Polkadot Validators / 14MPt3...5RsRmcE3

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
12X17rreXs...VT7tfJ1F
Stake Amount:
3,185,172.94 DOT
% of Total Stake:
17.1%
Current Slot:
#590 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #590 → #640

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
19
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
9 nominators (16,213.39 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
2 nominators (16,370.33 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
8 nominators (95,037.86 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
54,546.94 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
0.3%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #590 → #600

⚠ WARNING: Would be close to active set threshold (0 slots buffer)

Risk Level:
HIGH

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 19 unstable nominator(s) representing 0.3% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (19)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
14twKiHX6Jr595LqP1tGhLynUVafvoToCw2H9wEDJAd616eZ 59,168.22 DOT 2026-07-31 77
13C3u3CuXKxGboLNty4KVWMMWLUgUxFTe2NE9VxHWHcYdELB 14,300.00 DOT 2026-07-20 88
15JjaHXBC6whzYhWiEi7uExsTboAC4tibbeBKPxh5CVk5Jfq 10,870.33 DOT 2026-09-02 44
15veJnA3tHQ3Lbq1tNmvoydbEnbZq6spkGCNKsaFtiZHBinq 8,333.29 DOT 2026-07-23 85
1bVfuyFMBSphkPa3756SYbC44Xf4YjuinbV8Lb32WjVrrP3 5,956.01 DOT 2026-10-06 10
12e31YcFi3j2Aii1Lb7btLfk8DU1a1N6Ed9HNDz5fPTqiViy 5,500.00 DOT 2026-09-14 32
14fzdr5HWFNTFyQBb1iTtnssTMxsQNvz8wWB9a7TAKSuw2d2 4,411.66 DOT 2026-07-23 85
12WKBwurHzYNbG6nuSBbyMdvN9StFLxZHo4kU7tZ4j4uG1Yx 4,301.87 DOT 2026-07-23 85
14MBaVkYnHqVAh3WkvvJD9y8xEv7B7yBqQcgeCuAQZDDKnxm 4,001.02 DOT 2026-10-11 5
12KkJhQr14ZK1ispKeXdZxE6w6QepA1bJdhJAfPMJXBSst1m 3,468.72 DOT 2026-07-28 80
16FLMKx6cNenbycT1hkWdVhd41S3CQUQ5bLZuBa8euY1eeCA 1,400.36 DOT 2026-10-11 5
13gP5fm9CeefJHsSpPBVgBrVD2C4jBgbvdUtQNDYp8yhnrgw 1,112.82 DOT 2026-09-28 18
15yvYjBLCDPYjZzntZJx7Jcpv7vocPWXx7CPVC2VEgzyXxwg 1,084.10 DOT 2026-10-11 5
165ViNHCUoGShqM8G8v1EdiAsAaAEY5NVz4x9MGQSCXRMG8W 1,044.88 DOT 2026-10-05 11
1FP8HpaYiRa97Ae1gSf2JsfBrybHcACDawVb3Pnc8kETgnc 655.48 DOT 2026-07-31 77
16cFgMAWYmutDgSJcdJ2AeRNd28sqDMAt2Hpi6DZCsxVGvbJ 621.16 DOT 2026-10-10 6
15YSP3c3GZPJAKUnQH8m2Q87hy2wMSfyWcFuY7ZcK53p3Qjc 530.72 DOT 2026-10-11 5
14GG4d1Z4cTCNL4r9ASrU57FLn982nNBwKtzRfmRVitPQTai 462.31 DOT 2026-10-06 10
1nkZhrLd82M1pVu6wVjKq4yfhsqMr1CBM8cLSi4AXHEMVBi 398.62 DOT 2026-07-31 77