn 727.77 DOT 2026-09-02 44
14BNgDNqw6Bq3yosN2bVNFQEiMiq9uAzvi2RCY71ehPYadj1 647.50 DOT 2026-08-21 56
12YRLC5ytRVtfMKnekgh9GQZ1od1PJGKZPwg1rwYKp1R2Dob 562.75 DOT 2026-08-23 54
12b2g549dppfPqbN2c8FMYysmRxvSTCjq4bcBu5Q35Qs8cmr 492.76 DOT 2026-09-02 44
14iiB37Uv3cAkd7UFU89891vb4SrELq8U5T3tdSUrP4mdLKi 250.00 DOT 2026-08-31 46