Polkadot Validators / BRC/02

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
0/10
✓ Low Risk - Strong nominator base

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
13z6tqM18G...XKtHfixb
Stake Amount:
7,072,760.00 DOT
% of Total Stake:
34.6%
Current Slot:
#116 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #116 → #216
Risk Level:
LOW

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
34
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
14 nominators (1,672,031.80 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
19 nominators (11,634,867.49 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
1 nominators (2,758.08 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
8,655,996.80 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
42.4%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #116 → #196
Risk Level:
LOW

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (34)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
14kf1LkBz6uKnf5eCytVE98gCsNvwLnFULgz2MRaw7mu7cJ7 5,014,878.22 DOT 2026-09-02 44
14GQzaZ5WoJpdodqRaF3sVFLsESh3HsFDaAEHxusjSFJBfCT 4,600,000.00 DOT 2026-09-02 44
16fyMWvvdfMTMw94gm3J63Yajun167SxAoT5kv6mmYdERbar 1,029,825.22 DOT 2026-09-02 44
141HuWrPqyKM84cy2QPVekAnbuQvd54DiB76MkAtRMB9KW6J 1,001,838.32 DOT 2026-09-18 28
15fziSBNvETnJ897MtYH9EUH4NFsCWt88Zvd1uEijSP5dDgL 691,684.89 DOT 2026-09-02 44
1pcanEkCnTNPx4kMP94Wfrt8doU7xptZBJ3MMV3DDJeko28 232,989.34 DOT 2026-09-18 28
16aTCW4sqoanNdmPhBdi2wjLGphMU9NKurzhBzcWYZLyEZ42 152,735.00 DOT 2026-09-02 44
1MdVKcaCyKShNwauj2zVUg7ewp7s8uFnfPk84yBb9MLD4iN 111,404.57 DOT 2026-09-17 29
15madAV34fN9aoP2ihP1QnzbVDsEaUn7JCgKDH9y1PBsHK9n 100,003.09 DOT 2026-10-12 4
124JJC8pAFMoqgZmwqwBUoaPBaPWB4ksfzbRrrRsx2mpzcMR 100,000.66 DOT 2026-10-12 4
148fQiYi62yyoTk8ucU8Nn57PAV5MpSLjPtRdcPFmgD1BT6e 71,174.42 DOT 2026-09-19 27
14BppBGMfs2aF9MK3ZsKyvbdk3p9QkWrAfHh1WTVfA7ES9no 42,000.00 DOT 2026-09-02 44
14TTWwQ7DzKzfkuG41BB1udrhP3DFtiitmvHuHV7VjjKig19 29,259.00 DOT 2026-09-04 42
15LonAFhL9FTVcjJbEC3e565PaHhY7F1bgTwnWuhZRPi16WA 23,028.35 DOT 2026-09-07 39
12dxhiec3m8KhTEaz1mffx12zQPpwjvxW9KD2N7xEy6PZHbR 20,000.00 DOT 2026-10-12 4
13dgxSbu5TMDn7WAPxvFZAjjSnVwdph8xHjb5KiXXLtxiRja 18,208.09 DOT 2026-10-13 3
1KxMVojgxPJYdGKoPK3xeGDkV4zeSiLcnzR2eyHgvAB9Thh 16,333.00 DOT 2026-09-03 43
14mHsK6SDc5PqJaButN5vYhXiqeHTJLbX4dfMJa348BBXPGt 14,086.13 DOT 2026-09-05 41
168mhMSgKUn72XxxEEjQ9DP2rQ6hAcuaR6HM3fLbn3egqg5K 10,303.42 DOT 2026-09-05 41
15cyTKs62n8q1b3NehuUPbjGC8i6UCUwpkqJCYGdpbH6tQ5F 7,114.75 DOT 2026-10-12 4
15ArbkJeKgGjxsgLxDVZKuqUUisurHxATYDtPvhBRHZGtwhh 3,409.33 DOT 2026-09-22 24
16F8Y4bz2ySLFfQRMKe2jBJtSc2n5wqoaCfyaYZTpunM5CyW 3,030.00 DOT 2026-10-12 4
15zbpRDsbv6XTyrf1M7hM6CFKCS7yBA3aE4x67Asp3rdMRsj 2,773.65 DOT 2026-09-09 37
153Fz22gxQP8HM8RbnvEt9XWsXu9nR8jxZC2MbQFmuKhN62f 2,758.08 DOT 2026-07-20 88
12MsaSzVg23npLbC7pRLHVg9Nj1nDKaMxeUrYgPYpCagP1C5 2,451.35 DOT 2026-09-03 43
16XnaQMmr5hDgVshB9x98Lp89Up5kxka3qZdEuHiP35DD54b 1,664.88 DOT 2026-09-17 29
12YHaNTT3hqfVaxL3D6au1u2BoKRpdL2KcFTw6pZcXvZs4bm 1,355.14 DOT 2026-09-01 45
15pBg8UEfyNCnGQh8bVUoLFAJ9vDv9MUcFkVgLQ8uH7XbdRQ 1,305.53 DOT 2026-09-01 45
14fnhmqgWVgzVZzy2FpoGqdWMPwkx4TFSVuVAqs64XAcvvMu 1,031.50 DOT 2026-09-13 33
13gB3J81uGnH8DVMmqs2nmCqpDUikZTkd7PW6rmgMmdGuwM3 1,000.28 DOT 2026-08-31 46
1rGsnoWYgEUwb2X6QSgTcyFRP1pDrZLq8BvTh4yvQQTU57Y 601.49 DOT 2026-09-19 27
12fFkMmfSGsLQGuD37Tx2pZS4UCoX9fmRN8Ah6tFoQ1b49Ch 592.87 DOT 2026-10-13 3
122YZDsupThBeQg3UoydzveCTSUgLHWfj9rLhdrgTUnGzc3a 544.28 DOT 2026-09-06 40
15w4Zb2bBV3Q7pgZGuggLj85qeHsaYLwtzcScaN987MiNHkH 272.52 DOT 2026-09-03 43