Polkadot Validators / LuckyFriday.io/🍀 DOT 02 🍀

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
12pw22Qyy3...GktbXYV7
Stake Amount:
2,018,921.44 DOT
% of Total Stake:
61.6%
Current Slot:
#629 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #629 → #829

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
34
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
13 nominators (3,096,538.48 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
18 nominators (125,963.06 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
3 nominators (39,871.78 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
3,184,077.85 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
97.2%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #629 → #779

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 34 unstable nominator(s) representing 97.2% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (34)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
12pw22Qyy3o28BLshjce9yrSMs3fhSiLsAjqLPAzGktbXYV7 2,018,921.44 DOT 2026-08-18 14
14jqhBMT8oiypeTbKcc5nnsxDnadgQXiimacq9SMCTR8Yzmd 913,087.27 DOT 2026-08-23 9
13UVJyLnbVp8c4FQeiGDEtEVGZPxusRNaQvHJiaYqNFmtnwd 67,792.68 DOT 2026-08-17 15
15GnMnrsPf4QA3VE1PYQddgWP8pfr4q5Z9Y15c82Vuw1LwoC 58,392.99 DOT 2026-07-31 32
13UVJyLnbVp8c4FQeiGEQeXZPPHp29PzjvYVvPkkpBm99qYr 39,608.78 DOT 2026-06-29 64
16A3QwyxNKBkjmXqL5dZCbj11oEcM2qNzjhn8vQjUwdHfogm 27,880.73 DOT 2026-07-31 32
13UVJyLnbVp8c4FQeiGEM5fpS5WM1pEunUZeR3NrHiqhcdTc 20,095.73 DOT 2026-08-23 9
125PJW99jsGhULSVGkKAi5YKjCH9ZcfX23Htttzmevu6p7fG 19,905.48 DOT 2026-08-23 9
12n5j3Lchw5rVrTdP31qGuCPKJzTRaowy5YMTuxS64wot7VM 16,932.71 DOT 2026-08-16 16
1LnkqRzhpKzCrffgK2TbZSgUGr1xMrjSwE7MrFTyozTNxHd 15,000.00 DOT 2026-08-17 15
14uD8Pnv1b5F2VUhwXnJ1Yq9EpGHkZ1cmEhq8qMwbwK1pvQy 14,550.74 DOT 2026-07-31 32
131USzLxrK83TSUh5M2RdbuRw5ku8cbgTGRSpD3r3CEmucpn 13,000.47 DOT 2026-08-23 9
13MA1bvPZpAPd4qMzRnwoyUVUansy8zdwL5Ys3JS2VB7GAVi 7,600.00 DOT 2026-08-17 15
1TTvFR1z5L9tPuCRbH8SkCEm7rDM39CRxd2CsPXKZhGom2V 6,742.06 DOT 2026-07-11 52
14Ap8h49gDUXYVEWqbpnFVsFoErZXqJdYnAPbHb6NwQdh1R7 5,630.01 DOT 2026-07-31 32
12nkfeBfeUMya3rxyDJNjDMJtvgb9kTtS8UzqsdxM8omS5j 3,015.29 DOT 2026-07-31 32
12QDYdZSNLGtyNwp8wkTtLgBoryzkzStx1v29yg1yTs74pkJ 2,798.94 DOT 2026-08-24 8
153Fz22gxQP8HM8RbnvEt9XWsXu9nR8jxZC2MbQFmuKhN62f 2,758.08 DOT 2026-07-20 43
12kb6cYTKL1jfYSazxHTsR4vUJ4D5UBKXdvUE31YP28ax2dw 1,883.16 DOT 2026-07-31 32
12doQ2atH2HyFRd8i7mSYD1Qrd7BNbhmFeMphAiRWunpYBwr 1,745.00 DOT 2026-07-31 32
14Doa7BThXsQAmbrT7TB5envT7wBoqGCX2dajHBS8p219NCq 1,234.14 DOT 2026-07-31 32
13EyMuuDHwtq5RD6w3psCJ9WvJFZzDDion6Fd2FVAqxz1g7K 875.96 DOT 2026-08-23 9
14MDTfBcp3ST1FBSL9m4MbqvHUuUQym6fMPgvPt4ABmxPJam 517.82 DOT 2026-08-23 9
1UagFxVrRRmtBRRJzAn1a1qypbgtqLBdXc6rf9J3v8SZ8eg 485.12 DOT 2026-07-23 40
1CyvzBw4C2r7ubPNFWVmt8h1M8jW36vZbG3UGXhD7PJPVWc 460.00 DOT 2026-07-31 32
1abzdiU1xq1e9S4yGV871RVkU9Zxgn4VCT1p8mr7DZojSeK 312.50 DOT 2026-07-31 32
13hLctGu2PoKp8y17p44RsL7KPc7Qmzr7XppQpr8d2nzNfad 299.69 DOT 2026-07-31 32
15WpQBR8hoMZKuadVydxTK8HiKcezQRVUVKrn5f2sT1i7n56 258.75 DOT 2026-07-31 32
13UVJyLnbVp8c4FQeiGFD1gBnNUs6SS7AkHbVxfXeDjsBQSM 214.00 DOT 2026-07-03 60
155VKUkVYfnCZY74TJQm8AWryVM8hR8qe6w9ky498TVHeUtA 167.34 DOT 2026-07-31 32
12KC7kdU9JFgFWo8ikE113XSDeBuhGriDGzYZU485kQ6xLvm 126.36 DOT 2026-07-31 32
13zqiLuaXSNyK36Ri3YfBcfSHKug5esYkipiKcrgtfiz2sMQ 49.00 DOT 2026-06-29 64
141w91Qa38pUyDwtiEsgrCib3iTsrSQJ3swqs14b1FVuu422 21.12 DOT 2026-07-31 32
16AoMP8k8qpnrxFG3ehyg9rnFdVC99fkfC6dMUZzzTmYs8D7 10.00 DOT 2026-08-19 13