Polkadot Validators / 14B5ZR...5qMALFyg

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
6/10
⚠ Moderate Risk - Monitor nominator changes

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
13K2XVxLw1...qCaqh1Gc
Stake Amount:
898,530.25 DOT
% of Total Stake:
17.4%
Current Slot:
#444 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #444 → #494
Risk Level:
MODERATE

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
36
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
24 nominators (4,973,263.70 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
4 nominators (18,833.85 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
8 nominators (89,343.78 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
5,041,021.10 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
97.3%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #444 → #594

⚠ WARNING: Would be close to active set threshold (6 slots buffer)

Risk Level:
HIGH

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 36 unstable nominator(s) representing 97.3% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (36)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
13K2XVxLw1uofvtaJ7tLwxJ6cbaCw3NTHhHxnqXcqCaqh1Gc 898,530.25 DOT 2026-09-17 13
15acXj2sQ4YJDJxMYCjpDNs2zvKa4jdZkn2Lqg7cPqCo6nEJ 702,617.39 DOT 2026-09-17 13
15b5UqjseffFn7Y1xT3wPeSDVQ9EVQANTkk3pZR483BrjAsL 596,775.76 DOT 2026-09-17 13
15Y8wejd9ZcQxL5mCBeratbH6JjEde4UYiGSkt9jhgNqYEFY 478,586.72 DOT 2026-09-17 13
16Zd2FAwbZWvbuxqQoAsxUQZBMwimLbjDwaLg7DWPN6Hdzhc 409,870.53 DOT 2026-09-17 13
12vEFZ1q2pVMYHWzhJr9Bg3NP2mtMK8koDEbraHoY4qAcN8J 400,383.56 DOT 2026-09-17 13
14BJhGrrhpfep4i2gVC4ZJddSThNgR4MEDJGrPhG9qxAZkYr 383,853.34 DOT 2026-09-17 13
13GzuCvjeTPi8EESc5HxgSqrzFgwiGEgSPt6q3HgU5UT4vZo 362,748.70 DOT 2026-09-17 13
16MJWS1KyJYCuzrCnZf78D9QWtstypLoGqRR5XLEAgRVYkNL 330,614.39 DOT 2026-09-17 13
12ZEQAz7TK1vKwm4fESoNAxh7XnaqC2LacsMQw1B4YcT8u23 302,564.58 DOT 2026-09-17 13
14Mkk3DWyyCNAkjMkcwQnDTMjMNvFmSnbkfkY8s2HNg8TodM 33,853.04 DOT 2026-07-26 66
15fqmWpKb8jV2aRAQ2jquFbEqgSQLrSEL9hKwmfAZ6RmLVfF 32,069.07 DOT 2026-07-26 66
11tsGsaJ2d3Q1T9nETUCFn9N6Jwk4uJpVLfH3pRmFq6eAqr 27,567.58 DOT 2026-09-02 28
165znNnoo9nkWMBNYbd7XYRib2vngBtAMqJqy173TxrbAKvz 13,184.06 DOT 2026-09-17 13
16eRv2z3LFiPGSjcXwtqXZajMfmUdiNHa3FP1xcpZSGRzoA2 11,557.55 DOT 2026-08-08 53
15JjaHXBC6whzYhWiEi7uExsTboAC4tibbeBKPxh5CVk5Jfq 10,856.35 DOT 2026-09-02 28
15QHjZfgSBeaGaqqVn7ejcyMB2Cxmr7KXfg2jLrVaw2U9f3J 10,155.75 DOT 2026-09-17 13
1udbwe7ViyhGC4MbST5o2gMeuoUGszsKf9BgM4MGQFnZqfZ 10,008.66 DOT 2026-07-10 82
16DswM6QWrqvtH8CTxhv9j5EWdkLkvzQucL3woJbLLrFZ9wa 10,000.00 DOT 2026-09-29 1
13apvEPy7SSCUg1FJtgCEB2FqYy5S3zPZQo3C1b6kC9cMLbt 9,804.61 DOT 2026-09-17 13
12VcUHJy9CZuvPsnvwYeUHE6B5U6SoDnKWM9agNzyGW5Noq6 9,681.88 DOT 2026-09-17 13
15MxNdaWBotNAWNvFKesCVfg9WoPVW55D46kQSqQjFYn65gS 6,148.54 DOT 2026-08-09 52
164vjyhVeHHWvsNvcWE54dGAKSd1UPuqT9Qr8wVKYogS42me 6,043.40 DOT 2026-07-26 66
14QvuFgSsLvAeJ4AgeG1GJzdXb6fL2TSewN7SkoNrobjPvXB 5,035.28 DOT 2026-09-17 13
15CRdpx63N1hqQ36XazCEP3CY89euzMw9Ec8JnkcgYLJ5pRU 4,081.23 DOT 2026-09-17 13
12KkJhQr14ZK1ispKeXdZxE6w6QepA1bJdhJAfPMJXBSst1m 3,464.23 DOT 2026-07-28 64
15kTfD4CNzsWFpG5iLqFTGwSBmsCUsmUuqSDdnnEbiJBr87Q 2,670.14 DOT 2026-09-29 1
1Tfm8KhPhrV5pRnJYvAAhzaGn32ViuUxSEGSx7zQpgWPyLu 2,630.00 DOT 2026-07-09 83
1bPonzQmcTg41Ez1euntcSGvTd9SdBCsz2Gjn4zXd5xuDxH 1,903.26 DOT 2026-09-17 13
15gHa8Gquor8VjiuEHzNDZZonVDnnR6tnUhb8nPuGxVwfRXv 920.07 DOT 2026-07-10 82
15DZt86dNde6te46CS2Xh7R53uojpo3KydLKzgduRpwd6hd2 821.57 DOT 2026-09-17 13
15Fc6kSCH2JGfk7ATnVvauFZ4rNbPUp4hR41ka8h5kWq2Ky7 650.65 DOT 2026-09-16 14
12zbUQf8youSSj19S5Bx8RBfLJuxJMDNVtLHboKiUNL9Z949 624.62 DOT 2026-08-09 52
13omSBZGxBMeoVivHGuCNoBwKA6uujdzbDW1EEDeyk1UjNg4 503.14 DOT 2026-08-08 53
12fSGidNPxtEq3Ve1762yZ8AeENC58rq4Ad6Uin462XVjpwF 355.31 DOT 2026-07-10 82
12vRG2WTcZXdhFcLXucEe3zt8ZcGF3xTKMThzEGrEatdgRgS 306.10 DOT 2026-09-17 13