Polkadot Validators / pos.dog/24

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
13KJ3t8w1C...CBTvojmM
Stake Amount:
10,000,000.00 DOT
% of Total Stake:
96.8%
Current Slot:
#567 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #567 → #767

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
41
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
33 nominators (230,229.75 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
5 nominators (37,397.04 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
3 nominators (42,804.65 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
265,636.73 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
2.6%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #567 → #577

⚠ WARNING: Would be close to active set threshold (23 slots buffer)

Risk Level:
HIGH

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 41 unstable nominator(s) representing 2.6% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (41)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
15oNdkx5xyET7fTPuGrSQc6gJaFiyLJumpcgamca6S82yFZX 42,520.00 DOT 2026-07-11 7
14E5Md3Fet9DeSqF6nLHUo7fttdBXC9Rfo8wBqGJ2xwTnAR5 34,252.00 DOT 2026-07-11 7
14gEGjc9nowebP6aJAZ21HHCKf93sEuhtDcvGXhdDJDbSZnp 25,440.00 DOT 2026-05-16 63
13VoewvuK9F8SFBivWg8R81ShiAF91upTsxCbaDk1gYpNY1i 25,074.21 DOT 2026-06-12 36
16A2DWfGkAxADL67ByfnraeZ928Dg5ifZHYiwd1VtaP45Qd7 24,090.11 DOT 2026-07-11 7
15pkRVhCLosBrgsGGQdDFzCcY7KTcJ5nDPGBjeGCFVHfqfYA 23,709.71 DOT 2026-07-16 2
14dpb9fzwWbS5GDU8vUMmwUasEcRxgVwoU5um1Bc6aLLEDKh 21,446.96 DOT 2026-07-17 1
14KXkf9XZf4gXHfxuzTnZzYthyKMxDuzkTg6y6Kp1Y8tedF 17,500.00 DOT 2026-07-09 9
15JW5tcWv2ZFjN6cx2EfTGZSinQDKQNkjTrTqtR6SjQRfVXP 16,083.35 DOT 2026-05-18 61
14H2FeMGx9viA4zEJNgJuTQ7AQdR2bWUii4KukanVG8oUWnx 13,365.60 DOT 2026-06-29 19
15maEePZAVCXv1U1NHwr1SUMZbpLTEq6zv4Tbmm9vpn28ne9 10,050.51 DOT 2026-05-21 58
1128cYLToq3h1EKHWAN2xewU7JywLMaEYCMkF69QpG1DJMXQ 9,760.00 DOT 2026-07-15 3
133rn2nwEXhXKaZmLhdUzL7HGUbAvVdVcWkXuESBr1jBvn4J 7,031.85 DOT 2026-06-29 19
16GMDvwfK2VpNjEtu9EFy38kpotHnDrAL9zXHyAef4y4qkso 4,000.65 DOT 2026-06-29 19
16DX2PBXSirk3MS3Whsneq7wc7JzcMij4LkQA2uVPcS2mBYt 3,479.35 DOT 2026-06-29 19
164s6GSTFKddFhdm6fqJwnkoQdRDqBNYB3pnDeabV49UN2rK 2,942.96 DOT 2026-06-29 19
168cudY7f6qm6pmwi8VNtc13RMM5kL9StHMf9eXdgJB12V7N 2,861.00 DOT 2026-06-29 19
151H2FeccEVtLRj2n2a8c54iyHCEbwXiq9fZsTbuj6gmsnC2 2,630.15 DOT 2026-06-29 19
12xcHDAU9Wcz598cxD8Go6vae2j2kSCsXmGatjAKGGUhNQ4x 2,589.15 DOT 2026-07-08 10
16WfFjzCKj5RScuRW7KFmo9bimD8CpThDkwnmjxrEY5dMZz6 2,500.00 DOT 2026-07-03 15
14dq2YoFp21ToW5jQLi71jyZtRPNQDjjgMjmTmcVMSSCoJgi 1,955.95 DOT 2026-06-29 19
13ZZbKYsdho1qnwCD5TAVThT7JstT9GUmwqzCqEnvN73kepa 1,928.35 DOT 2026-06-29 19
12bd6S6Nu3zXpmFSxQiSrzsV451HThmrDcZTadBoti5mYNzW 1,500.75 DOT 2026-07-07 11
14JZgyyFLS4S71hYyicnKP5LXFBRWv2TEQcPqTzi6M7SjDd6 1,449.04 DOT 2026-06-29 19
1TaUhkmnutNjLUM47nN6MKrJB3ieM9Uzh8gt84RAGwYk8Ya 1,364.99 DOT 2026-05-23 56
13o3qJiMmKaa23368Sm7PfkxspS8mUnvpU1s6cJ88yS3cDS7 1,281.30 DOT 2026-04-22 87
14YU4kcyAtwETHVLQJ5HzhiL89MRZc2C9pLFm52cFr1Z3tmF 1,209.82 DOT 2026-06-29 19
155syxWeH2ew9z5WuKiABEiNnkkr2rjoYhDaWYjrki4PPBCE 1,089.90 DOT 2026-07-07 11
15tAwrgnUyJVAKgJtsYz3S9oFeRjBHGN2DEMpufwDe5kq4N2 1,044.06 DOT 2026-06-29 19
123YyUi6L9wBS4Bx4f3gMaTsEfioac6KtBb6rGr2rgNA4H32 984.63 DOT 2026-06-29 19
14TSbtzk7XzC3KCg3yDYYxGYtpYveN6h7DygEcWEMSzjGFYH 843.52 DOT 2026-06-29 19
14uLFzFjtiJApWS4Je72iXjXFM7GCjVqnQMsmtRNoN6h73HC 696.88 DOT 2026-06-29 19
1rGsnoWYgEUwb2X6QSgTcyFRP1pDrZLq8BvTh4yvQQTU57Y 601.49 DOT 2026-07-04 14
13pYtQLvFGNwW6KQZjMsdQpYWNRtiVRr4jwzDK4Ump7hiWZ9 573.19 DOT 2026-05-23 56
13vrJRv1HsNaqKL42HkiPUAPSHjknnmFiMV8bVTos66uquWc 512.00 DOT 2026-06-29 19
12mbJXC1QgAfxrrERXX5RrJ8zYLmrHG1fFCsQeqzZS6PNaVx 499.41 DOT 2026-06-29 19
13rUCfGHiSN96WDtgLRG8wuvGUkk52dCbJ9vtCkMA5qUnmoF 355.27 DOT 2026-06-29 19
1vGaz7tCWQFQu8XrhQad26bVQjRHtBkfY4ebsss9L6MAYqT 334.15 DOT 2026-05-23 56
16XyyUbZM5bxtLFZyBW24zv9w33rSWx3g4dDoXophkYXQVyY 312.88 DOT 2026-06-29 19
14do2atpMYHVE6R6MzH69ueTMaRf5z2dRxoEftg1gawjErpi 303.88 DOT 2026-06-29 19
1431oWugFEKv5HZ4dXrZoKPqkzfFZizP9aJqMqD5q9kYXnNr 262.43 DOT 2026-06-29 19