Polkadot Validators / 13mz9Z...CHci2Wvj

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
15acXj2sQ4...PqCo6nEJ
Stake Amount:
702,617.39 DOT
% of Total Stake:
14.1%
Current Slot:
#581 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #581 → #591

⚠ WARNING: Close to active set threshold (9 slots buffer)

Risk Level:
HIGH

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
64
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
64 nominators (4,987,823.45 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
4,987,823.45 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
99.8%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #581 → #731

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 64 unstable nominator(s) representing 99.8% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (64)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
15acXj2sQ4YJDJxMYCjpDNs2zvKa4jdZkn2Lqg7cPqCo6nEJ 702,617.39 DOT 2026-07-16 2
15b5UqjseffFn7Y1xT3wPeSDVQ9EVQANTkk3pZR483BrjAsL 596,775.76 DOT 2026-07-16 2
15Y8wejd9ZcQxL5mCBeratbH6JjEde4UYiGSkt9jhgNqYEFY 478,586.72 DOT 2026-07-16 2
16Zd2FAwbZWvbuxqQoAsxUQZBMwimLbjDwaLg7DWPN6Hdzhc 409,870.53 DOT 2026-07-16 2
12vEFZ1q2pVMYHWzhJr9Bg3NP2mtMK8koDEbraHoY4qAcN8J 400,383.56 DOT 2026-07-16 2
14BJhGrrhpfep4i2gVC4ZJddSThNgR4MEDJGrPhG9qxAZkYr 383,853.34 DOT 2026-07-16 2
13GzuCvjeTPi8EESc5HxgSqrzFgwiGEgSPt6q3HgU5UT4vZo 362,748.70 DOT 2026-07-16 2
16MJWS1KyJYCuzrCnZf78D9QWtstypLoGqRR5XLEAgRVYkNL 330,614.39 DOT 2026-07-16 2
12ZEQAz7TK1vKwm4fESoNAxh7XnaqC2LacsMQw1B4YcT8u23 302,564.58 DOT 2026-07-16 2
13txjgGhEeMdgx4kSgmfiF8WT2E3iu1jF1BZJk4yrPsY7PC4 219,969.03 DOT 2026-07-16 2
13K5CcP14wJshAk1EKEYeHfHMCQWbpe8UvkWNKZmmvCTwGn9 174,903.54 DOT 2026-07-09 9
13Fax6EfQQjW3JFfzdczsrEAEQudEXvEAzdQkSbZ7bBg1QHe 84,832.48 DOT 2026-07-14 4
138Uziu7suP23QGpcYgbRS1J3nkRXAAPfcwRX8EaYtLnYRn8 55,987.84 DOT 2026-07-16 2
14LwzyBBaFBQx8Zwf9tmXu9UatAC7zaQgUULNriGefBaQpdS 44,939.57 DOT 2026-07-15 3
12x1Jp9vWYFRoAMoTm6rwAvWNKPgeRRxTtTbU3bho4P2FAJ2 42,983.13 DOT 2026-07-07 11
12zrNCQATW4YjcUxPe7oybckCR579WyP8WqWZ5Yu9tdKqxzy 39,033.67 DOT 2026-07-07 11
14Mkk3DWyyCNAkjMkcwQnDTMjMNvFmSnbkfkY8s2HNg8TodM 33,692.54 DOT 2026-07-14 4
15fqmWpKb8jV2aRAQ2jquFbEqgSQLrSEL9hKwmfAZ6RmLVfF 28,558.72 DOT 2026-07-15 3
14SktFMUdQf5dvyDWEya48DuxZ1q5ZGkpQTC1eH4V2pBb3Jj 27,907.43 DOT 2026-07-16 2
1WvisGrf2GM76FbFfwTRT89upYzzYKdvoNKMKUkLMYLCdkx 25,130.00 DOT 2026-07-17 1
14GS6Qb1WznP4RGNfAZ2zxUf4Rb7RHsuJ3tw5HHwqcrXUsYz 24,474.99 DOT 2026-07-10 8
14mQ3hdm5C7c1nN4mW163dtEeQBghjk7EQM7anCzyf4abgdr 20,000.00 DOT 2026-07-14 4
14aBPEYa86pa1MyBdS6YE1Vg48Hf71ZJAn8BvD7jVF4SyFaa 18,375.16 DOT 2026-07-07 11
13Js2SmN9cnoYboxx6HE593n7z8i8WcXWLcNFTjp59mCsAHw 16,846.56 DOT 2026-07-06 12
165znNnoo9nkWMBNYbd7XYRib2vngBtAMqJqy173TxrbAKvz 13,103.68 DOT 2026-07-16 2
15QHjZfgSBeaGaqqVn7ejcyMB2Cxmr7KXfg2jLrVaw2U9f3J 10,092.87 DOT 2026-07-09 9
1udbwe7ViyhGC4MbST5o2gMeuoUGszsKf9BgM4MGQFnZqfZ 10,071.22 DOT 2026-07-10 8
15Vuz2vrYJQzC2ccnK6ERSu2eYRNBaeXb4Mq29zLbVpezaVM 10,000.01 DOT 2026-07-14 4
15KeGDM2UtRGaWpSFKi6ChKwTadLdp6YtdhdhmvLqA4FNihj 10,000.00 DOT 2026-07-14 4
1R1dfFiHfSoTDdVzKGQZhPN3Tb2RpAnHWoYj5iPBmkEQWrL 9,301.08 DOT 2026-07-08 10
123W1hyaaKynJbjBP1DPrHtD8LK9DLR2MFjzYoJE891wSVZk 7,957.83 DOT 2026-07-14 4
13apvEPy7SSCUg1FJtgCEB2FqYy5S3zPZQo3C1b6kC9cMLbt 7,305.66 DOT 2026-07-10 8
12VcUHJy9CZuvPsnvwYeUHE6B5U6SoDnKWM9agNzyGW5Noq6 7,299.69 DOT 2026-07-10 8
14Cjg1kDDusvEQhDGXayPbAu3fwmdu6uDBadSEMYh469kW7d 7,203.46 DOT 2026-07-10 8
14VQ212P1yj4jApq2G2RGBo6vtxgY3psxEjBBQYcjbZyA3jj 7,005.51 DOT 2026-07-15 3
1xN8w6hGjzRxHUQSFxjGsnYrKMQ6SAuYEWFgn3ytxyD4iet 6,451.50 DOT 2026-07-11 7
15QT1ks5UapjVDZ7qiMzzZ1vdi9szrBmenwwVwGFuuW8B7Be 6,332.23 DOT 2026-07-12 6
12bY8HhiKLQsb4suwUnRddGcEZdYQMzbhxiKnwtFyBVnKgQS 5,114.37 DOT 2026-07-17 1
14QvuFgSsLvAeJ4AgeG1GJzdXb6fL2TSewN7SkoNrobjPvXB 5,004.11 DOT 2026-07-07 11
13osXP9VF7GpYEgzoQg47JUmWjLAZTxfSxr9j7r15Zu5kQp9 4,349.99 DOT 2026-07-17 1
164vjyhVeHHWvsNvcWE54dGAKSd1UPuqT9Qr8wVKYogS42me 4,301.63 DOT 2026-07-14 4
15CRdpx63N1hqQ36XazCEP3CY89euzMw9Ec8JnkcgYLJ5pRU 4,081.23 DOT 2026-07-09 9
14EBJS1aRMh1icJakRGVdtS5LLAXSm4wY61PZW2iBPLFebWL 3,408.26 DOT 2026-07-14 4
1eUtxTX13jNfcuc9XEUGB8daNbQYsDX2WJd7CARRKLSBe2P 2,367.84 DOT 2026-07-08 10
12WGhUhumofJAbaLqnGydfzfFoEjeWcHUHT3MktmsFWqxKEr 2,360.59 DOT 2026-07-09 9
1bPonzQmcTg41Ez1euntcSGvTd9SdBCsz2Gjn4zXd5xuDxH 1,891.56 DOT 2026-07-07 11
13YQgJJtRaFJgDz87mkmeGsMpvYFLg35DCuZebPg4XDwQV8f 1,839.14 DOT 2026-07-08 10
16kfZk3fMPHUpnnWRGeARtDudEgrk2jVYbWj6s75R159bKJs 1,747.45 DOT 2026-07-14 4
125z8TZnXSxyW4ETNf7iRCxNArv4pyBtj8UAxTLCbydfkyQh 1,556.26 DOT 2026-07-09 9
14ChnJifqvkr5peJiE7TgtBm3bJRtCJgB3KEVRUcHhVvPC8 1,499.42 DOT 2026-07-09 9
14ou9Dx5UJE3j5vRMUGLbCSgJN5zbxKhxWvvZsfJngi4JvxX 1,369.00 DOT 2026-07-08 10
15YFqzr6MKYVaQcACqqpEj3c7jLm6MMjiSmg32SivHXb6T3x 1,133.58 DOT 2026-07-09 9
13zFVp9pdsJCJPeVBBRiSAkhBgZ4qENVEZBvfbs9Ft4rHVM8 1,090.62 DOT 2026-07-09 9
13nFqQNWrXewKfNW9esRPsSDVsnguNqUmXi3LTRpQn54ymxP 1,070.62 DOT 2026-07-09 9
16AWCSirdK5sA8kj1Bvcch3AerLsdg8vKuxgSNrFQKbHvt7K 1,005.72 DOT 2026-07-09 9
15gHa8Gquor8VjiuEHzNDZZonVDnnR6tnUhb8nPuGxVwfRXv 920.07 DOT 2026-07-10 8
15DZt86dNde6te46CS2Xh7R53uojpo3KydLKzgduRpwd6hd2 816.54 DOT 2026-07-07 11
1j71fhpN6mYNcKNXFvGaWapXZL233E8bvL4otFN71j3CpMo 554.03 DOT 2026-07-08 10
142wSqB2pAedhfUuPtE8jzjNAnPkE8jhPMVdGQ2F9iqo79jj 500.00 DOT 2026-07-07 11
15PaiT2nPHTxJGSaP7xukdjGmUgFHsSVMvwKMZ7PojT49cu9 500.00 DOT 2026-07-07 11
14wwdXr1G37caYidaHUd7MZD67tV3ECxV3WtfD2GibRqVAVb 475.35 DOT 2026-07-09 9
12xSMuiA4fm2YpG9Bn1ZMchr7SNbmBaY4d9XV14ZgYj28Dqe 434.39 DOT 2026-07-14 4
12fSGidNPxtEq3Ve1762yZ8AeENC58rq4Ad6Uin462XVjpwF 353.12 DOT 2026-07-10 8
12vRG2WTcZXdhFcLXucEe3zt8ZcGF3xTKMThzEGrEatdgRgS 304.21 DOT 2026-07-08 10