Polkadot Validators / hirish/HIRISH_2

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
1f2gwEzvzy...yGgRnV59
Stake Amount:
23,452.96 DOT
% of Total Stake:
9.1%
Current Slot:
#688 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #688 → #698

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
44
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
40 nominators (216,560.26 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
4 nominators (31,093.57 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
235,216.40 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
91.3%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #688 → #838

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 44 unstable nominator(s) representing 91.3% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (44)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
1f2gwEzvzynMJV3viC9skvmmMnrednovidhJfgAyGgRnV59 23,452.96 DOT 2026-07-03 28
14EA2Aep3mmrkRte1dthwMmbb4nSQZsLLRg2wm9Bt8hA5Zu5 20,954.19 DOT 2026-06-29 32
16CdHjb4nxVwF6uwmPm6A29pc4ubnLiY7UqasMxt7cT9BcoK 19,838.74 DOT 2026-07-03 28
143bj6p3rQeoC1RuWEgZNu2pbwaQtdhiwX28599EdqvCSPmb 19,570.34 DOT 2026-07-03 28
16MEchyZbpUrkApdE4nj3cgam9WTvpSNaa2x6MWCAy7dVdrW 16,769.22 DOT 2026-07-31 0
16LehMce1BvjsxVLpJMPfkAWMeFdQ4NhWeSmJQQ2DN6rw2Z7 15,244.96 DOT 2026-07-31 0
12E4jAgSB27RuNWngfi7aSQDtfvUUrhSZoSx5imFt9a5tvrQ 14,300.99 DOT 2026-07-31 0
123ah1oS7Naa1Hm4AcGboW5HPsqXgXo1CNDyYjRyMbadGKsB 14,284.88 DOT 2026-07-31 0
13UVJyLnbVp8c4FQeiGMJ6aWBj5xf8wZp6L6bk4BeAxTeim6 12,816.10 DOT 2026-07-31 0
12wxhWJyTRmt3FqsEKbDK1QpwHh6F7RdhmEBnntQDhF7VJGk 12,331.08 DOT 2026-07-31 0
1GPQSDyvHLKrzCMNqEow69w2DTm59yA6LWdoxVZxaMBPkoC 11,044.90 DOT 2026-07-31 0
16H9v83CqvFbEayDHbqMCnFJWYo5z2BrVvh8j5kYm4mAsoij 10,826.59 DOT 2026-07-31 0
12vEBempmEC6BmgJ4r7ySyA8XNgeMMPHpSpqsumN7QS8nXrX 7,106.29 DOT 2026-07-06 25
1Zx8CWGZKDLu57RgEpeeweVJbUGGDNi2pkMioM3gmQLjvEE 6,084.54 DOT 2026-07-11 20
162CAvGTdwazgpLYkTy4WR83RtKKzsXAvLyGwkgsqUedzUu8 5,655.59 DOT 2026-06-30 31
1551deCS31TB3JXJnVMy9SGJ9ZJPfvMWuh5SuMdq4gh8gwsK 4,366.16 DOT 2026-07-31 0
1PAyLyTji6gtj3Hy2qBAwEZTi1fXgV6yYvnJJS7g7QUySyt 3,560.99 DOT 2026-07-31 0
14XqWTHkGEQi3J2YaPAtAPCZzZjEoqRJmsSXhWLiGmeRHU99 3,156.52 DOT 2026-06-29 32
15a3i9LLay4wFBz8esAvtZYMRCUd5NyBmAhEGmYpmVjfTgTW 2,968.09 DOT 2026-07-31 0
12fW6NnVnKyi7bPknNkVEizmgpePjKLjVq7MnKy6ju6cS7vW 2,456.00 DOT 2026-07-31 0
1586NAENK9WCJBqSeWgjsKhgfXi3YRg4YHrDgEBdZBj1ZYi5 2,161.04 DOT 2026-07-31 0
1128d1p8LCMM9ASsV5y5uDvBvvjELWLkKpwEBgoCiEBZTRC2 2,048.96 DOT 2026-07-31 0
15GRmvv6n8njoAsZQtrm93GB4jrgdXKT4BGhgmH5rh186xRA 1,519.77 DOT 2026-07-04 27
14zxk2DTK8zqgHoVRmZyxNjCfMvVC3MkoBLtr8xQcWGe3ezn 1,430.00 DOT 2026-07-31 0
15fuHXkWAjdHmEjeFMU2aTiZPCnFLqnsGbT6bWvjCyycHrJq 1,399.40 DOT 2026-07-04 27
12gf82na8TDBhzKTL4KUWVsuu9kG9f1t58rhvXewSW1iiBkD 1,342.30 DOT 2026-07-31 0
1566pwTfY2DokJPGN7toyacYhAH6ENtJAdEpKLMNNx5rp53b 1,327.28 DOT 2026-06-29 32
13gdB8ztxY4mx3cim5CxsQ1MBMNsFWrqLCF9ud5wsTCsmKuU 1,209.16 DOT 2026-07-31 0
13W6GSZgdr7HNZzVvuDrG4joifjh1t1xoKbSaEE8GX9xYijg 1,095.21 DOT 2026-07-31 0
12ggei2ZXthd7m8JrVq79PJqk6xz9ZqtVJiNY2YmscLWeJun 981.26 DOT 2026-07-04 27
12bELFBGjBUM9mzQvUy2jV357MqmMF7qFvU1R51N1zayTCPt 787.27 DOT 2026-07-31 0
13Q3AC6DeMXSvxwGFB2owHaEmE61yPPgv6uvscVKqLn2ujx5 735.66 DOT 2026-07-31 0
14JrV35hgzqdVKEq73sBoWRyW67WVA6SeWnksfr1ZLobU66B 669.52 DOT 2026-07-04 27
1EneEARvVweSfJFGLvP3spaK5SYpSxmcYFMtfwekeHJ5SKo 523.76 DOT 2026-07-31 0
1e9kpHGs4kbKtQYf9Qgs6tNHmxACKPwc2txwLZSm9N9Jo79 506.23 DOT 2026-07-31 0
1486fyy76R5be44H5AV9cHtnf63f4zroToFzv6GTkX3tmoQ1 423.81 DOT 2026-07-31 0
16Fq1NRPzFLSSfwkCuFeZKgSf8Cs6hQKWbgvjha9bNAnmy9D 413.89 DOT 2026-07-04 27
14QMUMqmwMGaSMbgkdMsBrzkQ5Vu1LgVJnBC4pXf1MeZEb1J 389.24 DOT 2026-07-31 0
14g79k7J1QmFuqNbuFeyXaDWxQiUVp16WrccEDZNVH3m9dKi 369.16 DOT 2026-07-31 0
16DFdjBZh9YD9uvyAHFev8xtQczeysvCHL4oKkwmnfRoeM8s 336.04 DOT 2026-07-04 27
13EkjPjeB6Mjg2wcz2ARMZwEJ2NwLuZDM6tkVResrCKGRw5h 322.95 DOT 2026-07-31 0
14KYRB34aSF6TyAfrbkmhGn799Bh6yFavFtyXX2LQbT5jNEr 319.53 DOT 2026-07-15 16
15PyrN5XdgqxnNtVYSrZ58PFnp3BXuFHmXwhUsRTCsz2cFZV 281.70 DOT 2026-07-31 0
12bc9MtxWASP4rzRMyXWn6nhq5rTQ9FKvyfGzEQJWBvYrwDf 271.56 DOT 2026-07-04 27