Polkadot Validators / hirish/HIRISH_2

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
1f2gwEzvzy...yGgRnV59
Stake Amount:
23,608.64 DOT
% of Total Stake:
10.7%
Current Slot:
#679 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #679 → #689

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
25
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
4 nominators (37,803.07 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
18 nominators (125,397.86 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
3 nominators (18,393.02 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
127,507.77 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
57.6%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #679 → #829

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 25 unstable nominator(s) representing 57.6% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (25)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
1f2gwEzvzynMJV3viC9skvmmMnrednovidhJfgAyGgRnV59 23,608.64 DOT 2026-10-12 17
14EA2Aep3mmrkRte1dthwMmbb4nSQZsLLRg2wm9Bt8hA5Zu5 21,095.68 DOT 2026-09-26 33
13UVJyLnbVp8c4FQeiGMJ6aWBj5xf8wZp6L6bk4BeAxTeim6 20,127.99 DOT 2026-09-22 37
16CdHjb4nxVwF6uwmPm6A29pc4ubnLiY7UqasMxt7cT9BcoK 19,969.69 DOT 2026-09-26 33
143bj6p3rQeoC1RuWEgZNu2pbwaQtdhiwX28599EdqvCSPmb 19,698.97 DOT 2026-09-26 33
16LehMce1BvjsxVLpJMPfkAWMeFdQ4NhWeSmJQQ2DN6rw2Z7 15,350.20 DOT 2026-08-24 66
123ah1oS7Naa1Hm4AcGboW5HPsqXgXo1CNDyYjRyMbadGKsB 14,381.12 DOT 2026-09-26 33
16H9v83CqvFbEayDHbqMCnFJWYo5z2BrVvh8j5kYm4mAsoij 10,897.33 DOT 2026-09-23 36
1Zx8CWGZKDLu57RgEpeeweVJbUGGDNi2pkMioM3gmQLjvEE 7,284.54 DOT 2026-10-25 4
162CAvGTdwazgpLYkTy4WR83RtKKzsXAvLyGwkgsqUedzUu8 5,692.65 DOT 2026-10-13 16
1551deCS31TB3JXJnVMy9SGJ9ZJPfvMWuh5SuMdq4gh8gwsK 4,395.50 DOT 2026-09-26 33
14XqWTHkGEQi3J2YaPAtAPCZzZjEoqRJmsSXhWLiGmeRHU99 3,177.76 DOT 2026-09-26 33
15a3i9LLay4wFBz8esAvtZYMRCUd5NyBmAhEGmYpmVjfTgTW 2,987.95 DOT 2026-09-26 33
12fW6NnVnKyi7bPknNkVEizmgpePjKLjVq7MnKy6ju6cS7vW 2,626.00 DOT 2026-08-22 68
1586NAENK9WCJBqSeWgjsKhgfXi3YRg4YHrDgEBdZBj1ZYi5 2,175.42 DOT 2026-09-26 33
12gf82na8TDBhzKTL4KUWVsuu9kG9f1t58rhvXewSW1iiBkD 1,351.34 DOT 2026-09-26 33
1566pwTfY2DokJPGN7toyacYhAH6ENtJAdEpKLMNNx5rp53b 1,336.12 DOT 2026-09-26 33
13gdB8ztxY4mx3cim5CxsQ1MBMNsFWrqLCF9ud5wsTCsmKuU 1,217.23 DOT 2026-10-27 2
13W6GSZgdr7HNZzVvuDrG4joifjh1t1xoKbSaEE8GX9xYijg 1,102.52 DOT 2026-09-26 33
13Q3AC6DeMXSvxwGFB2owHaEmE61yPPgv6uvscVKqLn2ujx5 735.66 DOT 2026-09-26 33
14JrV35hgzqdVKEq73sBoWRyW67WVA6SeWnksfr1ZLobU66B 674.12 DOT 2026-09-26 33
1EneEARvVweSfJFGLvP3spaK5SYpSxmcYFMtfwekeHJ5SKo 527.24 DOT 2026-09-26 33
16Fq1NRPzFLSSfwkCuFeZKgSf8Cs6hQKWbgvjha9bNAnmy9D 416.82 DOT 2026-08-16 74
14QMUMqmwMGaSMbgkdMsBrzkQ5Vu1LgVJnBC4pXf1MeZEb1J 391.83 DOT 2026-09-26 33
14g79k7J1QmFuqNbuFeyXaDWxQiUVp16WrccEDZNVH3m9dKi 371.62 DOT 2026-09-26 33