Polkadot Validators / 13mz9Z...CHci2Wvj

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
6/10
⚠ Moderate Risk - Monitor nominator changes

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
13K2XVxLw1...qCaqh1Gc
Stake Amount:
898,530.25 DOT
% of Total Stake:
15.4%
Current Slot:
#418 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #418 → #468
Risk Level:
MODERATE

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
42
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
1 nominators (16,914.46 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
41 nominators (5,823,507.87 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
3,511,019.18 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
60.0%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #418 → #568

⚠ WARNING: Would be close to active set threshold (32 slots buffer)

Risk Level:
HIGH

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 42 unstable nominator(s) representing 60.0% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (42)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
13K2XVxLw1uofvtaJ7tLwxJ6cbaCw3NTHhHxnqXcqCaqh1Gc 898,530.25 DOT 2026-07-23 40
15acXj2sQ4YJDJxMYCjpDNs2zvKa4jdZkn2Lqg7cPqCo6nEJ 702,617.39 DOT 2026-07-16 47
15b5UqjseffFn7Y1xT3wPeSDVQ9EVQANTkk3pZR483BrjAsL 596,775.76 DOT 2026-07-16 47
15Y8wejd9ZcQxL5mCBeratbH6JjEde4UYiGSkt9jhgNqYEFY 478,586.72 DOT 2026-07-16 47
16Zd2FAwbZWvbuxqQoAsxUQZBMwimLbjDwaLg7DWPN6Hdzhc 409,870.53 DOT 2026-07-16 47
12vEFZ1q2pVMYHWzhJr9Bg3NP2mtMK8koDEbraHoY4qAcN8J 400,383.56 DOT 2026-07-16 47
14BJhGrrhpfep4i2gVC4ZJddSThNgR4MEDJGrPhG9qxAZkYr 383,853.34 DOT 2026-07-16 47
13GzuCvjeTPi8EESc5HxgSqrzFgwiGEgSPt6q3HgU5UT4vZo 362,748.70 DOT 2026-07-16 47
16MJWS1KyJYCuzrCnZf78D9QWtstypLoGqRR5XLEAgRVYkNL 330,614.39 DOT 2026-07-16 47
12ZEQAz7TK1vKwm4fESoNAxh7XnaqC2LacsMQw1B4YcT8u23 302,564.58 DOT 2026-07-16 47
13txjgGhEeMdgx4kSgmfiF8WT2E3iu1jF1BZJk4yrPsY7PC4 219,969.03 DOT 2026-07-16 47
13K5CcP14wJshAk1EKEYeHfHMCQWbpe8UvkWNKZmmvCTwGn9 174,903.54 DOT 2026-07-09 54
14PmwgU5FmtAFazcUPmT89pKggpzVwptRKhJrSBTbr69P2zq 100,000.00 DOT 2026-07-21 42
1GpMBhzdXUr11WJXCCmvSjwPqmCdqVLiFU8yueKN5kq9aCY 100,000.00 DOT 2026-07-21 42
13Fax6EfQQjW3JFfzdczsrEAEQudEXvEAzdQkSbZ7bBg1QHe 84,832.48 DOT 2026-07-14 49
15fqmWpKb8jV2aRAQ2jquFbEqgSQLrSEL9hKwmfAZ6RmLVfF 34,867.11 DOT 2026-07-26 37
14Mkk3DWyyCNAkjMkcwQnDTMjMNvFmSnbkfkY8s2HNg8TodM 33,829.91 DOT 2026-07-26 37
1s6ZFtNCAyicHpDu7B5TesiAPGaMibmMJd27Aew7j4R4PXk 31,828.00 DOT 2026-07-21 42
16FCnkkUy8TaNgCQWttYyqAC1KEUCDdeUf4gs8xyAQMmXXvn 30,000.00 DOT 2026-07-21 42
1ZKZECsXgDromBaDMhsfGS95v65tKWf52WDBpgz5G62V8ea 27,922.00 DOT 2026-07-21 42
14GS6Qb1WznP4RGNfAZ2zxUf4Rb7RHsuJ3tw5HHwqcrXUsYz 24,569.74 DOT 2026-07-10 53
13Js2SmN9cnoYboxx6HE593n7z8i8WcXWLcNFTjp59mCsAHw 16,914.46 DOT 2026-08-06 26
165znNnoo9nkWMBNYbd7XYRib2vngBtAMqJqy173TxrbAKvz 13,152.99 DOT 2026-07-16 47
1udbwe7ViyhGC4MbST5o2gMeuoUGszsKf9BgM4MGQFnZqfZ 11,182.94 DOT 2026-07-10 53
15QHjZfgSBeaGaqqVn7ejcyMB2Cxmr7KXfg2jLrVaw2U9f3J 10,131.83 DOT 2026-07-09 54
1bGdz115LsLx7WoiRyVgmjkF1aVukFf2ZQ3gwKtjTHs8HQ7 10,000.00 DOT 2026-07-21 42
12VcUHJy9CZuvPsnvwYeUHE6B5U6SoDnKWM9agNzyGW5Noq6 7,327.83 DOT 2026-07-10 53
13apvEPy7SSCUg1FJtgCEB2FqYy5S3zPZQo3C1b6kC9cMLbt 7,323.84 DOT 2026-07-10 53
14VQ212P1yj4jApq2G2RGBo6vtxgY3psxEjBBQYcjbZyA3jj 7,000.51 DOT 2026-07-28 35
164vjyhVeHHWvsNvcWE54dGAKSd1UPuqT9Qr8wVKYogS42me 6,043.40 DOT 2026-07-26 37
14QvuFgSsLvAeJ4AgeG1GJzdXb6fL2TSewN7SkoNrobjPvXB 5,023.42 DOT 2026-07-07 56
15CRdpx63N1hqQ36XazCEP3CY89euzMw9Ec8JnkcgYLJ5pRU 4,081.23 DOT 2026-07-09 54
14EBJS1aRMh1icJakRGVdtS5LLAXSm4wY61PZW2iBPLFebWL 3,422.21 DOT 2026-07-28 35
1bPonzQmcTg41Ez1euntcSGvTd9SdBCsz2Gjn4zXd5xuDxH 1,898.84 DOT 2026-07-07 56
16kfZk3fMPHUpnnWRGeARtDudEgrk2jVYbWj6s75R159bKJs 1,754.60 DOT 2026-07-28 35
125z8TZnXSxyW4ETNf7iRCxNArv4pyBtj8UAxTLCbydfkyQh 1,556.26 DOT 2026-07-09 54
14ChnJifqvkr5peJiE7TgtBm3bJRtCJgB3KEVRUcHhVvPC8 1,505.17 DOT 2026-07-09 54
15gHa8Gquor8VjiuEHzNDZZonVDnnR6tnUhb8nPuGxVwfRXv 920.07 DOT 2026-07-10 53
15DZt86dNde6te46CS2Xh7R53uojpo3KydLKzgduRpwd6hd2 819.67 DOT 2026-07-07 56
12xSMuiA4fm2YpG9Bn1ZMchr7SNbmBaY4d9XV14ZgYj28Dqe 436.17 DOT 2026-07-14 49
12fSGidNPxtEq3Ve1762yZ8AeENC58rq4Ad6Uin462XVjpwF 354.48 DOT 2026-07-10 53
12vRG2WTcZXdhFcLXucEe3zt8ZcGF3xTKMThzEGrEatdgRgS 305.39 DOT 2026-07-08 55